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  1. Home
  2. Super League 1
  3. AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus

AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Result • Super League 1·AEK Athens FC·Olympiakos Piraeus

Super League 1
Super League 1
May 17, 2026
16:30
high Confidence
DRAW
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
13.10
X3.10
22.40
Stadium
Allwyn Arena
high Confidence
DRAW
Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
Odds
13.10
X3.10
22.40
Stadium
Allwyn Arena
Win Probabilities
35%
AEK Athens FC
34%
Draw
31%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home3.1035%
Draw3.1034%
Away2.4031%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees AEK Athens FC's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Olympiakos Piraeus, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League 1 fixture between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns AEK Athens FC a 35% win probability, a 34% chance of a draw, and Olympiakos Piraeus a 31% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. Jović vs Olympiakos defense: Jović's 16 goals face a defense that has conceded only 16 goals all season.
2A. El Kaabi vs AEK defense: El Kaabi's 18 goals test AEK's solid backline (0.6 conceded per game).
3Midfield battle: AEK's Koita vs Olympiakos's midfield duo in a 4-2-3-1 shape.
Strengths · Weaknesses

AEK Athens FC

  • Excellent recent form (5 unbeaten)
  • Strong home record (1st place)
  • Poor head-to-head record vs Olympiakos
  • Slightly lower attacking stats than opponent

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • Dominant head-to-head record
  • Strong attack (50 goals scored)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WDLWL)
  • Away form not specified but overall form mixed

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
35%
API-Football
45%
40%
Draw404021

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (40%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

The match between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus is a top-of-the-table clash with both teams separated by just 2 points. Based on the data, Olympiakos has a slight edge due to superior head-to-head record and higher market probability.

Form Analysis: AEK Athens is in excellent form with a 5-match unbeaten streak (DWDWW), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Olympiakos has mixed form (WDLWL) with 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. AEK's momentum is stronger, but Olympiakos has the psychological advantage from H2H.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head dominance: Olympiakos has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 2 of the last 5. 2) Market probabilities favor Olympiakos (39% vs 30% for AEK). 3) AEK's home advantage is strong (1st place, +32 GD), but Olympiakos has a better goal difference (+34) overall. 4) No significant injuries reported for either side.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight contest with Olympiakos slightly favored. AEK's form and home advantage are countered by Olympiakos's H2H record and market odds. A draw is also a strong possibility given the balanced probabilities.

Statistical ContextAEK Athens FC

Combo Double chance : AEK Athens FC or draw and -3.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
50%Strength49%
58%Attacking Potential42%
71%Defensive Potential29%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
25%Goals H2H75%
50%Wins the Game49%

Statistical Context

AEK Athens FC

WDDWD
  • WAug 22, 26H · Iraklis 19084-0
  • DAug 18, 26A · Levski Sofia0-0
  • DMay 13, 26A · PAOK1-1
  • WMay 10, 26H · Panathinaikos2-1
  • DMay 3, 26A · Panathinaikos0-0

Olympiakos Piraeus

WLDWD
  • WAug 22, 26H · Atromitos1-0
  • LAug 11, 26A · NEC Nijmegen2-1
  • DAug 4, 26H · NEC Nijmegen0-0
  • WMay 13, 26H · Panathinaikos1-0
  • DMay 10, 26H · PAOK1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1AEK Athens FC1+43W
2Aris Thessalonikis1+13W
3Olympiakos Piraeus1+13W
4OFI000—

Head to Head

2
AEK Athens FC
1
Draws
7
Olympiakos Piraeus
  • Apr 5, 26Olympiakos Piraeus – AEK Athens FC0-1
  • Feb 1, 26AEK Athens FC – Olympiakos Piraeus1-1
  • Oct 26, 25Olympiakos Piraeus – AEK Athens FC2-0
  • Apr 27, 25AEK Athens FC – Olympiakos Piraeus0-2
  • Apr 13, 25Olympiakos Piraeus – AEK Athens FC1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
Played1—
Goals Scored4—
Goals Conceded0—
Avg Scored4.0—
Avg Conceded0.0—
Clean Sheets1—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens FCOlympiakos Piraeus
Over 2.5 Goals2/107/10
Both Teams Scored3/105/10
Clean Sheets6/105/10

AEK Athens FC vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees AEK Athens FC's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Olympiakos Piraeus, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

The match between AEK Athens FC and Olympiakos Piraeus is a top-of-the-table clash with both teams separated by just 2 points. Based on the data, Olympiakos has a slight edge due to superior head-to-head record and higher market probability.

Form Analysis: AEK Athens is in excellent form with a 5-match unbeaten streak (DWDWW), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Olympiakos has mixed form (WDLWL) with 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. AEK's momentum is stronger, but Olympiakos has the psychological advantage from H2H.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head dominance: Olympiakos has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including 2 of the last 5. 2) Market probabilities favor Olympiakos (39% vs 30% for AEK). 3) AEK's home advantage is strong (1st place, +32 GD), but Olympiakos has a better goal difference (+34) overall. 4) No significant injuries reported for either side.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight contest with Olympiakos slightly favored. AEK's form and home advantage are countered by Olympiakos's H2H record and market odds. A draw is also a strong possibility given the balanced probabilities.

Win Probabilities: AEK Athens FC: 35% · Draw: 34% · Olympiakos Piraeus: 31%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: AEK Athens FC wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Olympiakos Piraeus wins: 7

Form (latest first): AEK Athens FC: WDDWD · Olympiakos Piraeus: WLDWD

  • L. Jović vs Olympiakos defense: Jović's 16 goals face a defense that has conceded only 16 goals all season.
  • A. El Kaabi vs AEK defense: El Kaabi's 18 goals test AEK's solid backline (0.6 conceded per game).
  • Midfield battle: AEK's Koita vs Olympiakos's midfield duo in a 4-2-3-1 shape.

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Super League 1

Super League 1

Greece15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Aug 2318:00
Levadiakos
11.5465%
X4.3523%
28.3312%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Aug 2318:30
Asteras Tripolis
13.1332%
X3.1332%
22.7836%
Super League 1Greece
Volos NFC
Aug 2916:30
Iraklis 1908
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Aug 2918:30
Kalamata
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Aug 3016:30
OFI
12.0050%
X3.7027%
24.3523%
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Aug 3017:15
PAOK
17.1414%
X3.8526%
21.6760%
Super League 1Greece
Asteras Tripolis
Aug 3018:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
19.0911%
X4.0025%
21.5664%
Super League 1Greece
Kifisia
Aug 3018:00
AEK Athens FC
116.676%
X5.2619%
21.3375%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Aug 3116:30
Panathinaikos
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
Super League 1Greece
AEK Athens FC
Sep 515:00
Aris Thessalonikis
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
Super League 1Greece
Panathinaikos
Sep 515:00
PAOK
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Sep 515:00
Panetolikos
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
Super League 1Greece
OFI
Sep 515:00
Kifisia
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Super League 1Greece
Volos NFC
Sep 515:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Sep 515:00
Kalamata
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%