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  1. Home
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain

Result • Ligue 1·Paris FC·Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1
Ligue 1
May 17, 2026
19:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Paris FC

Paris FC

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
15.00
X4.50
21.57
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
medium Confidence
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Away
Odds
15.00
X4.50
21.57
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Win Probabilities
30%
Paris FC
33%
Draw
37%
Paris Saint Germain
Home5.0030%
Draw4.5033%
Away1.5737%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Ligue 1 fixture between Paris FC and Paris Saint Germain using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Paris FC a 30% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Paris Saint Germain a 37% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1I. Kebbal vs PSG midfield: Kebbal's creativity will test PSG's defensive midfield, especially with injuries to Zaire-Emery and Mendes.
2J. Ikoné vs N. Mendes (if fit): Ikoné's pace could exploit Mendes' potential lack of match fitness.
3B. Barcola vs Paris FC defense: Barcola's goal-scoring form will challenge a solid Paris FC backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Paris FC

  • Solid defense conceding only 1.0 goals per game
  • Good home form with recent wins
  • Inconsistent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Lower league position (11th) and negative goal difference

Paris Saint Germain

  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 wins
  • Top of the league with +46 goal difference
  • Several key players doubtful due to injuries
  • Defense has been leaky, conceding 1.4 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
37%
API-Football
45%
41%
Paris Saint Germain203941

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The match between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain is expected to be a closely contested affair, with PSG holding a slight edge. Bookmaker odds imply a near-even split, but PSG's superior form and league standing give them a marginal advantage.

Form Analysis: PSG are unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWW), while Paris FC have a mixed record (LWLWW). PSG's attack has been potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game, but their defense has conceded 1.4 per game. Paris FC have scored 2.4 per game but conceded only 1.0, showing defensive solidity.

Key Factors: PSG's overall quality and depth, despite multiple injuries, remain superior. Paris FC's home advantage and strong defense could frustrate PSG. The head-to-head record favors PSG (2 wins in 3 meetings), but Paris FC have won once.

Conclusion: PSG are slight favorites due to their attacking firepower and league dominance, but Paris FC's resilience at home makes a draw a strong possibility. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow PSG win.

Statistical ContextParis Saint Germain

Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Paris FCParis Saint Germain
37%Strength62%
52%Attacking Potential48%
29%Defensive Potential71%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
33%H2H Strength67%
43%Goals H2H57%
37%Wins the Game62%

Statistical Context

Paris FC

LWLWW
  • LMay 10, 26A · Rennes2-1
  • WMay 3, 26H · Stade Brestois 294-0
  • LApr 26, 26H · Lille0-1
  • WApr 19, 26A · Metz1-3
  • WApr 10, 26H · Monaco4-1

Paris Saint Germain

WDWWD
  • WAug 12, 26H · Aston Villa2-1
  • DMay 30, 26H · Arsenal1-1
  • WMay 13, 26A · Lens0-2
  • WMay 10, 26H · Stade Brestois 291-0
  • DMay 6, 26A · Bayern München1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Marseille1+43W
2Paris Saint Germain000—
3Lens000—
9Lorient000—
10Paris FC000—
11Stade Brestois 29000—

Head to Head

2
Paris FC
0
Draws
1
Paris Saint Germain
  • Jan 12, 26Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC0-1
  • Jan 4, 26Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC2-1
  • Dec 16, 22Paris Saint Germain – Paris FC2-1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Paris FCParis Saint Germain
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Paris Saint Germain's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The match between Paris FC and Paris Saint-Germain is expected to be a closely contested affair, with PSG holding a slight edge. Bookmaker odds imply a near-even split, but PSG's superior form and league standing give them a marginal advantage.

Form Analysis: PSG are unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWW), while Paris FC have a mixed record (LWLWW). PSG's attack has been potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game, but their defense has conceded 1.4 per game. Paris FC have scored 2.4 per game but conceded only 1.0, showing defensive solidity.

Key Factors: PSG's overall quality and depth, despite multiple injuries, remain superior. Paris FC's home advantage and strong defense could frustrate PSG. The head-to-head record favors PSG (2 wins in 3 meetings), but Paris FC have won once.

Conclusion: PSG are slight favorites due to their attacking firepower and league dominance, but Paris FC's resilience at home makes a draw a strong possibility. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow PSG win.

Win Probabilities: Paris FC: 30% · Draw: 33% · Paris Saint Germain: 37%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Paris FC wins: 2 · Draws: 0 · Paris Saint Germain wins: 1

Form (latest first): Paris FC: LWLWW · Paris Saint Germain: WDWWD

  • I. Kebbal vs PSG midfield: Kebbal's creativity will test PSG's defensive midfield, especially with injuries to Zaire-Emery and Mendes.
  • J. Ikoné vs N. Mendes (if fit): Ikoné's pace could exploit Mendes' potential lack of match fitness.
  • B. Barcola vs Paris FC defense: Barcola's goal-scoring form will challenge a solid Paris FC backline.

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Ligue 1

Ligue 1

France15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Ligue 1France
Lens
Aug 2215:15
Auxerre
11.6461%
X4.0025%
27.1414%
Ligue 1France
Nice
Aug 2218:45
Lorient
12.1746%
X3.2331%
24.3523%
Ligue 1France
Toulouse
Aug 2218:45
Lyon
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Estac Troyes
Aug 2218:45
Paris FC
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
Ligue 1France
Le Mans
Aug 2218:45
Stade Brestois 29
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Ligue 1France
Angers
Aug 2313:00
Lille
15.5618%
X3.4529%
21.8953%
Ligue 1France
Le Havre
Aug 2315:15
Monaco
14.1724%
X3.5728%
22.0848%
Ligue 1France
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2318:45
Rennes
11.4967%
X4.5522%
29.0911%
Ligue 1France
Lille
Aug 2818:45
Paris Saint Germain
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Strasbourg
Aug 2915:15
Lens
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lyon
Aug 2918:45
Le Havre
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Lorient
Aug 2918:45
Estac Troyes
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Stade Brestois 29
Aug 2918:45
Toulouse
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Auxerre
Aug 2918:45
Angers
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Ligue 1France
Paris FC
Aug 3013:00
Nice
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%