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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Austin vs Sporting Kansas City

Austin vs Sporting Kansas City

Result • MLS·Austin·Sporting Kansas City

MLS
MLS
May 17, 2026
00:30
medium Confidence
Austin

Austin

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
11.55
X3.90
24.75
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
medium Confidence
WINNER
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

Away
Odds
11.55
X3.90
24.75
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
Win Probabilities
33%
Austin
33%
Draw
34%
Sporting Kansas City
Home1.5533%
Draw3.9033%
Away4.7534%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sporting Kansas City's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Austin and Sporting Kansas City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Austin a 33% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Sporting Kansas City a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Austin's defense vs D. Joveljić: Austin's defensive unit must contain Sporting Kansas City's top scorer to limit away threats.
2Midfield control: Both teams use 4-3-3, making midfield battles crucial for possession and creating chances.
3Injured players impact: Austin's multiple doubtful injuries could weaken their lineup against Sporting Kansas City's attacking setup.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Austin

  • Defensive rating of 57% from API comparison
  • Home advantage with rating 0.55
  • 2 consecutive losses
  • 4 doubtful injuries affecting squad depth

Sporting Kansas City

  • Attack rating of 50% from API comparison
  • Key player D. Joveljić with 3 goals
  • 4 consecutive losses
  • Poor defensive record with 2.8 goals conceded per match

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
34%
API-Football
45%
40%
Sporting Kansas City223940

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw, with Sporting Kansas City having a slight edge for an away win, as indicated by the market probabilities and API-Football model.

Form Analysis: Both teams are struggling: Austin has 2 consecutive losses, with 8 goals for and 11 against in their last 5 matches, while Sporting Kansas City has 4 consecutive losses, with 7 goals for and 17 against. Their recent forms show poor defensive records and low scoring averages.

Key Factors: 1. The market probabilities are nearly balanced (33% home win, 33% draw, 34% away win), suggesting no clear favorite. 2. The API-Football model predicts a draw or Sporting Kansas City win, with expected goals indicating low scoring. 3. Injuries include 4 doubtful players for Austin and 1 for Sporting Kansas City, potentially affecting team performance.

Conclusion: The data points to a tight match with a high likelihood of a draw, supported by balanced odds and poor form from both sides, making a decisive outcome uncertain.

Statistical ContextSporting Kansas City

Double chance : draw or Sporting Kansas City

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AustinSporting Kansas City
49%Strength51%
50%Attacking Potential50%
57%Defensive Potential43%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
38%Goals H2H63%
49%Wins the Game51%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · AustinInjuries · Sporting Kansas City</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Austin

DDWDW
  • DSep 10, 26H · Colorado Rapids1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · San Jose Earthquakes1-1
  • WAug 30, 26A · Portland Timbers1-2
  • DAug 23, 26H · Philadelphia Union1-1
  • WAug 20, 26A · Seattle Sounders1-2

Sporting Kansas City

LLLDL
  • LSep 6, 26A · FC Dallas4-3
  • LAug 30, 26H · Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Atlanta United FC2-1
  • DAug 20, 26H · St. Louis City1-1
  • LAug 16, 26A · Colorado Rapids2-0

Head to Head

6
Austin
0
Draws
3
Sporting Kansas City
  • Feb 14, 26Sporting Kansas City – Austin2-0
  • Sep 7, 25Sporting Kansas City – Austin1-2
  • Feb 23, 25Austin – Sporting Kansas City1-0
  • Jun 30, 24Sporting Kansas City – Austin2-0
  • May 19, 24Austin – Sporting Kansas City3-2

Season Statistics — 2026

AustinSporting Kansas City
Played2323
Goals Scored2923
Goals Conceded4258
Avg Scored1.31.0
Avg Conceded1.82.5
Clean Sheets40

Austin vs Sporting Kansas City — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sporting Kansas City's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw, with Sporting Kansas City having a slight edge for an away win, as indicated by the market probabilities and API-Football model.

Form Analysis: Both teams are struggling: Austin has 2 consecutive losses, with 8 goals for and 11 against in their last 5 matches, while Sporting Kansas City has 4 consecutive losses, with 7 goals for and 17 against. Their recent forms show poor defensive records and low scoring averages.

Key Factors: 1. The market probabilities are nearly balanced (33% home win, 33% draw, 34% away win), suggesting no clear favorite. 2. The API-Football model predicts a draw or Sporting Kansas City win, with expected goals indicating low scoring. 3. Injuries include 4 doubtful players for Austin and 1 for Sporting Kansas City, potentially affecting team performance.

Conclusion: The data points to a tight match with a high likelihood of a draw, supported by balanced odds and poor form from both sides, making a decisive outcome uncertain.

Win Probabilities: Austin: 33% · Draw: 33% · Sporting Kansas City: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 30% · Under 2.5: 70% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Austin wins: 6 · Draws: 0 · Sporting Kansas City wins: 3

Form (latest first): Austin: DDWDW · Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL

  • Austin's defense vs D. Joveljić: Austin's defensive unit must contain Sporting Kansas City's top scorer to limit away threats.
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-3-3, making midfield battles crucial for possession and creating chances.
  • Injured players impact: Austin's multiple doubtful injuries could weaken their lineup against Sporting Kansas City's attacking setup.

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Orlando City SC
Sep 1223:30
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12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Sep 1223:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1223:30
Atlanta United FC
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Sep 1223:30
Charlotte
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 1223:30
Nashville SC
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 1300:30
Portland Timbers
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 1300:30
Los Angeles FC
16.2516%
X3.8526%
21.7258%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 1300:30
Minnesota United FC
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 1301:30
New York City FC
12.5639%
X3.3330%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 1301:30
CF Montreal
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1302:30
Houston Dynamo
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sep 1302:30
Seattle Sounders
12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Chicago Fire
Sep 1321:30
New England Revolution
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sep 1322:30
Austin
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
MLSUSA
San Diego
Sep 1401:00
Philadelphia Union
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%

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