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  1. Home
  2. Virsliga
  3. Tukums vs Grobiņa

Tukums vs Grobiņa

Prediction • Virsliga·Tukums·Grobiņa

Virsliga
Virsliga
Sep 20, 2026
13:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Tukums

Tukums

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Grobiņa

Grobiņa

Away
Win Probabilities
49%
Tukums
23%
Draw
28%
Grobiņa
Home2.0449%
Draw4.3523%
Away3.5728%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Tukums are favored at 49% to win at home against Grobiņa. The draw is rated 23% and the away win 28%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Tukums
/10
0.0Grobiņa
Tukums
FormLatest first
LLLLL
Win Rate0%
Grobiņa
FormLatest first
LLLDL
Win Rate0%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
8/10
Over 2.5 Goals
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2.1
Avg Scored
0.6
Defense
1/10
Clean Sheets
1/10
1.9
Avg Conceded
2.1
Match Flow
6/10
Scored First
4/10
0.0
Avg Cards
0.0
0.0
Avg Corners
0.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Tukums
Home

Tukums

Form
LLWLL
Latest first
7
Pos
36
Pts
-11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 26 matches)

Clean Sheets14%
Goal Diff-11
  • Solid home record with 4 wins in 13 games
  • Better defensive record than Grobiņa (conceding 1.8 per game vs 3.4)
  • Slight edge in overall team strength per API model

Head to Head

Last 10
Tukums
Tukums
3Wins
2
Draws
Grobiņa
5Wins
Grobiņa
30%20%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jul52026
GrobiņaGrobiņa
3-1
Loss
TukumsTukums
May152026
GrobiņaGrobiņa
3-3
Draw
TukumsTukums
Apr52026
TukumsTukums
1-1
Draw
GrobiņaGrobiņa
Oct42025
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1-0
Loss
TukumsTukums
Jul212025
TukumsTukums
2-1
Win
GrobiņaGrobiņa
May212025
GrobiņaGrobiņa
2-0
Loss
TukumsTukums
Apr52025
TukumsTukums
2-0
Win
GrobiņaGrobiņa
Sep282024
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1-2
Win
TukumsTukums
Jul82024
GrobiņaGrobiņa
2-1
Loss
TukumsTukums
May162024
TukumsTukums
1-2
Loss
GrobiņaGrobiņa

Past Predictions

33%1/3 correct

Grobiņa 3 - 1 Tukums

Jul 5, 2026

39% / 30% / 31%

Grobiņa 3 - 3 Tukums

May 15, 2026

25% / 32% / 43%

Tukums 1 - 1 Grobiņa

Apr 5, 2026

25% / 35% / 40%

Tukums4-3-3vs4-3-3GrobiņaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

GrobiņaGrobiņa4-3-3
TukumsTukums4-3-3
GrobiņaBenchGrobiņa7
TukumsBenchTukums7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Virsliga

League Statistics

Virsliga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
2521226217+4565
2
Riga
Riga
2520417621+5564
3
Auda
Auda
2515464226+1649
4
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
27107103331+237
5
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
26114113638-237
6
Super Nova
Super Nova
2584132637-1128
7
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
2777132846-1828
8
Grobiņa
GrobiņaAway
2749141950-3121
9
Tukums
TukumsHome
2748154054-1420
10
Ogre United
Ogre United
2635182668-4214
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Tukums

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

49%Tukums
23%Draw
28%Grobiņa

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Sep 20 · 13:00
League StatsVirsliga

Statistical Context

Tukums

LLLLL
  • LAug 21, 26A · Auda3-0
  • LAug 8, 26A · BFC Daugavpils2-0
  • LAug 2, 26A · FK Liepaja2-1
  • LJul 27, 26H · Rīgas FS0-1
  • LJul 18, 26A · Riga3-1

Grobiņa

LLLDL
  • LAug 21, 26A · FK Liepaja3-1
  • LAug 10, 26A · Rīgas FS6-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Riga4-0
  • DJul 27, 26H · Ogre United2-2
  • LJul 20, 26A · Super Nova2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7FS Jelgava27-1828WLLLL
8Grobiņa27-3121LLLDL
9Tukums27-1420LLWLL
10Ogre United26-4214LLDLW

Head to Head

3
Tukums
2
Draws
5
Grobiņa
  • Jul 5, 26Grobiņa – Tukums3-1
  • May 15, 26Grobiņa – Tukums3-3
  • Apr 5, 26Tukums – Grobiņa1-1
  • Oct 4, 25Grobiņa – Tukums1-0
  • Jul 21, 25Tukums – Grobiņa2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

TukumsGrobiņa
Played2626
Goals Scored4018
Goals Conceded5147
Avg Scored1.50.7
Avg Conceded2.01.8
Clean Sheets15

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TukumsGrobiņa
Over 2.5 Goals8/103/10
Both Teams Scored8/104/10
Clean Sheets1/101/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Tukums

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1AS. Vilkovs
  2. 28AR. Melkis
  3. 6AK. Volkovs
  4. 25AH. Joksts
  5. 1AS. Vilkovs
  6. 28AR. Melkis
  7. 6AK. Volkovs
  8. 25AH. Joksts
  9. 8AR. Reingolcs
  10. 16AK. Klavins
  11. 10AB. Samoilovs

Coach: K. Dišlers

Grobiņa

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 21AR. Ozols
  2. 14AM. Sidorovs
  3. 3AD. Druzinins
  4. 15AA. Jovanovic
  5. 21AR. Ozols
  6. 14AM. Sidorovs
  7. 3AD. Druzinins
  8. 15AA. Jovanovic
  9. 8AO. Olatunde-Matthew
  10. 77ADodo
  11. 87AJ. Ribeiro

Coach: Oskars Klava

Tukums vs Grobiņa — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Tukums are favored at 49% to win at home against Grobiņa. The draw is rated 23% and the away win 28%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Tukums enter this match as slight favourites, but the contest is expected to be tight. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with identical 15% win rates in their last five matches. Tukums have lost four of their last five, while Grobiņa have lost three in a row, making this a clash of two out-of-form sides.…

Win Probabilities: Tukums: 49% · Draw: 23% · Grobiņa: 28%

H2H: Tukums wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Grobiņa wins: 5

Form (latest first): Tukums: LLLLL · Grobiņa: LLLDL

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Virsliga

Virsliga

Latvia15 · Upcoming Fixtures
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Aug 2316:00
Riga
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Aug 2516:00
FK Liepaja
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Aug 2816:00
Super Nova
Early projection
11.5266%
X5.5618%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Grobiņa
Aug 2912:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Aug 2914:00
FS Jelgava
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Aug 3014:00
Rīgas FS
Early projection
112.508%
X8.3312%
21.2580%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FK Liepaja
Aug 3114:30
Riga
Early projection
16.2516%
X5.8817%
21.4967%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Auda
Sep 415:00
Grobiņa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Tukums
Sep 512:00
Ogre United
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
FS Jelgava
Sep 514:00
Super Nova
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 716:00
BFC Daugavpils
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Rīgas FS
Sep 716:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Super Nova
Sep 1016:00
Tukums
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Ogre United
Sep 1114:00
FK Liepaja
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
VirsligaLatvia
Riga
Sep 1115:00
Auda
Early projection
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access