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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Europa League
  3. FC Thun vs Lech Poznan

FC Thun vs Lech Poznan

Prediction • UEFA Europa League·FC Thun·Lech Poznan

UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
Aug 27, 2026
18:00
PREDICTED DRAW
FC Thun

FC Thun

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stockhorn Arena
PREDICTED DRAW
Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

Away
Stadium
Stockhorn Arena
Win Probabilities
33%
FC Thun
33%
Draw
34%
Lech Poznan
Home3.0333%
Draw3.0333%
Away2.9434%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

Lech Poznan are the clear favourites given their four-game winning streak and three clean sheets, while FC Thun have lost two straight and conceded heavily. The main risk is Thun's perfect home record, which could level the contest.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0FC Thun
/10
10.0Lech Poznan
FC Thun
FormLatest first
LLLWL
Win Rate20%
Lech Poznan
FormLatest first
WWWWW
Win Rate100%
Momentum AdvantageLech Poznan+8.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Match Weather

18°
Sunny
Wind
8 km/h
Humidity
58%
Rain
1.6 mm
Tactical Impact

Ideal playing conditions - no significant weather impact

FC Thun
Home

FC Thun

Form
WLL
Latest first
1
Pos
75
Pts
-6
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets00%
Goal Diff-6
  • Perfect home record in the limited sample
  • High win rate in recent matches
  • Ability to score goals, averaging nearly two per game

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

FC Thun4-3-3vs4-2-3-1Lech PoznanPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

Lech PoznanLech Poznan4-2-3-1
FC ThunFC Thun4-3-3
Lech PoznanBenchLech Poznan7
FC ThunBenchFC Thun7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

33%FC Thun
33%Draw
34%Lech Poznan

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffThu, Aug 27 · 18:00
StadiumStockhorn Arena
League StatsUEFA Europa League

Statistical Context

FC Thun

LLLWL
  • LAug 20, 26A · Lech Poznan7-0
  • LAug 13, 26A · Vikingur Reykjavik3-2
  • LAug 9, 26A · FC Basel 18934-2
  • WAug 6, 26H · Vikingur Reykjavik3-0
  • LAug 1, 26H · BSC Young Boys0-6

Lech Poznan

WWWWW
  • WAug 20, 26H · FC Thun7-0
  • WAug 14, 26A · KI Klaksvik0-5
  • WAug 9, 26H · Piast Gliwice3-0
  • WAug 6, 26H · KI Klaksvik1-0
  • WAug 1, 26A · Wieczysta Kraków1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

FC ThunLech Poznan
Played32
Goals Scored56
Goals Conceded110
Avg Scored1.73.0
Avg Conceded3.70.0
Clean Sheets02

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FC ThunLech Poznan
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

FC Thun

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 25GT. Spycher
  2. 17DA. Balaruban
  3. 19DJ. Bamert
  4. 5DN. Bürgy
  5. 23DM. Bürki
  6. 21MD. Derbaci
  7. 52MAdam Ilic
  8. 78MV. Matoshi
  9. 80AS. Lengen
  10. 9AF. Dursun
  11. 33AM. Gutbub

Coach: M. Lustrinelli

Lech Poznan

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GM. Lis
  2. 3DA. Douglas
  3. 20DR. Gumny
  4. 15DM. Gurgul
  5. 90DH. Janyszka
  6. 53MK. Delikat
  7. 43MA. Kozubal
  8. 22MR. Murawski
  9. 11MD. Håkans
  10. 21MPablo Rodríguez
  11. 77AL. Palma

Coach: M. Rumak

FC Thun vs Lech Poznan — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Lech Poznan are the clear favourites given their four-game winning streak and three clean sheets, while FC Thun have lost two straight and conceded heavily. The main risk is Thun's perfect home record, which could level the contest.

This UEFA Europa League encounter between FC Thun and Lech Poznan presents a fascinating contrast in form. While the market and model suggest a perfectly balanced contest, the underlying data reveals a significant momentum gap between the two sides.…

Win Probabilities: FC Thun: 33% · Draw: 33% · Lech Poznan: 34%

Form (latest first): FC Thun: LLLWL · Lech Poznan: WWWWW

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