DC United vs Chicago Fire

Result • MLS

MLS
MLS
13 May 2026
23:30
DC United

DC United

🏠Home
Final Score
1-3
Predicted: 1-2
WINNER
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

✈️Away
Odds
12.75
X3.60
22.45
🏟️Stadium
Audi Field
Win Probabilities
Home29%
Draw31%
⭐Away40%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

“The Oracle sees Chicago Fire's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.”

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between DC United and Chicago Fire using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns DC United a 29% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Chicago Fire a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

DC United 29%Draw 31%Chicago Fire 40%Predicted Score: 1-2BTTS: 60%
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

⚡

Analysis & Key Battles

DC United

HOME
✓
Strengths
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Strong home form
  • Solid defense with 2 clean sheets in last 5
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Low league position (15th)
  • Negative goal difference (-36)
  • Inconsistent attacking output

Chicago Fire

AWAY
✓
Strengths
  • Higher league position (8th)
  • Strong attack averaging 2.4 goals per game
  • Positive goal difference (+8)
⚠
Weaknesses
  • Current 3-match losing streak
  • Concede an average of 2.2 goals per game
  • Several doubtful players

Key Player Battles

⚔️T. Baribo vs Chicago Fire defense: Baribo's movement and finishing will test a defense that has conceded 2.2 goals per game recently.
⚔️H. Cuypers vs DC United defense: Cuypers' prolific scoring (10 goals) poses a major threat to DC United's backline.
⚔️Midfield control: DC United's 4-4-2 vs Chicago Fire's 4-3-3; the midfield battle will determine possession and chances created.

Combined Analysis

Multi-source prediction consensus

Medium Agreement

Moderate agreement on away win (43%).

DC United Win20%
Draw38%
Chicago Fire Win43%

Key Insights

Reasoning behind the prediction

AI Analysis
Medium Confidence

Based on the data, Chicago Fire is the slight favorite to win, but the match is expected to be competitive.

Form Analysis: DC United is on a 5-match unbeaten streak, while Chicago Fire has lost 3 consecutive matches. However, Chicago Fire has a stronger overall record (8th place, 53 points) compared to DC United (15th place, 26 points).

Key Factors: Chicago Fire's superior league position and attacking stats (avg 2.4 goals scored) are balanced by DC United's home advantage and recent form. Injuries are minimal for both sides.

Conclusion: The odds and API model slightly favor Chicago Fire, but DC United's momentum and home support make this a close contest. A narrow away win or draw is most likely.

Statistical Context
Chicago Fire

Combo Double chance : draw or Chicago Fire and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

DC UnitedChicago Fire
Strength
48%
51%
Attacking Potential
48%
52%
Defensive Potential
53%
47%
Poisson Distribution
50%
50%
H2H Strength
62%
38%
Goals H2H
40%
60%
Wins the Game
48%
51%

DC United vs Chicago Fire — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Chicago Fire's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the data, Chicago Fire is the slight favorite to win, but the match is expected to be competitive.

Form Analysis: DC United is on a 5-match unbeaten streak, while Chicago Fire has lost 3 consecutive matches. However, Chicago Fire has a stronger overall record (8th place, 53 points) compared to DC United (15th place, 26 points).

Key Factors: Chicago Fire's superior league position and attacking stats (avg 2.4 goals scored) are balanced by DC United's home advantage and recent form. Injuries are minimal for both sides.

Conclusion: The odds and API model slightly favor Chicago Fire, but DC United's momentum and home support make this a close contest. A narrow away win or draw is most likely.

Win Probabilities: DC United: 29% · Draw: 31% · Chicago Fire: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: DC United wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Chicago Fire wins: 4

Form: DC United: DDWWD · Chicago Fire: DWLLL

  • T. Baribo vs Chicago Fire defense: Baribo's movement and finishing will test a defense that has conceded 2.2 goals per game recently.
  • H. Cuypers vs DC United defense: Cuypers' prolific scoring (10 goals) poses a major threat to DC United's backline.
  • Midfield control: DC United's 4-4-2 vs Chicago Fire's 4-3-3; the midfield battle will determine possession and chances created.

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