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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. San Diego vs FC Cincinnati

San Diego vs FC Cincinnati

Result • MLS·San Diego·FC Cincinnati

MLS
MLS
May 17, 2026
01:30
medium Confidence
DRAW
San Diego

San Diego

Home
Final Score
3-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.91
X4.20
23.40
Stadium
Snapdragon Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

Away
Odds
11.91
X4.20
23.40
Stadium
Snapdragon Stadium
Win Probabilities
46%
San Diego
26%
Draw
28%
FC Cincinnati
Home1.9146%
Draw4.2026%
Away3.4028%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a home victory for San Diego, as their defensive fortress withstands Cincinnati's attack. Ancient wisdom reveals that home advantage and defensive strength prevail over league position.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between San Diego and FC Cincinnati using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns San Diego a 46% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and FC Cincinnati a 28% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. 11'
    Goal: K. MbomaFC Cincinnati · Assist: Evander
    Goal: K. MbomaAssist: Evander
  2. 24'
    Yellow Card: M. RobinsonFC Cincinnati
    Yellow Card: M. Robinson
  3. Goal: M. IngvartsenAssist: K. Sargeant
    32'
    Goal: M. IngvartsenSan Diego · Assist: K. Sargeant
  4. 46'
    Substitution: T. BarlowFC Cincinnati · Out: G. Valenzuela
    Substitution: T. BarlowOut: G. Valenzuela
  5. 46'
    Substitution: K. SmithFC Cincinnati · Out: M. Robinson
    Substitution: K. SmithOut: M. Robinson
  6. Substitution: P. SomaOut: A. Godoy
    46'
    Substitution: P. SomaSan Diego · Out: A. Godoy
  7. Substitution: O. VerhoevenOut: K. Sargeant
    46'
    Substitution: O. VerhoevenSan Diego · Out: K. Sargeant
  8. 50'
    Goal: T. BarlowFC Cincinnati · Assist: Evander
    Goal: T. BarlowAssist: Evander
  9. Yellow Card: D. Vazquez
    54'
    Yellow Card: D. VazquezSan Diego
  10. Goal: A. PellegrinoAssist: P. Soma
    66'
    Goal: A. PellegrinoSan Diego · Assist: P. Soma
  11. Substitution: A. MightenOut: D. Vazquez
    69'
    Substitution: A. MightenSan Diego · Out: D. Vazquez
  12. 73'
    Substitution: O. NwobodoFC Cincinnati · Out: N. Hagglund
    Substitution: O. NwobodoOut: N. Hagglund
  13. 73'
    Substitution: B. J. Ramirez LeonFC Cincinnati · Out: K. Mboma
    Substitution: B. J. Ramirez LeonOut: K. Mboma
  14. Substitution: A. Alvarado JrOut: A. Pellegrino
    78'
    Substitution: A. Alvarado JrSan Diego · Out: A. Pellegrino
  15. 87'
    Yellow Card: O. NwobodoFC Cincinnati
    Yellow Card: O. Nwobodo
  16. 90'
    Yellow Card: T. BarlowFC Cincinnati
    Yellow Card: T. Barlow
  17. 90+1'
    Substitution: A. JabbariFC Cincinnati · Out: K. Denkey
    Substitution: A. JabbariOut: K. Denkey
  18. Substitution: A. SaidiOut: O. Valakari
    90+1'
    Substitution: A. SaidiSan Diego · Out: O. Valakari
  19. Goal: M. IngvartsenAssist: A. Saidi
    90+6'
    Goal: M. IngvartsenSan Diego · Assist: A. Saidi
  20. 90+8'
    Goal: T. BarlowFC Cincinnati · Assist: A. Jabbari
    Goal: T. BarlowAssist: A. Jabbari
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Ingvartsen vs FC Cincinnati defense: Ingvartsen's 7 goals will test Cincinnati's weak defense.
2O. Valakari vs midfield: Valakari's creativity vs Cincinnati's midfield organization.
3K. Denkey vs San Diego defense: Denkey's pace against San Diego's strong backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

San Diego

  • Defensive organization (68% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Inconsistent form (WDDLL)
  • Three key players doubtful

FC Cincinnati

  • High league position (2nd)
  • Strong attack (61% rating)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (32% rating)
  • Two key players doubtful

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
46%
API-Football
35%
41%
San Diego413129

Moderate agreement on home win (41%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

San Diego is predicted to win this MLS match against FC Cincinnati, based on a combination of home advantage and defensive solidity.

Form Analysis: San Diego's recent form (WDDLL) shows inconsistency, but they have a 3-match unbeaten streak at home. FC Cincinnati's form is not provided, but they sit 2nd in the standings with 65 points, indicating strong overall performance. However, San Diego's defense (68% rating) is significantly better than Cincinnati's attack (61% rating), which could be decisive.

Key Factors: 1) Home advantage at Snapdragon Stadium with a 0.55 rating. 2) San Diego's superior defensive stats (68% vs 32% for Cincinnati). 3) Both teams have key players doubtful, but San Diego's injuries are more impactful with three players out. 4) No head-to-head history, so form and standings are the main references.

Conclusion: Despite Cincinnati's higher league position, San Diego's home form and defensive strength give them the edge. The odds imply a close match, but San Diego's probability is slightly higher.

Statistical ContextSan Diego

Combo Double chance : San Diego or draw and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
54%Strength46%
39%Attacking Potential61%
68%Defensive Potential32%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
54%Wins the Game46%

More information

MLS predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3314/15Head-to-headSan Diego – FC CincinnatiInjuriesSan DiegoInjuriesFC CincinnatiLive scores

Statistical Context

San Diego

LDDDL
  • LOct 29, 26A · Vancouver Whitecaps4-1
  • DOct 25, 26H · Seattle Sounders2-2
  • DOct 18, 26A · Los Angeles Galaxy2-2
  • DOct 15, 26H · Houston Dynamo3-3
  • LOct 10, 26A · New York Red Bulls4-1

FC Cincinnati

DWWLL
  • DOct 28, 26A · Inter Miami2-2
  • WOct 24, 26A · DC United0-2
  • WOct 21, 26H · DC United2-1
  • LOct 18, 26H · Columbus Crew0-2
  • LOct 14, 26H · New England Revolution2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

San DiegoFC Cincinnati
Played3131
Goals Scored5564
Goals Conceded5871
Avg Scored1.82.1
Avg Conceded1.92.3
Clean Sheets73

San Diego vs FC Cincinnati — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a home victory for San Diego, as their defensive fortress withstands Cincinnati's attack. Ancient wisdom reveals that home advantage and defensive strength prevail over league position.

San Diego is predicted to win this MLS match against FC Cincinnati, based on a combination of home advantage and defensive solidity.

Form Analysis: San Diego's recent form (WDDLL) shows inconsistency, but they have a 3-match unbeaten streak at home. FC Cincinnati's form is not provided, but they sit 2nd in the standings with 65 points, indicating strong overall performance. However, San Diego's defense (68% rating) is significantly better than Cincinnati's attack (61% rating), which could be decisive.

Key Factors: 1) Home advantage at Snapdragon Stadium with a 0.55 rating. 2) San Diego's superior defensive stats (68% vs 32% for Cincinnati). 3) Both teams have key players doubtful, but San Diego's injuries are more impactful with three players out. 4) No head-to-head history, so form and standings are the main references.

Conclusion: Despite Cincinnati's higher league position, San Diego's home form and defensive strength give them the edge. The odds imply a close match, but San Diego's probability is slightly higher.

Win Probabilities: San Diego: 46% · Draw: 26% · FC Cincinnati: 28%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

Form (latest first): San Diego: LDDDL · FC Cincinnati: DWWLL

  • M. Ingvartsen vs FC Cincinnati defense: Ingvartsen's 7 goals will test Cincinnati's weak defense.
  • O. Valakari vs midfield: Valakari's creativity vs Cincinnati's midfield organization.
  • K. Denkey vs San Diego defense: Denkey's pace against San Diego's strong backline.

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12.1347%
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23.4529%
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Early projection
13.1332%
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22.3343%
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11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
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12.7037%
X3.5728%
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Early projection
11.6760%
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24.7621%
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Nov 121:30
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Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
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Nov 121:30
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11.3972%
X6.6715%
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Nov 200:00
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13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
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Nov 201:30
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Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
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X3.7027%
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