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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Serie A
  3. Inter vs Parma

Inter vs Parma

Result • Serie A·Inter·Parma

Serie A
Serie A
Oct 10, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Inter

Inter

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.12
X8.50
215.00
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
high Confidence
Parma

Parma

Away
Odds
11.12
X8.50
215.00
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Win Probabilities
83%
Inter
12%
Draw
5%
Parma
Home1.1283%
Draw8.5012%
Away15.005%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Inter are clear favourites to win, backed by superior form, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is that Parma's defensive setup could frustrate Inter and lead to a tighter scoreline than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie A fixture between Inter and Parma using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Inter a 83% win probability, a 12% chance of a draw, and Parma a 5% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 62%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 62%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Petar Sučić
    13'
    Goal: Petar SučićInter
  2. VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedPio Esposito
    15'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedInter · Pio Esposito
  3. Penalty: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Penalty)
    18'
    Penalty: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Penalty)Inter
  4. Goal: Marcus ThuramAssist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
    31'
    Goal: Marcus ThuramInter · Assist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
  5. Substitution: Ange-Yoan BonnyOut: Pio Esposito
    61'
    Substitution: Ange-Yoan BonnyInter · Out: Pio Esposito
  6. Substitution: Lautaro MartínezOut: Marcus Thuram
    61'
    Substitution: Lautaro MartínezInter · Out: Marcus Thuram
  7. Substitution: Aleksandar StankovicOut: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
    61'
    Substitution: Aleksandar StankovicInter · Out: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
  8. 61'
    Substitution: José David RomeroParma · Out: Nesta Elphege
    Substitution: José David RomeroOut: Nesta Elphege
  9. 62'
    Substitution: Simone LontaniParma · Out: Giovanni Fabbian
    Substitution: Simone LontaniOut: Giovanni Fabbian
  10. 62'
    Substitution: Adrián Bernabé GarcíaParma · Out: Vincent Sierro
    Substitution: Adrián Bernabé GarcíaOut: Vincent Sierro
  11. Substitution: Luis HenriqueOut: Federico Dimarco
    73'
    Substitution: Luis HenriqueInter · Out: Federico Dimarco
  12. Substitution: Djed SpenceOut: Andy Diouf
    73'
    Substitution: Djed SpenceInter · Out: Andy Diouf
  13. 78'
    Substitution: Sascha BritschgiParma · Out: Franco Carboni
    Substitution: Sascha BritschgiOut: Franco Carboni
  14. 84'
    Substitution: Matija FriganParma · Out: El Bilal Toure
    Substitution: Matija FriganOut: El Bilal Toure
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Thuram vs E. Del Prato: Thuram's pace and finishing ability will test Del Prato's defensive resilience, and this duel could determine how many chances Inter create.
2N. Barella vs G. Fabbian: Barella's creativity and drive from midfield will be crucial in breaking down Parma's defense, while Fabbian must disrupt his rhythm to protect the backline.
3A. Bastoni vs V. Sierro: Bastoni's ability to start attacks from the back will be key for Inter, and Sierro's pressing could limit his influence if successful.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Inter

  • Excellent recent form with four wins in last five
  • Strong home record with three wins from three
  • Several key players injured, including Calhanoglu and Dimarco
  • Defensive record not perfect, conceding 8 goals in last five

Parma

  • Recent win in last match could boost morale
  • Defensive stats show they are not easily overrun, with 53% defense rating
  • Poor recent form with only one win in last five
  • Struggling to score, with only 4 goals in last five and two games without a goal

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
83%
API-Football
45%
64%
Inter63298

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (64%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Inter are clear favourites to win this Serie A encounter against Parma at the San Siro, with the market and statistical model both pointing to a home victory.

Form Analysis: Inter arrive in excellent form with a record of four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 8. Their home record is perfect with three wins from three. Parma, by contrast, have struggled with just one win in their last five, scoring only 4 goals and conceding 7. They have failed to score in two of those games and have no clean sheets.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Inter's favour, with seven wins and three draws in the last ten meetings, and no defeats. Inter sit second in the league with 13 points and a +7 goal difference, while Parma are 15th with 4 points and a -3 goal difference. Both teams have injury concerns, but Inter's squad depth should cope better. The weather is neutral, with overcast conditions and minimal wind, which should not hinder Inter's playing style.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Inter win. The combination of superior form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record makes an away upset highly unlikely. Parma's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of scoring threat further reinforce the prediction.

Statistical ContextInter

Combo Winner : Inter and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
InterParma
76%Strength24%
79%Attacking Potential21%
47%Defensive Potential53%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
73%Goals H2H27%
76%Wins the Game24%

More information

Serie A predicted line-ups: Gameweek 1010/10Head-to-headInter – ParmaInjuriesInterInjuriesParmaLive scores

Statistical Context

Inter

WWWWL
  • WOct 28, 26A · Venezia0-2
  • WOct 25, 26H · Fiorentina2-1
  • WOct 21, 26H · Shakhtar Donetsk1-0
  • WOct 17, 26A · Bologna1-3
  • LOct 13, 26H · Club Brugge KV3-4

Parma

DLLWL
  • DOct 28, 26H · Udinese0-0
  • LOct 24, 26A · Lazio2-1
  • LOct 19, 26H · Torino0-3
  • WSep 20, 26H · Genoa2-1
  • LSep 14, 26A · Como2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Inter9+1525WWWWD
2Lazio9+1525WWWWW
18Fiorentina9-105DLLLD
19Parma9-105DLLLW
20Venezia9-133LLWLL

Head to Head

7
Inter
3
Draws
0
Parma
  • May 3, 26Inter – Parma2-0
  • Jan 7, 26Parma – Inter0-2
  • Apr 5, 25Parma – Inter2-2
  • Dec 6, 24Inter – Parma3-1
  • Jan 10, 23Inter – Parma2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

InterParma
Played88
Goals Scored235
Goals Conceded1015
Avg Scored2.90.6
Avg Conceded1.31.9
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

InterParma
Over 2.5 Goals7/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/106/10
Clean Sheets4/102/10

Inter vs Parma — Match Analysis

Inter are clear favourites to win, backed by superior form, a perfect home record, and a dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is that Parma's defensive setup could frustrate Inter and lead to a tighter scoreline than expected.

Inter are clear favourites to win this Serie A encounter against Parma at the San Siro, with the market and statistical model both pointing to a home victory.

Form Analysis: Inter arrive in excellent form with a record of four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 8. Their home record is perfect with three wins from three. Parma, by contrast, have struggled with just one win in their last five, scoring only 4 goals and conceding 7. They have failed to score in two of those games and have no clean sheets.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Inter's favour, with seven wins and three draws in the last ten meetings, and no defeats. Inter sit second in the league with 13 points and a +7 goal difference, while Parma are 15th with 4 points and a -3 goal difference. Both teams have injury concerns, but Inter's squad depth should cope better. The weather is neutral, with overcast conditions and minimal wind, which should not hinder Inter's playing style.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Inter win. The combination of superior form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record makes an away upset highly unlikely. Parma's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of scoring threat further reinforce the prediction.

Win Probabilities: Inter: 83% · Draw: 12% · Parma: 5%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 62%

H2H: Inter wins: 7 · Draws: 3 · Parma wins: 0

Form (latest first): Inter: WWWWL · Parma: DLLWL

  • M. Thuram vs E. Del Prato: Thuram's pace and finishing ability will test Del Prato's defensive resilience, and this duel could determine how many chances Inter create.
  • N. Barella vs G. Fabbian: Barella's creativity and drive from midfield will be crucial in breaking down Parma's defense, while Fabbian must disrupt his rhythm to protect the backline.
  • A. Bastoni vs V. Sierro: Bastoni's ability to start attacks from the back will be key for Inter, and Sierro's pressing could limit his influence if successful.

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Serie A

Serie A

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie AItaly
Bologna
Oct 3114:00
Monza
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Serie AItaly
Udinese
Oct 3117:00
AS Roma
18.3312%
X4.1724%
21.5664%
Serie AItaly
AC Milan
Oct 3119:45
Inter
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Serie AItaly
Como
Nov 111:30
Venezia
11.3574%
X5.5618%
212.508%
Serie AItaly
Lazio
Nov 114:00
Cagliari
11.7956%
X3.5728%
26.2516%
Serie AItaly
Frosinone
Nov 114:00
Torino
12.4441%
X3.7027%
23.1332%
Serie AItaly
Lecce
Nov 117:00
Genoa
13.7027%
X2.9434%
22.5639%
Serie AItaly
Juventus
Nov 119:45
Napoli
11.9651%
X3.3330%
25.2619%
Serie AItaly
Sassuolo
Nov 217:30
Fiorentina
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
Serie AItaly
Atalanta
Nov 219:45
Parma
11.4967%
X4.5522%
29.0911%
Serie AItaly
Venezia
Nov 619:45
Udinese
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
Serie AItaly
Cagliari
Nov 714:00
Frosinone
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Serie AItaly
Torino
Nov 714:00
Lecce
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
Serie AItaly
Parma
Nov 717:00
Bologna
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Serie AItaly
AS Roma
Nov 719:45
Sassuolo
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%

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