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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua

UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua

Result • Liga 1·UTC Cajamarca·UCV Moquegua

Liga 1
Liga 1
Jul 26, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
DRAW
UTC Cajamarca

UTC Cajamarca

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.63
X3.80
25.20
Stadium
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
high Confidence
DRAW
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Away
Odds
11.63
X3.80
25.20
Stadium
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Win Probabilities
54%
UTC Cajamarca
30%
Draw
16%
UCV Moquegua
Home1.6354%
Draw3.8030%
Away5.2016%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

UTC Cajamarca are favored at 54% to win at home against UCV Moquegua. The draw is rated 30% and the away win 16%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between UTC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns UTC Cajamarca a 54% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and UCV Moquegua a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1B. Duarte vs UCV Moquegua defence: The home side's top scorer will look to exploit any defensive lapses from the visitors.
2E. Lastre vs UTC Cajamarca defence: The away team's leading scorer will be the main threat, and containing him is key for the home side.
3Midfield battle: UTC Cajamarca's 4-1-4-1 vs UCV Moquegua's 4-4-2 will see a contest for control in the middle of the park.
Strengths · Weaknesses

UTC Cajamarca

  • Dominant head-to-head record
  • Home advantage
  • Low overall win rate (22%)
  • Recent poor form (1 draw in last 5)

UCV Moquegua

  • Unbeaten in last four matches
  • Better defensive record (2 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 games
  • Poor head-to-head record against UTC Cajamarca

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
UTC Cajamarca503813

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

UTC Cajamarca are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 encounter against UCV Moquegua, according to the market. The home side's perfect head-to-head record and the visitors' recent scoring struggles provide strong supporting evidence.

Form Analysis: UCV Moquegua come into this match on a four-game unbeaten streak, but they have failed to score in three of their last five matches, indicating a lack of cutting edge. UTC Cajamarca have a poor overall win rate of 22% but have shown resilience at home with a record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in eight home games.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily in favour of UTC Cajamarca, who have won all five previous meetings. Additionally, UCV Moquegua's attacking struggles, with only one goal per game on average and three blanks in five matches, suggest they may find it difficult to breach the home defence. The absence of any significant injuries means both sides are at full strength.

Conclusion: With a dominant H2H record, home advantage, and an opponent that has struggled to score recently, UTC Cajamarca are well-positioned to secure a victory. The odds reflect this, and the data supports a home win as the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextUTC Cajamarca

Double chance : UTC Cajamarca or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
52%Strength47%
50%Attacking Potential50%
40%Defensive Potential60%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
100%H2H Strength50%
60%Goals H2H40%
52%Wins the Game47%

Statistical Context

UTC Cajamarca

LLDLL
  • LAug 22, 26H · Comerciantes Unidos1-3
  • LAug 16, 26A · Alianza Lima1-0
  • DAug 8, 26H · ADT1-1
  • LAug 1, 26A · Cusco4-1
  • LJul 18, 26A · Atletico Grau3-1

UCV Moquegua

WDLDD
  • WAug 22, 26A · Sport Huancayo0-2
  • DAug 16, 26H · Sport Boys1-1
  • LAug 9, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso2-0
  • DAug 2, 26H · FBC Melgar0-0
  • DJul 18, 26H · Comerciantes Unidos2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Juan Pablo II College6+28WLDLW
12UCV Moquegua607WDLDD
13Sport Huancayo6-27LLDWW
14Club Deportivo Los Chankas6-67LLDWL
15FC Cajamarca6-44LLWLL
16Cienciano6-74LDLWL
17UTC Cajamarca6-82LLDLD
18ADT6-82LDDLL

Head to Head

1
UTC Cajamarca
0
Draws
0
UCV Moquegua
  • Feb 6, 26UCV Moquegua – UTC Cajamarca2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua
Played2222
Goals Scored2420
Goals Conceded3529
Avg Scored1.10.9
Avg Conceded1.61.3
Clean Sheets46

UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua — Match Analysis

UTC Cajamarca are favored at 54% to win at home against UCV Moquegua. The draw is rated 30% and the away win 16%, so the numbers point to a home result.

UTC Cajamarca are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 encounter against UCV Moquegua, according to the market. The home side's perfect head-to-head record and the visitors' recent scoring struggles provide strong supporting evidence.

Form Analysis: UCV Moquegua come into this match on a four-game unbeaten streak, but they have failed to score in three of their last five matches, indicating a lack of cutting edge. UTC Cajamarca have a poor overall win rate of 22% but have shown resilience at home with a record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in eight home games.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record is heavily in favour of UTC Cajamarca, who have won all five previous meetings. Additionally, UCV Moquegua's attacking struggles, with only one goal per game on average and three blanks in five matches, suggest they may find it difficult to breach the home defence. The absence of any significant injuries means both sides are at full strength.

Conclusion: With a dominant H2H record, home advantage, and an opponent that has struggled to score recently, UTC Cajamarca are well-positioned to secure a victory. The odds reflect this, and the data supports a home win as the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: UTC Cajamarca: 54% · Draw: 30% · UCV Moquegua: 16%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: UTC Cajamarca wins: 1 · Draws: 0 · UCV Moquegua wins: 0

Form (latest first): UTC Cajamarca: LLDLL · UCV Moquegua: WDLDD

  • B. Duarte vs UCV Moquegua defence: The home side's top scorer will look to exploit any defensive lapses from the visitors.
  • E. Lastre vs UTC Cajamarca defence: The away team's leading scorer will be the main threat, and containing him is key for the home side.
  • Midfield battle: UTC Cajamarca's 4-1-4-1 vs UCV Moquegua's 4-4-2 will see a contest for control in the middle of the park.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.5963%
X4.0025%
28.3312%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%