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  1. Home
  2. UEFA Europa League
  3. Sturm Graz vs Marseille

Sturm Graz vs Marseille

Prediction • UEFA Europa League·Sturm Graz·Marseille

UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
Sep 16, 2026
19:00
PREDICTED DRAW
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Merkur-Arena
PREDICTED DRAW
Marseille

Marseille

Away
Stadium
Merkur-Arena
Win Probabilities
33%
Sturm Graz
33%
Draw
34%
Marseille
Home3.0333%
Draw3.0333%
Away2.9434%

Oracle's Vision

Confidence
“

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite, as both teams have similar overall strength. Marseille's attacking edge is offset by a lengthy injury list, while Sturm Graz's solid form and full squad make them competitive. The main risk is that Marseille's quality in midfield could prove decisive despite their defensive absences.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Sturm Graz
/10
6.0Marseille
Sturm Graz
FormLatest first
LDWLW
Win Rate40%
Marseille
FormLatest first
LWWWL
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageMarseille+2.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Tomi Horvat
8.6

Tomi Horvat

Sturm Graz

VS
Mason Greenwood
7.7

Mason Greenwood

Marseille

25ATT48
100TEC100
100TAC54
47DEF5
100CRE35

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
7/10
Over 2.5 Goals
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1.0
Avg Scored
1.7
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
2/10
1.7
Avg Conceded
1.2
Match Flow
3/10
Scored First
6/10
1.8
Avg Cards
2.7
5.4
Avg Corners
5.6

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Sturm Graz
Home

Sturm Graz

Form
DWWDL
Latest first
26
Pos
7
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Solid defensive record with two clean sheets in last five
  • No injury concerns, full squad available
  • Consistent scoring, averaging nearly a goal per game

No Previous Meetings

These teams haven't faced each other in recent history

Sturm Graz4-4-2vs4-2-3-1MarseillePredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Two strikers vs one holding midfielder. Physical battle expected.

MarseilleMarseille4-2-3-1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz4-4-2
MarseilleBenchMarseille7
Sturm GrazBenchSturm Graz7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Marseille

5Out

4 key players

Marseille

Team

Marseille

Players Out

5(4 key)
Q. Timber

Q. Timber

SUSPENSION
Status:Suspended
N. Aguerd

N. Aguerd

MODERATE
Injury:Groin Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

L. Balerdi

L. Balerdi

MODERATE
Injury:Calf Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

F. Moumbagna

F. Moumbagna

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

I. Paixao

I. Paixao

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

Oracle's Vision

Predicted Winner

Draw

Confidence

Win Probabilities

33%Sturm Graz
33%Draw
34%Marseille

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffWed, Sep 16 · 19:00
StadiumMerkur-Arena
League StatsUEFA Europa League

Statistical Context

Sturm Graz

LDWLW
  • LAug 30, 26A · Rapid Vienna3-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Austria Lustenau1-1
  • WAug 15, 26H · SCR Altach1-0
  • LAug 11, 26H · Fenerbahçe0-1
  • WAug 8, 26A · TSV Hartberg0-2

Marseille

LWWWL
  • LAug 30, 26A · Monaco2-0
  • WAug 21, 26H · Strasbourg4-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Rennes3-1
  • WMay 10, 26A · Le Havre0-1
  • LMay 2, 26A · Nantes3-0

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sturm GrazMarseille
Over 2.5 Goals7/107/10
Both Teams Scored8/106/10
Clean Sheets2/102/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Sturm Graz

Formation 4-4-2
  1. 22GA. Helac
  2. 27DL. Balbo
  3. 30DP. Koller
  4. 23DA. Malic
  5. 21DP. Petrović
  6. 4MJ. Gorenc Stankovič
  7. 40MJ. Halwachs
  8. 43MJacob Peter Hödl
  9. 15MG. Mamageishvili
  10. 26AB. Beganović
  11. 20AS. Jatta

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Marseille

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 12GJ. de Lange
  2. 74DK. Bezahaf
  3. 13DD. Cornelius
  4. 4DC. Egan-Riley
  5. 33DEmerson
  6. 8MH. Abdelli
  7. 7MA. Gomes
  8. 77MA. Harit
  9. 23MP. Højbjerg
  10. 19MG. Kondogbia
  11. 48AK. Abdallah

Coach: André Villas-Boas

Sturm Graz vs Marseille — Expert Prediction & Analysis

This is a tight, evenly-matched contest with no clear favourite, as both teams have similar overall strength. Marseille's attacking edge is offset by a lengthy injury list, while Sturm Graz's solid form and full squad make them competitive. The main risk is that Marseille's quality in midfield could prove decisive despite their defensive absences.

This UEFA Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Marseille is a tightly contested affair, with the market and the statistical model both pointing to a near-even split. Neither side holds a decisive edge on paper, making this a match that could swing either way.…

Win Probabilities: Sturm Graz: 33% · Draw: 33% · Marseille: 34%

Form (latest first): Sturm Graz: LDWLW · Marseille: LWWWL

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