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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew

Result • MLS·Philadelphia Union·Columbus Crew

MLS
MLS
May 16, 2026
23:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.30
X3.60
22.90
Stadium
Subaru Park
medium Confidence
DRAW
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.60
22.90
Stadium
Subaru Park
Win Probabilities
33%
Philadelphia Union
31%
Draw
36%
Columbus Crew
Home2.3033%
Draw3.6031%
Away2.9036%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Philadelphia's home fortress and league dominance overcome Columbus's historical edge. A narrow victory awaits the Union.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Philadelphia Union a 33% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Columbus Crew a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1J. Sery Larsen vs Columbus Crew defense: Philadelphia's top scorer will test a vulnerable backline.
2W. Abou Ali vs Philadelphia Union defense: Columbus's key attacker looks to exploit home side's defensive frailties.
3Midfield battle: Both teams' midfielders will compete for control in the center of the park.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Philadelphia Union

  • Top of the standings
  • Home advantage
  • Recent 2-loss streak
  • Defensive lapses (2.2 goals conceded per game)

Columbus Crew

  • Strong head-to-head record
  • Higher average goals scored (2.0 per game)
  • 3-loss streak
  • Defensive issues (2.0 goals conceded per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Columbus Crew223841

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Philadelphia Union are predicted to win this MLS clash against Columbus Crew, based on their superior league position and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Philadelphia Union have a 2-loss streak but average 1.4 goals scored per game, while Columbus Crew have a 3-loss streak and average 2.0 goals scored. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over 2 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Philadelphia Union sit 1st in the standings with 66 points and a +22 goal difference, compared to Columbus Crew's 7th place with 54 points and +4 GD. The head-to-head record favors Columbus Crew with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, but Philadelphia have home advantage. Both teams have key players doubtful, but Philadelphia's injuries are less impactful.

Conclusion: Despite recent form struggles, Philadelphia Union's strong season and home support give them the edge. The bookmaker odds reflect a slight favorite status, and the API model's expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextColumbus Crew

Double chance : draw or Columbus Crew

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
31%Strength68%
47%Attacking Potential53%
48%Defensive Potential52%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
31%Goals H2H69%
31%Wins the Game68%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Philadelphia UnionInjuries · Columbus Crew</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Philadelphia Union

WWWDD
  • WSep 9, 26H · FC Cincinnati5-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · CF Montreal2-0
  • WAug 29, 26A · New York Red Bulls1-3
  • DAug 23, 26A · Austin1-1
  • DAug 19, 26H · Inter Miami2-2

Columbus Crew

LWLLL
  • LSep 9, 26A · DC United2-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Colorado Rapids3-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · New England Revolution1-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · Nashville SC3-2
  • LAug 19, 26H · CF Montreal1-2

Head to Head

2
Philadelphia Union
3
Draws
5
Columbus Crew
  • Apr 25, 26Columbus Crew – Philadelphia Union2-0
  • Jun 29, 25Columbus Crew – Philadelphia Union1-0
  • May 10, 25Philadelphia Union – Columbus Crew2-2
  • Oct 5, 24Columbus Crew – Philadelphia Union3-2
  • Aug 28, 24Philadelphia Union – Columbus Crew0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
Played2323
Goals Scored3634
Goals Conceded3939
Avg Scored1.61.5
Avg Conceded1.71.7
Clean Sheets44

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a tight contest where Philadelphia's home fortress and league dominance overcome Columbus's historical edge. A narrow victory awaits the Union.

Philadelphia Union are predicted to win this MLS clash against Columbus Crew, based on their superior league position and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Philadelphia Union have a 2-loss streak but average 1.4 goals scored per game, while Columbus Crew have a 3-loss streak and average 2.0 goals scored. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding over 2 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Philadelphia Union sit 1st in the standings with 66 points and a +22 goal difference, compared to Columbus Crew's 7th place with 54 points and +4 GD. The head-to-head record favors Columbus Crew with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, but Philadelphia have home advantage. Both teams have key players doubtful, but Philadelphia's injuries are less impactful.

Conclusion: Despite recent form struggles, Philadelphia Union's strong season and home support give them the edge. The bookmaker odds reflect a slight favorite status, and the API model's expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair. A narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Philadelphia Union: 33% · Draw: 31% · Columbus Crew: 36%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Philadelphia Union wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Columbus Crew wins: 5

Form (latest first): Philadelphia Union: WWWDD · Columbus Crew: LWLLL

  • J. Sery Larsen vs Columbus Crew defense: Philadelphia's top scorer will test a vulnerable backline.
  • W. Abou Ali vs Philadelphia Union defense: Columbus's key attacker looks to exploit home side's defensive frailties.
  • Midfield battle: Both teams' midfielders will compete for control in the center of the park.

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Orlando City SC
Sep 1223:30
Toronto FC
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Sep 1223:30
New York Red Bulls
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
DC United
Sep 1223:30
Atlanta United FC
12.7037%
X3.3330%
23.0333%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Sep 1223:30
Charlotte
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
MLSUSA
Inter Miami
Sep 1223:30
Nashville SC
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
FC Dallas
Sep 1300:30
Portland Timbers
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Sep 1300:30
Los Angeles FC
16.2516%
X3.8526%
21.7258%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Sep 1300:30
Minnesota United FC
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
Real Salt Lake
Sep 1301:30
New York City FC
12.5639%
X3.3330%
23.2331%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Sep 1301:30
CF Montreal
11.7956%
X3.7027%
25.8817%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Sep 1302:30
Houston Dynamo
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sep 1302:30
Seattle Sounders
12.1746%
X3.3330%
24.1724%
MLSUSA
Chicago Fire
Sep 1321:30
New England Revolution
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sep 1322:30
Austin
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
MLSUSA
San Diego
Sep 1401:00
Philadelphia Union
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%

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