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  1. Home
  2. Premiership
  3. Hibernian vs Kilmarnock

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock

Result • Premiership·Hibernian·Kilmarnock

Premiership
Premiership
Sep 15, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
Hibernian

Hibernian

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.49
X4.60
25.60
Stadium
Easter Road
high Confidence
WINNER
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
Odds
11.49
X4.60
25.60
Stadium
Easter Road
Win Probabilities
64%
Hibernian
23%
Draw
13%
Kilmarnock
Home1.4964%
Draw4.6023%
Away5.6013%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Hibernian are clear favourites to win, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and Kilmarnock's poor form. The main risk is Hibernian's inconsistency, but Kilmarnock's lack of goalscoring threat makes an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this Premiership fixture between Hibernian and Kilmarnock using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Hibernian a 64% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Kilmarnock a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 59%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 59%

Match Events

  1. Substitution: Grant HanleyOut: Kanayo Megwa
    8'
    Substitution: Grant HanleyHibernian · Out: Kanayo Megwa
  2. 31'
    Yellow Card: Tyreece John-JulesKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: Tyreece John-Jules
  3. 40'
    Goal: George StangerKilmarnock
    Goal: George Stanger
  4. Substitution: Nathan LoweOut: Thibault Klidjé
    53'
    Substitution: Nathan LoweHibernian · Out: Thibault Klidjé
  5. Substitution: Martin BoyleOut: Callum·Wright
    53'
    Substitution: Martin BoyleHibernian · Out: Callum·Wright
  6. Substitution: Owen EldingOut: Ante Suto
    53'
    Substitution: Owen EldingHibernian · Out: Ante Suto
  7. 56'
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledKilmarnock · Joe Hugill
    VAR: VAR · Goal cancelledJoe Hugill
  8. Substitution: Miguel Changa ChaiwaOut: Jacob Devaney
    67'
    Substitution: Miguel Changa ChaiwaHibernian · Out: Jacob Devaney
  9. 67'
    Substitution: Mark O'HaraKilmarnock · Out: Bailey Rice
    Substitution: Mark O'HaraOut: Bailey Rice
  10. 67'
    Substitution: Jamie BrandonKilmarnock · Out: Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
    Substitution: Jamie BrandonOut: Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
  11. 73'
    Substitution: Djenairo DanielsKilmarnock · Out: Tyreece John-Jules
    Substitution: Djenairo DanielsOut: Tyreece John-Jules
  12. 78'
    Yellow Card: Djenairo DanielsKilmarnock
    Yellow Card: Djenairo Daniels
  13. 90+1'
    Substitution: Rory McKenzieKilmarnock · Out: Erik Ring
    Substitution: Rory McKenzieOut: Erik Ring
  14. 90+2'
    Red Card: Djenairo DanielsKilmarnock
    Red Card: Djenairo Daniels
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Boyle vs J. Brandon: Boyle's pace and dribbling will test Brandon's defensive capabilities, potentially creating scoring opportunities.
2J. Iredale vs J. Hugill: Iredale's defensive solidity will be crucial in containing Hugill, Kilmarnock's main attacking threat.
3N. Cadden vs M. O'Hara: Cadden's energy in midfield will be key to winning the battle against O'Hara, who is Kilmarnock's creative outlet.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Hibernian

  • Strong head-to-head record (5 wins in last 5)
  • Better recent form with a win in last match
  • Inconsistent form (LLWWL)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (1.8 goals conceded per game)

Kilmarnock

  • Two draw streak shows some resilience
  • One clean sheet in last five
  • No wins in last five (DLLLL)
  • Poor attacking output (0.8 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Hibernian543412

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Hibernian are clear favourites to win this Premiership clash at Easter Road, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. The model even suggests a double chance on Hibernian or draw, reinforcing the home side's dominance.

Form Analysis: Hibernian's recent form reads LLWWL, showing inconsistency but with a win in their last outing. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, are in dire straits with DLLLL, failing to win any of their last five and scoring just four goals while conceding fourteen. The form comparison heavily favours the home side, with Hibernian rated at 86% versus Kilmarnock's 14%.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Hibernian's favour, with five wins and five draws in the last five meetings, and Kilmarnock yet to taste victory. Additionally, Kilmarnock have failed to score in three of their last five games, highlighting their attacking woes. The home advantage at Easter Road further tilts the scales, with a rating of 0.55. Weather conditions are expected to be minor, with patchy rain and moderate wind, which should not significantly impact the game.

Conclusion: Given the stark contrast in form, the historical dominance, and the statistical backing, Hibernian are expected to secure a comfortable win. Kilmarnock's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of scoring threat make an upset unlikely.

Statistical ContextHibernian

Double chance : Hibernian or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
HibernianKilmarnock
67%Strength33%
64%Attacking Potential36%
61%Defensive Potential39%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
85%H2H Strength15%
71%Goals H2H29%
67%Wins the Game33%
Head-to-head →Injuries · HibernianInjuries · KilmarnockLive scores →

Statistical Context

Hibernian

DLLWL
  • DSep 19, 26H · Aberdeen1-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · ST Johnstone2-1
  • LSep 3, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian1-3
  • WAug 30, 26A · Dundee1-2
  • LAug 27, 26H · Gent2-3

Kilmarnock

DDLLL
  • DSep 19, 26H · Heart Of Midlothian1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Aberdeen0-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · ST Mirren0-1
  • LAug 29, 26H · Dundee Utd0-4
  • LAug 9, 26H · Celtic1-5

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Aberdeen6-17WDLLL
9Hibernian6-36LLLWW
10Falkirk6-35WDLLD
11Dundee Utd6-55DLWLL
12Kilmarnock6-94WDLLL

Head to Head

5
Hibernian
5
Draws
0
Kilmarnock
  • Apr 4, 26Hibernian – Kilmarnock3-0
  • Jan 3, 26Kilmarnock – Hibernian1-3
  • Aug 10, 25Hibernian – Kilmarnock2-2
  • Mar 15, 25Kilmarnock – Hibernian1-1
  • Dec 29, 24Hibernian – Kilmarnock1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

HibernianKilmarnock
Played66
Goals Scored75
Goals Conceded1014
Avg Scored1.20.8
Avg Conceded1.72.3
Clean Sheets02

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock — Match Analysis

Hibernian are clear favourites to win, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and Kilmarnock's poor form. The main risk is Hibernian's inconsistency, but Kilmarnock's lack of goalscoring threat makes an upset unlikely.

Hibernian are clear favourites to win this Premiership clash at Easter Road, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. The model even suggests a double chance on Hibernian or draw, reinforcing the home side's dominance.

Form Analysis: Hibernian's recent form reads LLWWL, showing inconsistency but with a win in their last outing. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, are in dire straits with DLLLL, failing to win any of their last five and scoring just four goals while conceding fourteen. The form comparison heavily favours the home side, with Hibernian rated at 86% versus Kilmarnock's 14%.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Hibernian's favour, with five wins and five draws in the last five meetings, and Kilmarnock yet to taste victory. Additionally, Kilmarnock have failed to score in three of their last five games, highlighting their attacking woes. The home advantage at Easter Road further tilts the scales, with a rating of 0.55. Weather conditions are expected to be minor, with patchy rain and moderate wind, which should not significantly impact the game.

Conclusion: Given the stark contrast in form, the historical dominance, and the statistical backing, Hibernian are expected to secure a comfortable win. Kilmarnock's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of scoring threat make an upset unlikely.

Win Probabilities: Hibernian: 64% · Draw: 23% · Kilmarnock: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 56% · Under 2.5: 44% · BTTS: 59%

H2H: Hibernian wins: 5 · Draws: 5 · Kilmarnock wins: 0

Form (latest first): Hibernian: DLLWL · Kilmarnock: DDLLL

  • M. Boyle vs J. Brandon: Boyle's pace and dribbling will test Brandon's defensive capabilities, potentially creating scoring opportunities.
  • J. Iredale vs J. Hugill: Iredale's defensive solidity will be crucial in containing Hugill, Kilmarnock's main attacking threat.
  • N. Cadden vs M. O'Hara: Cadden's energy in midfield will be key to winning the battle against O'Hara, who is Kilmarnock's creative outlet.

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Premiership

Premiership

Scotland13 · Upcoming Fixtures
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Sep 2011:00
Rangers
11.9252%
X3.5728%
25.0020%
PremiershipScotland
Heart Of Midlothian
Oct 1014:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
PremiershipScotland
Rangers
Oct 1014:00
Kilmarnock
Early projection
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee Utd
Oct 1014:00
Hibernian
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
PremiershipScotland
Falkirk
Oct 1014:00
Dundee
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
PremiershipScotland
Motherwell
Oct 1111:00
Celtic
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1113:00
ST Johnstone
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.8526%
22.5040%
PremiershipScotland
Hibernian
Oct 1714:00
Falkirk
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
PremiershipScotland
Kilmarnock
Oct 1714:00
Motherwell
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
PremiershipScotland
Aberdeen
Oct 1714:00
ST Mirren
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
PremiershipScotland
ST Johnstone
Oct 1714:00
Dundee Utd
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
PremiershipScotland
Dundee
Oct 1719:00
Rangers
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
PremiershipScotland
Celtic
Oct 1814:00
Heart Of Midlothian
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%

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