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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire

CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire

Result • MLS·CF Montreal·Chicago Fire

MLS
MLS
May 16, 2026
20:30
low Confidence
CF Montreal

CF Montreal

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.90
X3.80
22.20
Stadium
Saputo Stadium
low Confidence
WINNER
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

Away
Odds
12.90
X3.80
22.20
Stadium
Saputo Stadium
Win Probabilities
33%
CF Montreal
27%
Draw
40%
Chicago Fire
Home2.9033%
Draw3.8027%
Away2.2040%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a narrow victory for Chicago Fire, as their attacking firepower overcomes Montreal's resilient defense. The winds of form favor the visitors, but the home crowd may inspire an upset.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns CF Montreal a 33% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Chicago Fire a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Owusu vs Chicago defense: Montreal's top scorer will test a vulnerable Chicago backline.
2H. Cuypers vs Montreal defense: The away team's leading goal scorer faces a solid Montreal defense.
3Midfield battle: Montreal's 4-3-3 vs Chicago's 4-2-3-1 will be crucial for control.
Strengths · Weaknesses

CF Montreal

  • Defensive solidity with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Home advantage at Saputo Stadium
  • Low league position (13th) with -26 GD
  • Poor recent form (LDWLL)

Chicago Fire

  • Strong attack rated 58%
  • Excellent recent form (DDWWW)
  • Multiple doubtful players (5)
  • Defense rated only 38% in comparison

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
35%
35%
Chicago Fire343135

Moderate agreement on away win (35%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Based on the data, Chicago Fire is favored to win this MLS match against CF Montreal.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire has strong recent form (DDWWW) and sits 8th in the standings with 53 points, while Montreal is 13th with 28 points and poor form (LDWLL). Montreal has 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, but Chicago averages 2.4 goals scored per game.

Key Factors: Chicago's attack (58% rating) vs Montreal's defense (63% rating) is a key battle. Chicago has 5 players doubtful but none confirmed out, while Montreal has 1 doubtful. H2H is even (4 wins each in last 10).

Conclusion: Chicago's superior form and league position give them the edge, but Montreal's home advantage and defensive solidity keep this competitive. The odds favor Chicago, and the API model suggests a close match with a slight lean to Montreal. We follow the odds with a medium confidence prediction of an away win.

Statistical ContextCF Montreal

Double chance : CF Montreal or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CF MontrealChicago Fire
47%Strength53%
42%Attacking Potential58%
63%Defensive Potential38%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
38%Goals H2H63%
47%Wins the Game53%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · CF MontrealInjuries · Chicago Fire</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

CF Montreal

LLLDW
  • LSep 9, 26H · Charlotte1-2
  • LSep 5, 26A · Philadelphia Union2-0
  • LAug 29, 26A · Inter Miami7-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Los Angeles Galaxy2-2
  • WAug 19, 26A · Columbus Crew1-2

Chicago Fire

DDDDW
  • DSep 10, 26H · Inter Miami1-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Toronto FC4-4
  • DAug 29, 26A · Seattle Sounders2-2
  • DAug 22, 26A · New York Red Bulls1-1
  • WAug 19, 26A · Orlando City SC1-2

Head to Head

4
CF Montreal
2
Draws
4
Chicago Fire
  • Feb 28, 26Chicago Fire – CF Montreal3-0
  • Jul 19, 25CF Montreal – Chicago Fire0-2
  • Mar 30, 25Chicago Fire – CF Montreal1-1
  • Sep 21, 24CF Montreal – Chicago Fire2-0
  • Mar 16, 24Chicago Fire – CF Montreal4-3

Season Statistics — 2026

CF MontrealChicago Fire
Played2421
Goals Scored3139
Goals Conceded5028
Avg Scored1.31.9
Avg Conceded2.11.3
Clean Sheets46

CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a narrow victory for Chicago Fire, as their attacking firepower overcomes Montreal's resilient defense. The winds of form favor the visitors, but the home crowd may inspire an upset.

Based on the data, Chicago Fire is favored to win this MLS match against CF Montreal.

Form Analysis: Chicago Fire has strong recent form (DDWWW) and sits 8th in the standings with 53 points, while Montreal is 13th with 28 points and poor form (LDWLL). Montreal has 3 clean sheets in last 5 games, but Chicago averages 2.4 goals scored per game.

Key Factors: Chicago's attack (58% rating) vs Montreal's defense (63% rating) is a key battle. Chicago has 5 players doubtful but none confirmed out, while Montreal has 1 doubtful. H2H is even (4 wins each in last 10).

Conclusion: Chicago's superior form and league position give them the edge, but Montreal's home advantage and defensive solidity keep this competitive. The odds favor Chicago, and the API model suggests a close match with a slight lean to Montreal. We follow the odds with a medium confidence prediction of an away win.

Win Probabilities: CF Montreal: 33% · Draw: 27% · Chicago Fire: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: CF Montreal wins: 4 · Draws: 2 · Chicago Fire wins: 4

Form (latest first): CF Montreal: LLLDW · Chicago Fire: DDDDW

  • P. Owusu vs Chicago defense: Montreal's top scorer will test a vulnerable Chicago backline.
  • H. Cuypers vs Montreal defense: The away team's leading goal scorer faces a solid Montreal defense.
  • Midfield battle: Montreal's 4-3-3 vs Chicago's 4-2-3-1 will be crucial for control.

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MLSUSA
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11.9651%
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24.5522%
MLSUSA
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12.7037%
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MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Sep 1223:30
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12.4441%
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23.3330%
MLSUSA
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16.2516%
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MLSUSA
St. Louis City
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12.3343%
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Sep 1301:30
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12.5639%
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11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
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Sep 1302:30
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12.5040%
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22.9434%
MLSUSA
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12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
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Sep 1321:30
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11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
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Sep 1322:30
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11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
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Sep 1401:00
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