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Today's Tips
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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris FC vs Nice

Paris FC vs Nice

Result • Ligue 1·Paris FC·Nice

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Paris FC

Paris FC

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.08
X3.30
23.50
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
medium Confidence
Nice

Nice

Away
Odds
12.08
X3.30
23.50
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Win Probabilities
48%
Paris FC
31%
Draw
21%
Nice
Home2.0848%
Draw3.3031%
Away3.5021%

Oracle's Vision

Medium Confidence
“

Paris FC are slight favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and more attacking threat, but Nice's rock-solid defence makes this a tight contest. The main risk is Paris FC's defensive frailty, which could allow Nice to snatch a result despite their scoring struggles.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris FC and Nice using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris FC a 48% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Nice a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 47%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 47%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Yellow Card: Y. NdayishimiyeNice
    Yellow Card: Y. Ndayishimiye
  2. Penalty: L. Sinayoko (Penalty)
    21'
    Penalty: L. Sinayoko (Penalty)Paris FC
  3. Goal: S. CherguiAssist: I. Kebbal
    51'
    Goal: S. CherguiParis FC · Assist: I. Kebbal
  4. 63'
    Substitution: E. WahiNice · Out: N. Ngoumou
    Substitution: E. WahiOut: N. Ngoumou
  5. Substitution: R. MatondoOut: M. Simon
    63'
    Substitution: R. MatondoParis FC · Out: M. Simon
  6. Substitution: P. ZabiOut: P. Pagis
    72'
    Substitution: P. ZabiParis FC · Out: P. Pagis
  7. 73'
    Substitution: I. JanssonNice · Out: A. Witsel
    Substitution: I. JanssonOut: A. Witsel
  8. 73'
    Substitution: A. MendyNice · Out: M. Abdelmonem
    Substitution: A. MendyOut: M. Abdelmonem
  9. 82'
    Substitution: H. KoutouneNice · Out: J. Clauss
    Substitution: H. KoutouneOut: J. Clauss
  10. 82'
    Substitution: D. MoranaNice · Out: M. Bard
    Substitution: D. MoranaOut: M. Bard
  11. Substitution: H. TraoreOut: I. Kebbal
    83'
    Substitution: H. TraoreParis FC · Out: I. Kebbal
  12. Substitution: V. MarchettiOut: Otavio
    83'
    Substitution: V. MarchettiParis FC · Out: Otavio
  13. Goal: V. MarchettiAssist: P. Zabi
    89'
    Goal: V. MarchettiParis FC · Assist: P. Zabi
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

0 / 1stats picks landed in this match
Paris FC 3-0 Nice
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team—Predicted 5.8 – 4.7Real 2 – 4——
Total corners—Predicted 10.5Real 6chances only—
Yellow cards✗ missPredicted 3.3Real 1Over 2.5✗ miss
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-0chances only—
Shots on target—Predicted 4.3 – 3.4Real 4 – 4——
Total shots—Predicted 13.4 – 11.3Real 15 – 15chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Koleosho vs J. Clauss: Koleosho's pace and dribbling on the wing will test Clauss's defensive positioning, a key battle in breaking down Nice's back line.
2P. Lees-Melou vs H. Boudaoui: The midfield duel will be crucial, with Lees-Melou's creativity against Boudaoui's energy and pressing.
3I. Kebbal vs M. Bard: Kebbal's movement in the final third could exploit gaps left by Bard, who will need to balance attacking runs with defensive duties.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris FC

  • Superior attacking output, averaging 1.2 goals per game
  • Strong head-to-head record against Nice
  • Defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.2 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches

Nice

  • Excellent defensive record with 4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Compact and organized defensive shape
  • Struggling to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Paris FC473816

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Paris FC enter this Ligue 1 clash as the nominal favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile. However, the match is far from one-sided, with both teams showing contrasting strengths and weaknesses.

Form Analysis: Paris FC have been more productive in attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 2.2 on average. Nice, in contrast, have been exceptionally solid at the back, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches, but they have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game and failing to find the net in four of those five outings.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Nice's defensive resilience versus Paris FC's attacking edge. Paris FC have won the last two meetings between the sides, giving them a psychological advantage. Additionally, Nice are missing several key players, including A. Witsel and T. Moffi, which could blunt their already limited attacking threat. Paris FC also have injury concerns, but their squad depth appears less affected.

Conclusion: Expect a tight, low-scoring contest. Paris FC's superior attacking output and head-to-head dominance give them a narrow edge, but Nice's defensive solidity makes them difficult to break down. A single goal could decide the match, with Paris FC slightly more likely to find it.

Statistical ContextParis FC

Double chance : Paris FC or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris FCNice
65%Strength34%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
67%Goals H2H33%
65%Wins the Game34%

More information

Ligue 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 119/9Head-to-headParis FC – NiceInjuriesParis FCInjuriesNiceLive scores

Statistical Context

Paris FC

WWLWL
  • WNov 7, 26A · Auxerre0-1
  • WNov 1, 26H · Monaco3-1
  • LOct 24, 26A · Lens2-1
  • WOct 18, 26H · Rennes4-3
  • LOct 10, 26A · Lorient1-0

Nice

WWWLW
  • WNov 8, 26A · Angers0-2
  • WOct 30, 26H · Rennes5-2
  • WOct 23, 26A · Stade Brestois 291-2
  • LOct 18, 26A · Lyon2-1
  • WOct 11, 26H · Strasbourg2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Lille10+721WWDDW
3Paris FC10+720WWLWL
4Marseille10+818WWWWW
5Lyon10+617LWLWL
6Nice10+317WWWLW
7Monaco10+216DLDLD

Head to Head

1
Paris FC
1
Draws
0
Nice
  • Mar 1, 26Paris FC – Nice1-0
  • Sep 28, 25Nice – Paris FC1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris FCNice
Played99
Goals Scored1613
Goals Conceded1012
Avg Scored1.81.4
Avg Conceded1.11.3
Clean Sheets31

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris FCNice
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Paris FC vs Nice — Match Analysis

Paris FC are slight favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and more attacking threat, but Nice's rock-solid defence makes this a tight contest. The main risk is Paris FC's defensive frailty, which could allow Nice to snatch a result despite their scoring struggles.

Paris FC enter this Ligue 1 clash as the nominal favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile. However, the match is far from one-sided, with both teams showing contrasting strengths and weaknesses.

Form Analysis: Paris FC have been more productive in attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 2.2 on average. Nice, in contrast, have been exceptionally solid at the back, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches, but they have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game and failing to find the net in four of those five outings.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Nice's defensive resilience versus Paris FC's attacking edge. Paris FC have won the last two meetings between the sides, giving them a psychological advantage. Additionally, Nice are missing several key players, including A. Witsel and T. Moffi, which could blunt their already limited attacking threat. Paris FC also have injury concerns, but their squad depth appears less affected.

Conclusion: Expect a tight, low-scoring contest. Paris FC's superior attacking output and head-to-head dominance give them a narrow edge, but Nice's defensive solidity makes them difficult to break down. A single goal could decide the match, with Paris FC slightly more likely to find it.

Win Probabilities: Paris FC: 48% · Draw: 31% · Nice: 21%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 47%

H2H: Paris FC wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Nice wins: 0

Form (latest first): Paris FC: WWLWL · Nice: WWWLW

  • L. Koleosho vs J. Clauss: Koleosho's pace and dribbling on the wing will test Clauss's defensive positioning, a key battle in breaking down Nice's back line.
  • P. Lees-Melou vs H. Boudaoui: The midfield duel will be crucial, with Lees-Melou's creativity against Boudaoui's energy and pressing.
  • I. Kebbal vs M. Bard: Kebbal's movement in the final third could exploit gaps left by Bard, who will need to balance attacking runs with defensive duties.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Nov 2019:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Nov 2116:15
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Nov 2119:45
Lyon
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Nov 2119:45
Auxerre
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Nov 2119:45
Stade Brestois 29
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Nov 2119:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Nov 2214:00
Angers
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.2516%
28.3312%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Nov 2216:15
Rennes
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Nov 2219:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Nov 2719:45
Paris FC
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Nov 2816:15
Lens
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Nov 2819:45
Estac Troyes
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2819:45
Lorient
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Nov 2819:45
Strasbourg
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Nov 2819:45
Lille
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%

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