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  1. Home
  2. MLS
  3. FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders

Result • MLS·FC Dallas·Seattle Sounders

MLS
MLS
Oct 15, 2026
00:30
low Confidence
WINNER
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.91
X3.70
23.30
Stadium
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
low Confidence
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

Away
Odds
11.91
X3.70
23.30
Stadium
Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Win Probabilities
40%
FC Dallas
29%
Draw
31%
Seattle Sounders
Home1.9140%
Draw3.7029%
Away3.3031%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

FC Dallas hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a strong home record and a higher league position, though Seattle's unbeaten run and dominant head-to-head history keep this finely balanced. The main risk is Seattle's attacking momentum turning the contest in their favour.

Our AI model analyzes this MLS fixture between FC Dallas and Seattle Sounders using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Dallas a 40% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Seattle Sounders a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%

Match Events

  1. 58'
    Substitution: Jordan MorrisSeattle Sounders · Out: Nouhou Tolo
    Substitution: Jordan MorrisOut: Nouhou Tolo
  2. 59'
    Substitution: Alexander RoldanSeattle Sounders · Out: Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
    Substitution: Alexander RoldanOut: Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  3. Goal: Kaick da Silva FerreiraAssist: Osaze Urhoghide
    63'
    Goal: Kaick da Silva FerreiraFC Dallas · Assist: Osaze Urhoghide
  4. 66'
    Substitution: Jesús FerreiraSeattle Sounders · Out: Sebastian Gomez
    Substitution: Jesús FerreiraOut: Sebastian Gomez
  5. Substitution: Patrickson DelgadoOut: Santiago Moreno
    74'
    Substitution: Patrickson DelgadoFC Dallas · Out: Santiago Moreno
  6. Substitution: Christian CappisOut: Joaquín Valiente Cioli
    74'
    Substitution: Christian CappisFC Dallas · Out: Joaquín Valiente Cioli
  7. Yellow Card: Patrickson Delgado
    81'
    Yellow Card: Patrickson DelgadoFC Dallas
  8. Substitution: Herman JohanssonOut: Bernard Kamungo
    82'
    Substitution: Herman JohanssonFC Dallas · Out: Bernard Kamungo
  9. 83'
    Substitution: Peter KingstonSeattle Sounders · Out: Snyder Brunell
    Substitution: Peter KingstonOut: Snyder Brunell
  10. 83'
    Substitution: Caden ClarkSeattle Sounders · Out: stuar hawkins
    Substitution: Caden ClarkOut: stuar hawkins
  11. Yellow Card: Daniel
    90+8'
    Yellow Card: DanielFC Dallas
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Musa vs S. Frei: Dallas's top scorer against Seattle's goalkeeper — the duel that could decide whether the home side converts their chances.
2A. Rusnák vs C. Cappis: Seattle's creative midfielder against Dallas's midfield anchor, a battle for control in the centre of the park.
3L. Farrington vs N. Tolo: Dallas's forward threat against Seattle's defensive width, testing whether the away back line can hold firm.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FC Dallas

  • Strong home record with only two defeats in thirteen home games
  • Solid defensive record with two clean sheets in the last five
  • Recent form interrupted by a loss
  • Multiple suspensions and injuries reducing squad depth

Seattle Sounders

  • Unbeaten in the last five matches
  • Strong attacking output, averaging a high number of goals recently
  • Lower league position and inferior goal difference
  • Several key players missing through suspension and international duty

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
38%
Seattle Sounders253738

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (38%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

FC Dallas are the narrow favourites at Toyota Stadium, where they have been difficult to beat this season, but the edge is far from decisive against a Seattle side riding a long unbeaten run.

Form Analysis: Seattle arrive with the stronger recent momentum, unbeaten across their last five and averaging a high goal output, while Dallas have been more mixed with a loss interrupting their sequence. Dallas do hold the better league position and a healthier goal difference, and their home record shows only two defeats in thirteen games there.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Seattle, who have dominated this fixture historically, which tempers Dallas's home advantage. Both squads are dealing with significant absences, so depth and tactical discipline will matter. Dallas's defensive solidity at home and Seattle's attacking form create a genuine contrast that keeps this contest balanced.

Conclusion: Dallas hold a slight edge thanks to home advantage and league standing, but Seattle's momentum and historical dominance make this a tight, evenly-matched affair where a share of the points is a real possibility.

Statistical ContextSeattle Sounders

Double chance : draw or Seattle Sounders

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
35%Strength64%
35%Attacking Potential65%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
30%Goals H2H70%
35%Wins the Game64%

More information

MLS predicted line-ups: Gameweek 3314/15Head-to-headFC Dallas – Seattle SoundersInjuriesFC DallasInjuriesSeattle SoundersLive scores

Statistical Context

FC Dallas

LWDLW
  • LOct 29, 26H · Columbus Crew0-2
  • WOct 25, 26H · San Jose Earthquakes3-0
  • DOct 18, 26A · Houston Dynamo2-2
  • LOct 10, 26A · Charlotte3-2
  • WSep 27, 26H · Los Angeles FC1-0

Seattle Sounders

LDDWW
  • LOct 29, 26H · Houston Dynamo0-1
  • DOct 25, 26A · San Diego2-2
  • DOct 18, 26H · CF Montreal1-1
  • WOct 10, 26A · New England Revolution0-3
  • WOct 2, 26H · Sporting Kansas City2-1

Head to Head

1
FC Dallas
3
Draws
6
Seattle Sounders
  • Apr 26, 26Seattle Sounders – FC Dallas2-1
  • May 24, 25Seattle Sounders – FC Dallas1-0
  • Apr 13, 25FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders0-1
  • Jun 23, 24Seattle Sounders – FC Dallas3-2
  • Apr 14, 24FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders0-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FC DallasSeattle Sounders
Played3131
Goals Scored5841
Goals Conceded4739
Avg Scored1.91.3
Avg Conceded1.51.3
Clean Sheets88

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders — Match Analysis

FC Dallas hold a narrow edge at home, supported by a strong home record and a higher league position, though Seattle's unbeaten run and dominant head-to-head history keep this finely balanced. The main risk is Seattle's attacking momentum turning the contest in their favour.

FC Dallas are the narrow favourites at Toyota Stadium, where they have been difficult to beat this season, but the edge is far from decisive against a Seattle side riding a long unbeaten run.

Form Analysis: Seattle arrive with the stronger recent momentum, unbeaten across their last five and averaging a high goal output, while Dallas have been more mixed with a loss interrupting their sequence. Dallas do hold the better league position and a healthier goal difference, and their home record shows only two defeats in thirteen games there.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Seattle, who have dominated this fixture historically, which tempers Dallas's home advantage. Both squads are dealing with significant absences, so depth and tactical discipline will matter. Dallas's defensive solidity at home and Seattle's attacking form create a genuine contrast that keeps this contest balanced.

Conclusion: Dallas hold a slight edge thanks to home advantage and league standing, but Seattle's momentum and historical dominance make this a tight, evenly-matched affair where a share of the points is a real possibility.

Win Probabilities: FC Dallas: 40% · Draw: 29% · Seattle Sounders: 31%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (11.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 57% · Under 2.5: 43% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: FC Dallas wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Seattle Sounders wins: 6

Form (latest first): FC Dallas: LWDLW · Seattle Sounders: LDDWW

  • P. Musa vs S. Frei: Dallas's top scorer against Seattle's goalkeeper — the duel that could decide whether the home side converts their chances.
  • A. Rusnák vs C. Cappis: Seattle's creative midfielder against Dallas's midfield anchor, a battle for control in the centre of the park.
  • L. Farrington vs N. Tolo: Dallas's forward threat against Seattle's defensive width, testing whether the away back line can hold firm.

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MLS

USA15 · Upcoming Fixtures
MLSUSA
Charlotte
Oct 3117:00
Orlando City SC
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
New York City FC
Oct 3118:00
CF Montreal
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
MLSUSA
Columbus Crew
Oct 3118:00
DC United
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
MLSUSA
FC Cincinnati
Oct 3118:00
Philadelphia Union
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
MLSUSA
Sporting Kansas City
Oct 3119:00
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Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
MLSUSA
St. Louis City
Oct 3119:00
San Diego
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
MLSUSA
San Jose Earthquakes
Oct 3121:00
Real Salt Lake
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles Galaxy
Oct 3121:00
Austin
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
MLSUSA
Colorado Rapids
Nov 101:30
Chicago Fire
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
MLSUSA
Vancouver Whitecaps
Nov 120:30
Seattle Sounders
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
MLSUSA
Atlanta United FC
Nov 121:30
Toronto FC
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
MLSUSA
Nashville SC
Nov 121:30
New York Red Bulls
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
MLSUSA
New England Revolution
Nov 200:00
Inter Miami
13.5728%
X3.3330%
22.3842%
MLSUSA
Los Angeles FC
Nov 201:30
Minnesota United FC
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
MLSUSA
Portland Timbers
Nov 202:30
Houston Dynamo
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%

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