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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Motherwell vs Falkirk

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Result • Premiership·Motherwell·Falkirk

Premiership
Premiership
Aug 9, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Motherwell

Motherwell

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.85
X3.70
23.85
Stadium
Fir Park
high Confidence
DRAW
Falkirk

Falkirk

Away
Odds
11.85
X3.70
23.85
Stadium
Fir Park
Win Probabilities
50%
Motherwell
25%
Draw
25%
Falkirk
Home1.8550%
Draw3.7025%
Away3.8525%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Motherwell are favored at 50% to win at home against Falkirk. The draw is rated 25% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Motherwell and Falkirk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Motherwell a 50% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Falkirk a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 44'
    Yellow Card: F. YeatsFalkirk
    Yellow Card: F. Yeats
  2. Substitution: A. LowryOut: M. Booth
    46'
    Substitution: A. LowryMotherwell · Out: M. Booth
  3. 46'
    Substitution: C. SibbaldFalkirk · Out: F. Yeats
    Substitution: C. SibbaldOut: F. Yeats
  4. Yellow Card: M. Moormann
    51'
    Yellow Card: M. MoormannMotherwell
  5. Substitution: J. KoutroumbisOut: T. Sparrow
    64'
    Substitution: J. KoutroumbisMotherwell · Out: T. Sparrow
  6. Substitution: J. Girdwood-ReichOut: M. Moormann
    65'
    Substitution: J. Girdwood-ReichMotherwell · Out: M. Moormann
  7. 65'
    Yellow Card: B. KrauhausFalkirk
    Yellow Card: B. Krauhaus
  8. 68'
    Substitution: R. MacIverFalkirk · Out: B. Parkinson
    Substitution: R. MacIverOut: B. Parkinson
  9. 68'
    Substitution: P. McGovernFalkirk · Out: A. Doherty
    Substitution: P. McGovernOut: A. Doherty
  10. Yellow Card: L. Fadinger
    75'
    Yellow Card: L. FadingerMotherwell
  11. Substitution: E. WilsonOut: E. Longelo
    76'
    Substitution: E. WilsonMotherwell · Out: E. Longelo
  12. Substitution: R. Charles-CookOut: W. Vogt
    76'
    Substitution: R. Charles-CookMotherwell · Out: W. Vogt
  13. 90+1'
    Substitution: J. McMillanFalkirk · Out: B. Krauhaus
    Substitution: J. McMillanOut: B. Krauhaus
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Motherwell

  • Strong attacking form, scoring 6 goals in their last match
  • Solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal in their last match
  • Limited sample size with only one league match played
  • Potential complacency against a lower-ranked opponent

Falkirk

  • Resilient defensive setup, despite conceding 2 goals in their only match
  • Motivation to bounce back from an opening defeat
  • Failed to score in their last match
  • Winless start to the season with zero points

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
50%
API-Football
45%
48%
Motherwell483518

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (48%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Motherwell enter this Premiership clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect start to the season and the advantage of playing at Fir Park. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the independent statistical model both point decisively towards a home victory, giving us high confidence in this prediction.

Form Analysis: Motherwell have won their only league match so far, scoring six goals and conceding just one, a 67% win rate. Falkirk, in contrast, have lost their sole outing without scoring, conceding twice. This stark contrast in early-season momentum heavily favours the home side.

Key Factors: The home advantage is significant, with Motherwell already recording a win at Fir Park. Falkirk sit bottom of the table with zero points and a negative goal difference, while Motherwell occupy second place. The absence of any reported injuries for either side means both teams can field their strongest available line-ups, but the gulf in current form and league position is decisive.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable home win. Motherwell's attacking prowess, defensive solidity, and home comfort should prove too much for a Falkirk side still searching for their first points. Expect the hosts to control the game and secure a victory.

Statistical ContextMotherwell

Winner : Motherwell

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MotherwellFalkirk
36%Strength63%
100%Attacking Potential50%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
9%H2H Strength91%
33%Goals H2H67%
36%Wins the Game63%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MotherwellInjuries · FalkirkLive scores →

Statistical Context

Motherwell

LLLLW
  • LOct 11, 26H · Celtic0-2
  • LSep 19, 26A · Dundee2-1
  • LSep 15, 26H · Aberdeen0-4
  • LSep 5, 26A · Rangers1-0
  • WSep 2, 26H · Dundee Utd3-0

Falkirk

LDWDL
  • LOct 10, 26H · Dundee1-2
  • DSep 19, 26A · ST Johnstone1-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian2-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Dundee Utd1-1
  • LSep 2, 26H · Rangers1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Aberdeen8-28LDWDL
9Motherwell8-48LLLLW
10Hibernian8-47LDLLL
11Falkirk8-46LDWDL
12Kilmarnock8-115LDWDL

Head to Head

0
Motherwell
1
Draws
3
Falkirk
  • May 2, 26Falkirk – Motherwell1-0
  • Apr 4, 26Motherwell – Falkirk2-3
  • Dec 3, 25Falkirk – Motherwell0-0
  • Oct 18, 25Motherwell – Falkirk1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

MotherwellFalkirk
Played77
Goals Scored96
Goals Conceded119
Avg Scored1.30.9
Avg Conceded1.61.3
Clean Sheets21

Motherwell vs Falkirk — Match Analysis

Motherwell are favored at 50% to win at home against Falkirk. The draw is rated 25% and the away win 25%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Motherwell enter this Premiership clash as clear favourites, backed by a perfect start to the season and the advantage of playing at Fir Park. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the independent statistical model both point decisively towards a home victory, giving us high confidence in this prediction.

Form Analysis: Motherwell have won their only league match so far, scoring six goals and conceding just one, a 67% win rate. Falkirk, in contrast, have lost their sole outing without scoring, conceding twice. This stark contrast in early-season momentum heavily favours the home side.

Key Factors: The home advantage is significant, with Motherwell already recording a win at Fir Park. Falkirk sit bottom of the table with zero points and a negative goal difference, while Motherwell occupy second place. The absence of any reported injuries for either side means both teams can field their strongest available line-ups, but the gulf in current form and league position is decisive.

Conclusion: All available data points to a comfortable home win. Motherwell's attacking prowess, defensive solidity, and home comfort should prove too much for a Falkirk side still searching for their first points. Expect the hosts to control the game and secure a victory.

Win Probabilities: Motherwell: 50% · Draw: 25% · Falkirk: 25%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Motherwell wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Falkirk wins: 3

Form (latest first): Motherwell: LLLLW · Falkirk: LDWDL

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 1714:00
Motherwell
14.0025%
X3.1332%
22.3343%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Oct 1714:00
Dundee Utd
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Oct 1719:00
Rangers
19.0911%
X4.5522%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 1814:00
Heart Of Midlothian
11.5963%
X4.3523%
27.1414%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Oct 2414:00
Dundee
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 2414:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 2414:00
Aberdeen
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 2414:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 2512:00
Celtic
Early projection
17.1414%
X5.8817%
21.4569%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 2514:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 2819:45
Dundee Utd
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
PremiershipScotland
ST Mirren
Oct 2819:45
Hibernian
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 2819:45
Falkirk
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%

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