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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew

Result • MLS·Philadelphia Union·Columbus Crew

MLS
MLS
May 16, 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.30
X3.60
22.90
Stadium
Subaru Park
medium Confidence
DRAW
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.60
22.90
Stadium
Subaru Park
Win Probabilities
33%
Philadelphia Union
31%
Draw
36%
Columbus Crew
Home2.3033%
Draw3.6031%
Away2.9036%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Philadelphia's home fortress and league dominance overcome Columbus's historical edge. A narrow victory awaits the Union.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Philadelphia Union a 33% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Columbus Crew a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: B. Bender
    9'
    Yellow Card: B. BenderPhiladelphia Union
  2. 10'
    Goal: H. PicardColumbus Crew
    Goal: H. Picard
  3. Yellow Card: M. Iloski
    26'
    Yellow Card: M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union
  4. 30'
    Yellow Card: R. CamachoColumbus Crew
    Yellow Card: R. Camacho
  5. Yellow Card: O. Makhanya
    45+1'
    Yellow Card: O. MakhanyaPhiladelphia Union
  6. Substitution: A. AnelloOut: J. Lukic
    46'
    Substitution: A. AnelloPhiladelphia Union · Out: J. Lukic
  7. Substitution: E. AlladohOut: B. Damiani
    65'
    Substitution: E. AlladohPhiladelphia Union · Out: B. Damiani
  8. 66'
    Substitution: A. HerreraColumbus Crew · Out: M. Farsi
    Substitution: A. HerreraOut: M. Farsi
  9. 66'
    Substitution: D. ChambostColumbus Crew · Out: A. Gomes
    Substitution: D. ChambostOut: A. Gomes
  10. Goal: M. IloskiAssist: A. Anello
    70'
    Goal: M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union · Assist: A. Anello
  11. 80'
    Substitution: T. HabrouneColumbus Crew · Out: D. Gazdag
    Substitution: T. HabrouneOut: D. Gazdag
  12. 80'
    Substitution: A. SejdicColumbus Crew · Out: S. Bangoura
    Substitution: A. SejdicOut: S. Bangoura
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Sery Larsen vs Columbus Crew defense: Philadelphia's top scorer will test a vulnerable backline.
2W. Abou Ali vs Philadelphia Union defense: Columbus's key attacker looks to exploit home side's defensive frailties.
3Midfield battle: Both teams' midfielders will compete for control in the center of the park.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Philadelphia Union

  • Top of the standings
  • Home advantage
  • Recent 2-loss streak
  • Defensive lapses (2.2 goals conceded per game)

Columbus Crew

  • Strong head-to-head record
  • Higher average goals scored (2.0 per game)
  • 3-loss streak
  • Defensive issues (2.0 goals conceded per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Columbus Crew223841

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Philadelphia Union are predicted to win this MLS clash against Columbus Crew, based on their superior league position and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Philadelphia Union have a 2-loss streak but average 1.4 goals scored per game, while Columbus Crew have a 3-loss streak and average 2.0 goals scored. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over 2 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Philadelphia Union sit 1st in the standings with 66 points and a +22 goal difference, compared to Columbus Crew's 7th place with 54 points and +4 GD. The head-to-head record favors Columbus Crew with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, but Philadelphia have home advantage. Both teams have key players doubtful, but Philadelphia's injuries are less impactful.

Conclusion: Despite recent form struggles, Philadelphia Union's strong season and home support give them the edge. The bookmaker odds reflect a slight favorite status, and the API model's expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextColumbus Crew

Double chance : draw or Columbus Crew

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
31%Strength68%
47%Attacking Potential53%
48%Defensive Potential52%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
31%Goals H2H69%
31%Wins the Game68%

More information

MLS predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3314/15Head-to-headPhiladelphia Union – Columbus CrewInjuriesPhiladelphia UnionInjuriesColumbus CrewLive scores

Statistical Context

Philadelphia Union

DLDWW
  • DOct 29, 26A · Nashville SC0-0
  • LOct 24, 26H · New England Revolution1-2
  • DOct 17, 26H · Charlotte2-2
  • WOct 15, 26A · Chicago Fire1-3
  • WOct 10, 26H · Real Salt Lake2-1

Columbus Crew

WWWWL
  • WOct 29, 26A · FC Dallas0-2
  • WOct 24, 26H · Toronto FC4-2
  • WOct 18, 26A · FC Cincinnati0-2
  • WOct 14, 26H · Charlotte3-1
  • LOct 10, 26A · Orlando City SC3-2

Head to Head

2
Philadelphia Union
3
Draws
5
Columbus Crew
  • Apr 25, 26Columbus Crew – Philadelphia Union2-0
  • Jun 29, 25Columbus Crew – Philadelphia Union1-0
  • May 10, 25Philadelphia Union – Columbus Crew2-2
  • Oct 5, 24Columbus Crew – Philadelphia Union3-2
  • Aug 28, 24Philadelphia Union – Columbus Crew0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
Played3131
Goals Scored6250
Goals Conceded5049
Avg Scored2.01.6
Avg Conceded1.61.6
Clean Sheets66

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Philadelphia's home fortress and league dominance overcome Columbus's historical edge. A narrow victory awaits the Union.

Philadelphia Union are predicted to win this MLS clash against Columbus Crew, based on their superior league position and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Philadelphia Union have a 2-loss streak but average 1.4 goals scored per game, while Columbus Crew have a 3-loss streak and average 2.0 goals scored. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over 2 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Philadelphia Union sit 1st in the standings with 66 points and a +22 goal difference, compared to Columbus Crew's 7th place with 54 points and +4 GD. The head-to-head record favors Columbus Crew with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, but Philadelphia have home advantage. Both teams have key players doubtful, but Philadelphia's injuries are less impactful.

Conclusion: Despite recent form struggles, Philadelphia Union's strong season and home support give them the edge. The bookmaker odds reflect a slight favorite status, and the API model's expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Philadelphia Union: 33% · Draw: 31% · Columbus Crew: 36%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Philadelphia Union wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Columbus Crew wins: 5

Form (latest first): Philadelphia Union: DLDWW · Columbus Crew: WWWWL

  • J. Sery Larsen vs Columbus Crew defense: Philadelphia's top scorer will test a vulnerable backline.
  • W. Abou Ali vs Philadelphia Union defense: Columbus's key attacker looks to exploit home side's defensive frailties.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams' midfielders will compete for control in the center of the park.

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MLS

MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Charlotte
Oct 3117:00
Orlando City SC
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Oct 3118:00
CF Montreal
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Oct 3118:00
DC United
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Oct 3118:00
Philadelphia Union
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Oct 3119:00
FC Dallas
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Oct 3119:00
San Diego
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Oct 3121:00
Real Salt Lake
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Oct 3121:00
Austin
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Nov 101:30
Chicago Fire
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Nov 120:30
Seattle Sounders
11.8953%
X4.0025%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Nov 121:30
Toronto FC
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Nov 121:30
New York Red Bulls
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Nov 200:00
Inter Miami
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles FC
Nov 201:30
Minnesota United FC
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Nov 202:45
Houston Dynamo
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%

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