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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris FC vs Nice

Paris FC vs Nice

Result • Ligue 1·Paris FC·Nice

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2026
13:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Paris FC

Paris FC

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.08
X3.30
23.50
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
medium Confidence
Nice

Nice

Away
Odds
12.08
X3.30
23.50
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Win Probabilities
48%
Paris FC
31%
Draw
21%
Nice
Home2.0848%
Draw3.3031%
Away3.5021%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Paris FC are slight favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and more attacking threat, but Nice's rock-solid defence makes this a tight contest. The main risk is Paris FC's defensive frailty, which could allow Nice to snatch a result despite their scoring struggles.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris FC and Nice using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris FC a 48% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and Nice a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 47%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 47%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Yellow Card: Y. NdayishimiyeNice
    Yellow Card: Y. Ndayishimiye
  2. Penalty: L. Sinayoko (Penalty)
    21'
    Penalty: L. Sinayoko (Penalty)Paris FC
  3. Goal: S. CherguiAssist: I. Kebbal
    51'
    Goal: S. CherguiParis FC · Assist: I. Kebbal
  4. 63'
    Substitution: E. WahiNice · Out: N. Ngoumou
    Substitution: E. WahiOut: N. Ngoumou
  5. Substitution: R. MatondoOut: M. Simon
    63'
    Substitution: R. MatondoParis FC · Out: M. Simon
  6. Substitution: P. ZabiOut: P. Pagis
    72'
    Substitution: P. ZabiParis FC · Out: P. Pagis
  7. 73'
    Substitution: I. JanssonNice · Out: A. Witsel
    Substitution: I. JanssonOut: A. Witsel
  8. 73'
    Substitution: A. MendyNice · Out: M. Abdelmonem
    Substitution: A. MendyOut: M. Abdelmonem
  9. 82'
    Substitution: H. KoutouneNice · Out: J. Clauss
    Substitution: H. KoutouneOut: J. Clauss
  10. 82'
    Substitution: D. MoranaNice · Out: M. Bard
    Substitution: D. MoranaOut: M. Bard
  11. Substitution: H. TraoreOut: I. Kebbal
    83'
    Substitution: H. TraoreParis FC · Out: I. Kebbal
  12. Substitution: V. MarchettiOut: Otavio
    83'
    Substitution: V. MarchettiParis FC · Out: Otavio
  13. Goal: V. MarchettiAssist: P. Zabi
    89'
    Goal: V. MarchettiParis FC · Assist: P. Zabi
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Koleosho vs J. Clauss: Koleosho's pace and dribbling on the wing will test Clauss's defensive positioning, a key battle in breaking down Nice's back line.
2P. Lees-Melou vs H. Boudaoui: The midfield duel will be crucial, with Lees-Melou's creativity against Boudaoui's energy and pressing.
3I. Kebbal vs M. Bard: Kebbal's movement in the final third could exploit gaps left by Bard, who will need to balance attacking runs with defensive duties.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris FC

  • Superior attacking output, averaging 1.2 goals per game
  • Strong head-to-head record against Nice
  • Defensive vulnerability, conceding 2.2 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches

Nice

  • Excellent defensive record with 4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Compact and organized defensive shape
  • Struggling to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 4 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
48%
API-Football
45%
47%
Paris FC473816

Moderate agreement on home win (47%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Paris FC enter this Ligue 1 clash as the nominal favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile. However, the match is far from one-sided, with both teams showing contrasting strengths and weaknesses.

Form Analysis: Paris FC have been more productive in attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 2.2 on average. Nice, in contrast, have been exceptionally solid at the back, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches, but they have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game and failing to find the net in four of those five outings.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Nice's defensive resilience versus Paris FC's attacking edge. Paris FC have won the last two meetings between the sides, giving them a psychological advantage. Additionally, Nice are missing several key players, including A. Witsel and T. Moffi, which could blunt their already limited attacking threat. Paris FC also have injury concerns, but their squad depth appears less affected.

Conclusion: Expect a tight, low-scoring contest. Paris FC's superior attacking output and head-to-head dominance give them a narrow edge, but Nice's defensive solidity makes them difficult to break down. A single goal could decide the match, with Paris FC slightly more likely to find it.

Statistical ContextParis FC

Double chance : Paris FC or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris FCNice
65%Strength34%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
67%Goals H2H33%
65%Wins the Game34%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Paris FCInjuries · NiceLive scores →

Statistical Context

Paris FC

DWDWL
  • DSep 12, 26H · Lyon0-0
  • WSep 6, 26A · Marseille2-3
  • DAug 22, 26A · Estac Troyes0-0
  • WMay 17, 26H · Paris Saint Germain2-1
  • LMay 10, 26A · Rennes2-1

Nice

LDDWD
  • LSep 12, 26A · Auxerre1-0
  • DSep 5, 26H · Le Mans1-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Lorient0-0
  • WMay 29, 26H · Saint Etienne4-1
  • DMay 26, 26A · Saint Etienne0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Lyon4+48DWDW
5Paris FC4+48DWWD
6Strasbourg4+17DWWL
17Toulouse4-32DLDL
18Nice4-42LDLD

Head to Head

1
Paris FC
1
Draws
0
Nice
  • Mar 1, 26Paris FC – Nice1-0
  • Sep 28, 25Nice – Paris FC1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Paris FCNice
Played43
Goals Scored61
Goals Conceded24
Avg Scored1.50.3
Avg Conceded0.51.3
Clean Sheets31

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris FCNice
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—1/10

Paris FC vs Nice — Match Analysis

Paris FC are slight favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and more attacking threat, but Nice's rock-solid defence makes this a tight contest. The main risk is Paris FC's defensive frailty, which could allow Nice to snatch a result despite their scoring struggles.

Paris FC enter this Ligue 1 clash as the nominal favourites, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger overall statistical profile. However, the match is far from one-sided, with both teams showing contrasting strengths and weaknesses.

Form Analysis: Paris FC have been more productive in attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game, but their defence has been leaky, conceding 2.2 on average. Nice, in contrast, have been exceptionally solid at the back, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches, but they have struggled to score, averaging just 0.6 goals per game and failing to find the net in four of those five outings.

Key Factors: The most decisive factor is Nice's defensive resilience versus Paris FC's attacking edge. Paris FC have won the last two meetings between the sides, giving them a psychological advantage. Additionally, Nice are missing several key players, including A. Witsel and T. Moffi, which could blunt their already limited attacking threat. Paris FC also have injury concerns, but their squad depth appears less affected.

Conclusion: Expect a tight, low-scoring contest. Paris FC's superior attacking output and head-to-head dominance give them a narrow edge, but Nice's defensive solidity makes them difficult to break down. A single goal could decide the match, with Paris FC slightly more likely to find it.

Win Probabilities: Paris FC: 48% · Draw: 31% · Nice: 21%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 47%

H2H: Paris FC wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Nice wins: 0

Form (latest first): Paris FC: DWDWL · Nice: LDDWD

  • L. Koleosho vs J. Clauss: Koleosho's pace and dribbling on the wing will test Clauss's defensive positioning, a key battle in breaking down Nice's back line.
  • P. Lees-Melou vs H. Boudaoui: The midfield duel will be crucial, with Lees-Melou's creativity against Boudaoui's energy and pressing.
  • I. Kebbal vs M. Bard: Kebbal's movement in the final third could exploit gaps left by Bard, who will need to balance attacking runs with defensive duties.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Sep 1915:15
Strasbourg
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Sep 1918:45
Estac Troyes
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Sep 1918:45
Rennes
12.1347%
X3.4529%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Sep 1918:45
Le Havre
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Sep 1918:45
Lorient
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Sep 2013:00
Stade Brestois 29
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Sep 2015:15
Lille
14.7621%
X3.3330%
22.0449%
Ligue 1France
Marseille
Sep 2018:45
Paris Saint Germain
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
Ligue 1France
Lens
Oct 918:45
Lyon
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Oct 1015:15
Le Havre
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 1018:45
Le Mans
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
Ligue 1France
Monaco
Oct 1018:45
Toulouse
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Oct 1018:45
Paris FC
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Oct 1018:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Oct 1113:00
Strasbourg
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%

Betting Tips

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