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  1. Home
  2. Premier League
  3. Arsenal vs Leeds

Arsenal vs Leeds

Prediction • Premier League·Arsenal·Leeds

Premier League
Premier League
Oct 10, 2026
11:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Emirates Stadium
Early projection · Odds pending
Leeds

Leeds

Away
Stadium
Emirates Stadium
Win Probabilities
73%
Arsenal
15%
Draw
12%
Leeds
Home1.3773%
Draw6.6715%
Away8.3312%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Arsenal are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant statistical profile. The main risk is complacency or an injury-induced defensive reshuffle allowing Leeds a surprise result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Arsenal vs Leeds.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
10.0Arsenal
/10
4.0Leeds
Arsenal
FormLatest first
WWWWW
Win Rate100%
Leeds
FormLatest first
WLDDW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageArsenal+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Arsenal
Home

Arsenal

Form
W
Latest first
2
Pos
74
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Five-match winning streak with four clean sheets
  • Superior attacking and defensive statistical profile
  • Strong home advantage at Emirates Stadium
Bruno Guimaraes
Thigh Injury
Injured
W. Saliba
Back Injury
Injured
J. Timber
Ankle Injury
Injured
C. Mosquera
Muscle Injury
Injured
G. Martinelli
Transfer negotiations
Injured
Gabriel Jesus
Transfer negotiations
Injured

Head to Head

Last 9
Arsenal
Arsenal
8Wins
1
Draws
Leeds
0Wins
Leeds
89%11%0%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Aug232025
ArsenalArsenal
5-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
Apr12023
ArsenalArsenal
4-1
Win
LeedsLeeds
Oct162022
LeedsLeeds
0-1
Win
ArsenalArsenal
May82022
ArsenalArsenal
2-1
Win
LeedsLeeds
Dec182021
LeedsLeeds
1-4
Win
ArsenalArsenal
Oct262021
ArsenalArsenal
2-0
Win
LeedsLeeds
Feb142021
ArsenalArsenal
4-2
Win
LeedsLeeds
Nov222020
LeedsLeeds
0-0
Draw
ArsenalArsenal
Jan62020
ArsenalArsenal
1-0
Win
LeedsLeeds

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal

Jan 31, 2026

14% / 25% / 61%

Arsenal4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1LeedsPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Arsenal

6Out

6 key players

Leeds

6Out

5 key players

Arsenal

Team

Arsenal

Players Out

6(6 key)
Bruno Guimaraes

Bruno Guimaraes

MODERATE
Injury:Thigh Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

W. Saliba

W. Saliba

MODERATE
Injury:Back Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

4-12 weeks

J. Timber

J. Timber

MODERATE
Injury:Ankle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-8 weeks

C. Mosquera

C. Mosquera

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Martinelli

G. Martinelli

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Gabriel Jesus

Gabriel Jesus

MODERATE
Injury:Transfer negotiations

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Leeds

Team

Leeds

Players Out

6(5 key)
J. Rodon

J. Rodon

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

G. Gudmundsson

G. Gudmundsson

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

M. Joseph

M. Joseph

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

W. Gnonto

W. Gnonto

MODERATE
Injury:Hamstring Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

I. Gruev

I. Gruev

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

Lucas Perri

Lucas Perri

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Premier League

League Statistics

Premier League • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Arsenal
ArsenalHome
440081+712
2
Manchester City
Manchester City
440082+612
3
Leeds
LeedsAway
422073+48
4
Hull City
Hull City
422052+38
5
Brighton
Brighton
4211135+87
6
Chelsea
Chelsea
4211109+17
7
Brentford
Brentford
413074+36
8
Liverpool
Liverpool
413064+26
9
Everton
Everton
413053+26
10
Ipswich
Ipswich
4202710-36
11
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
41214405
12
Newcastle
Newcastle
412178-15
13
Manchester United
Manchester United
41127704
14
Sunderland
Sunderland
411235-24
15
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
403167-13
16
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
4103611-53
17
Tottenham
Tottenham
402205-52
18
Fulham
Fulham
401347-31
19
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
401317-61
20
Coventry
Coventry
4004010-100
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Arsenal

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

73%Arsenal
15%Draw
12%Leeds

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 11:30
StadiumEmirates Stadium
League StatsPremier League
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ArsenalInjuries · Leeds

Statistical Context

Arsenal

WWWWW
  • WSep 12, 26A · Sunderland0-2
  • WSep 9, 26A · Napoli0-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Chelsea2-1
  • WAug 31, 26A · Aston Villa0-1
  • WAug 21, 26H · Coventry3-0

Leeds

WLDDW
  • WSep 14, 26H · Newcastle4-1
  • LSep 9, 26A · Chelsea6-3
  • DSep 5, 26A · Brighton1-1
  • DAug 30, 26H · Brentford1-1
  • WAug 25, 26A · Nottingham Forest0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Arsenal4+712WWWW
2Manchester City4+612WWWW
3Leeds4+48WDDW
4Hull City4+38DDWW

Head to Head

8
Arsenal
1
Draws
0
Leeds
  • Aug 23, 25Arsenal – Leeds5-0
  • Apr 1, 23Arsenal – Leeds4-1
  • Oct 16, 22Leeds – Arsenal0-1
  • May 8, 22Arsenal – Leeds2-1
  • Dec 18, 21Leeds – Arsenal1-4

Season Statistics — 2026

ArsenalLeeds
Played—1
Goals Scored—2
Goals Conceded—0
Avg Scored—2.0
Avg Conceded—0.0
Clean Sheets—1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ArsenalLeeds
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Arsenal vs Leeds

Predicted XI

Arsenal

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: F. Ljungberg

Leeds

3-4-2-1Formation· Coach: D. Farke

  1. 1J. Trafford
  1. 26M. Bard
  2. 15J. Bijol
  3. 30N. Elvedi
  1. 4E. Ampadu
  2. 2J. Bogle
  3. 11B. Aaronson
  4. 8S. Longstaff
  1. 18A. Stach
  2. 22A. Tanaka
  1. 23J. Bahoya
  1. 14V. Gyökeres
  1. 10E. Eze
  2. 23Mikel Merino
  3. 8M. Ødegaard
  1. 39Bruno Guimarães
  2. 56M. Dowman
  1. 33R. Calafiori
  2. 6Gabriel Magalhães
  3. 5P. Hincapié
  4. 15E. Konsa
  1. 13Kepa

Bench

  • 1I. Meslier
  • 1David Raya
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly
  • 4M. Salmon
  • 4B. White
  • 41D. Rice
  • 36Martín Zubimendi

Out

  • Bruno Guimaraes · Thigh Injury
  • W. Saliba · Back Injury
  • J. Timber · Ankle Injury
  • C. Mosquera · Muscle Injury
  • G. Martinelli · Transfer negotiations
  • Gabriel Jesus · Transfer negotiations

Bench

  • 16M. Zetterer
  • 24J. Justin
  • 5T. Muharemović
  • 7D. James
  • 10H. Wilson
  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin
  • 14L. Nmecha

Out

  • J. Rodon · Muscle Injury
  • G. Gudmundsson · Hamstring Injury
  • M. Joseph · Knee Injury
  • W. Gnonto · Hamstring Injury
  • I. Gruev · Knee Injury
  • Lucas Perri · Knock

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Arsenal vs Leeds — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Arsenal are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a dominant statistical profile. The main risk is complacency or an injury-induced defensive reshuffle allowing Leeds a surprise result.

Arsenal are clear favourites to win this Premier League encounter at the Emirates Stadium, with the statistical model and team comparison data both pointing strongly towards a home victory. Form Analy…

Win Probabilities: Arsenal: 73% · Draw: 15% · Leeds: 12%

H2H: Arsenal wins: 8 · Draws: 1 · Leeds wins: 0

Form (latest first): Arsenal: WWWWW · Leeds: WLDDW

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England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
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Brentford
Sep 1819:00
Chelsea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Tottenham
Sep 1911:30
Aston Villa
12.4441%
X3.4529%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Newcastle
Sep 1914:00
Hull City
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Everton
Sep 1914:00
Ipswich
11.8953%
X3.7027%
25.0020%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Brighton
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Arsenal
15.0020%
X3.7027%
21.8953%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Nottingham Forest
Sep 1916:30
Coventry
11.8554%
X3.7027%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Manchester City
Sep 2013:00
Sunderland
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Leeds
Sep 2013:00
Crystal Palace
12.0449%
X3.5728%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Bournemouth
Sep 2013:00
Liverpool
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Fulham
Sep 2015:30
Manchester United
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Chelsea
Oct 1014:00
Bournemouth
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Premier LeagueEngland
Ipswich
Oct 1014:00
Fulham
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
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Premier LeagueEngland
Aston Villa
Oct 1014:00
Brentford
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
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Sunderland
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Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
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Manchester United
Oct 1016:30
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Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
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