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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

Result • Ligue 1·Lens·Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 13, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
Lens

Lens

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.10
X3.90
22.10
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
high Confidence
WINNER
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Away
Odds
13.10
X3.90
22.10
Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Win Probabilities
25%
Lens
30%
Draw
45%
Paris Saint Germain
Home3.1025%
Draw3.9030%
Away2.1045%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Lens and Paris Saint Germain using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lens a 25% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Paris Saint Germain a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1O. Édouard vs Marquinhos: Lens' top scorer faces PSG's defensive leader; Édouard's movement will test Marquinhos' positioning.
2F. Thauvin vs Nuno Mendes: If fit, Thauvin's dribbling vs Mendes' pace on the flank could be decisive.
3K. Kvaratskhelia vs J. Gradit: PSG's creative winger against Lens' right-sided defender; Kvaratskhelia's skill may overwhelm.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lens

  • Strong home form
  • Unbeaten streak of 5 matches
  • Key attackers Thauvin and Saint-Maximin doubtful
  • Defensive vulnerability (1.4 goals conceded per game)

Paris Saint Germain

  • League leaders with best attack (71 goals)
  • Strong H2H dominance over Lens
  • Slightly inconsistent form (WDWWL)
  • Conceded in 3 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Paris Saint Germain183845

Moderate agreement on away win (45%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win based on superior odds-implied probability (45%) and strong API-Football model support (45% away win, predicted winner PSG).

Form Analysis: Both teams have similar recent form (Lens WDDWL, PSG WDWWL) and identical average goals scored (2.4) and conceded (1.4). However, PSG has a slightly better defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 vs Lens' 1.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors PSG (6 wins in last 10 meetings vs Lens' 1). Lens have two key attacking players doubtful (Thauvin, Saint-Maximin), weakening their attack. PSG's overall team comparison (66.5%) dominates Lens (33.5%).

Conclusion: PSG's quality, H2H dominance, and Lens' injury doubts make an away win the most likely outcome, though Lens' home form and unbeaten streak could keep it close.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LensParis Saint Germain
33%Strength66%
44%Attacking Potential56%
31%Defensive Potential69%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
20%Goals H2H80%
33%Wins the Game66%

Statistical Context

Lens

WWWDD
  • WMay 22, 26H · Nice3-1
  • WMay 17, 26A · Lyon0-4
  • WMay 8, 26H · Nantes1-0
  • DMay 2, 26A · Nice1-1
  • DApr 24, 26A · Stade Brestois 293-3

Paris Saint Germain

WDLWD
  • WAug 12, 26H · Aston Villa2-1
  • DMay 30, 26H · Arsenal1-1
  • LMay 17, 26A · Paris FC2-1
  • WMay 10, 26H · Stade Brestois 291-0
  • DMay 6, 26A · Bayern München1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint Germain000—
2Lens000—
3Lille000—

Head to Head

6
Lens
3
Draws
1
Paris Saint Germain
  • Sep 14, 25Paris Saint Germain – Lens2-0
  • Jan 18, 25Lens – Paris Saint Germain1-2
  • Dec 22, 24Lens – Paris Saint Germain1-1
  • Nov 2, 24Paris Saint Germain – Lens1-0
  • Jan 14, 24Lens – Paris Saint Germain0-2

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

LensParis Saint Germain
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Paris Saint Germain is predicted to win based on superior odds-implied probability (45%) and strong API-Football model support (45% away win, predicted winner PSG).

Form Analysis: Both teams have similar recent form (Lens WDDWL, PSG WDWWL) and identical average goals scored (2.4) and conceded (1.4). However, PSG has a slightly better defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 vs Lens' 1.

Key Factors: Head-to-head heavily favors PSG (6 wins in last 10 meetings vs Lens' 1). Lens have two key attacking players doubtful (Thauvin, Saint-Maximin), weakening their attack. PSG's overall team comparison (66.5%) dominates Lens (33.5%).

Conclusion: PSG's quality, H2H dominance, and Lens' injury doubts make an away win the most likely outcome, though Lens' home form and unbeaten streak could keep it close.

Win Probabilities: Lens: 25% · Draw: 30% · Paris Saint Germain: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Lens wins: 6 · Draws: 3 · Paris Saint Germain wins: 1

Form (latest first): Lens: WWWDD · Paris Saint Germain: WDLWD

  • O. Édouard vs Marquinhos: Lens' top scorer faces PSG's defensive leader; Édouard's movement will test Marquinhos' positioning.
  • F. Thauvin vs Nuno Mendes: If fit, Thauvin's dribbling vs Mendes' pace on the flank could be decisive.
  • K. Kvaratskhelia vs J. Gradit: PSG's creative winger against Lens' right-sided defender; Kvaratskhelia's skill may overwhelm.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Lens
Aug 2215:15
Auxerre
11.6461%
X4.0025%
27.1414%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Aug 2218:45
Lorient
12.1746%
X3.2331%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Aug 2218:45
Lyon
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Aug 2218:45
Paris FC
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Aug 2218:45
Stade Brestois 29
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Aug 2313:00
Lille
15.5618%
X3.4529%
21.8953%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Aug 2315:15
Monaco
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2318:45
Rennes
11.4967%
X4.5522%
29.0911%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Aug 2818:45
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Aug 2915:15
Lens
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Aug 2918:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Aug 2918:45
Estac Troyes
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Aug 2918:45
Toulouse
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Aug 2918:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Aug 3013:00
Nice
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%