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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

Result • Liga MX·Monterrey·Santos Laguna

Liga MX
Liga MX
Jul 19, 2026
01:05
high Confidence
WINNER
Monterrey

Monterrey

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.55
X4.35
25.10
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
high Confidence
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

Away
Odds
11.55
X4.35
25.10
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
Win Probabilities
55%
Monterrey
27%
Draw
18%
Santos Laguna
Home1.5555%
Draw4.3527%
Away5.1018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Monterrey are predicted to win with 60% probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10). The main risk is Santos Laguna's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the match tight.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga MX fixture between Monterrey and Santos Laguna using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Monterrey a 55% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Santos Laguna a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Monterrey's attack vs Santos Laguna's defense: Monterrey's forwards will test a Santos backline that has been solid recently, but the H2H dominance suggests they can find gaps.
2Midfield control: Both teams use 4-3-3, so the midfield battle will be crucial. Monterrey's home advantage may give them the edge in possession.
3Set pieces: With both teams having similar attacking threats, set pieces could be a deciding factor.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Monterrey

  • Strong head-to-head record against Santos Laguna
  • Home advantage at Estadio BBVA
  • Inconsistent recent form (LDLWL)
  • Defensive vulnerability conceding 1.8 goals per game

Santos Laguna

  • Better recent form (WLWLD)
  • Solid defense conceding only 0.8 goals per game
  • Poor head-to-head record against Monterrey
  • Occasional attacking struggles (failed to score in 2 of last 5)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
55%
API-Football
50%
53%
Monterrey52399

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (53%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Monterrey are clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against Santos Laguna. The bookmaker-implied probabilities strongly favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Monterrey victory, reinforcing this outlook.

Form Analysis: Monterrey's recent form has been inconsistent (LDLWL), averaging 1.6 goals scored but conceding 1.8 per game. Santos Laguna have been slightly more stable (WLWLD), with a better defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) and two clean sheets in their last five. However, Santos have failed to score in two of those five matches, indicating occasional attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Monterrey, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. The API comparison gives Monterrey an 80% strength advantage in H2H and 72% overall. Additionally, Monterrey enjoy home advantage at Estadio BBVA, though their home record this season is not available. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.

Conclusion: The combination of strong H2H dominance, home advantage, and market confidence points to a Monterrey victory. Santos Laguna's defensive solidity could keep the scoreline close, but Monterrey's attacking quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextMonterrey

Double chance : Monterrey or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MonterreySantos Laguna
72%Strength28%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
64%Goals H2H36%
72%Wins the Game28%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · MonterreyInjuries · Santos Laguna</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Monterrey

LLWWL
  • LAug 31, 26H · Atletico San Luis1-3
  • LAug 22, 26A · Leon2-0
  • WAug 16, 26H · FC Juarez6-1
  • WAug 2, 26A · Atlas0-2
  • LJul 26, 26A · Necaxa2-1

Santos Laguna

LDLLL
  • LSep 6, 26A · Cruz Azul1-0
  • DAug 30, 26H · Tigres UANL0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · Puebla3-2
  • LAug 17, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas0-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Club America3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Puebla6010LWWDL
10Monterrey6+39LLWWL
11CF Pachuca7+28WDDLL
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas608LDDWW
13Necaxa7-38DLDLL
14Atlante FC7-27DDLDW
15Tigres UANL7-26DDWLL
16Atletico San Luis7-56LWDLD
17Santos Laguna7-81LDLLL
18FC Juarez7-180LLLLL

Head to Head

6
Monterrey
1
Draws
3
Santos Laguna
  • Apr 26, 26Santos Laguna – Monterrey3-0
  • Sep 28, 25Monterrey – Santos Laguna1-0
  • Mar 3, 25Monterrey – Santos Laguna4-2
  • Sep 15, 24Santos Laguna – Monterrey0-2
  • Jan 22, 24Santos Laguna – Monterrey0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

MonterreySantos Laguna
Played66
Goals Scored134
Goals Conceded1011
Avg Scored2.20.7
Avg Conceded1.71.8
Clean Sheets11

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna — Match Analysis

Monterrey are predicted to win with 60% probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10). The main risk is Santos Laguna's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the match tight.

Based on the data, Monterrey are clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against Santos Laguna. The bookmaker-implied probabilities strongly favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Monterrey victory, reinforcing this outlook.

Form Analysis: Monterrey's recent form has been inconsistent (LDLWL), averaging 1.6 goals scored but conceding 1.8 per game. Santos Laguna have been slightly more stable (WLWLD), with a better defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) and two clean sheets in their last five. However, Santos have failed to score in two of those five matches, indicating occasional attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Monterrey, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. The API comparison gives Monterrey an 80% strength advantage in H2H and 72% overall. Additionally, Monterrey enjoy home advantage at Estadio BBVA, though their home record this season is not available. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.

Conclusion: The combination of strong H2H dominance, home advantage, and market confidence points to a Monterrey victory. Santos Laguna's defensive solidity could keep the scoreline close, but Monterrey's attacking quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Monterrey: 55% · Draw: 27% · Santos Laguna: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Monterrey wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Santos Laguna wins: 3

Form (latest first): Monterrey: LLWWL · Santos Laguna: LDLLL

  • Monterrey's attack vs Santos Laguna's defense: Monterrey's forwards will test a Santos backline that has been solid recently, but the H2H dominance suggests they can find gaps.
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-3-3, so the midfield battle will be crucial. Monterrey's home advantage may give them the edge in possession.
  • Set pieces: With both teams having similar attacking threats, set pieces could be a deciding factor.

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Sep 1103:05
Leon
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Sep 1201:00
Puebla
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Sep 1203:00
Club Queretaro
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Sep 1203:00
CF Pachuca
13.2331%
X3.3330%
22.5639%
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Sep 1223:00
Atlas
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Sep 1301:10
Tigres UANL
12.2744%
X3.1332%
24.1724%
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 1303:15
Club America
12.7037%
X3.1332%
23.2331%
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Sep 1400:00
FC Juarez
12.6338%
X3.3330%
23.1332%
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Sep 1401:07
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
11.5664%
X4.3523%
27.6913%
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Sep 1501:00
Atletico San Luis
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 1601:00
Toluca
16.2516%
X3.7027%
21.7557%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 1901:00
Atlante FC
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 1903:00
Tigres UANL
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Sep 1923:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 1923:00
Necaxa
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%

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