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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Arouca vs Sporting CP

Arouca vs Sporting CP

Result • Primeira Liga·Arouca·Sporting CP

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Jan 24, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
Arouca

Arouca

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 0-2
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 0-2
Odds
113.00
X5.75
21.22
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
high Confidence
WINNER
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Away
Odds
113.00
X5.75
21.22
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Win Probabilities
7%
Arouca
16%
Draw
77%
Sporting CP
Home13.007%
Draw5.7516%
Away1.2277%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Sporting CP's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Arouca and Sporting CP using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Arouca a 7% win probability, a 16% chance of a draw, and Sporting CP a 77% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-2. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N. Djouahra vs Sporting CP defense: Arouca's top scorer will test Sporting's solid defensive line.
2Pote vs Arouca midfield: Sporting's leading scorer and playmaker will look to exploit Arouca's defensive weaknesses.
3L. Suárez vs Arouca defenders: Another key attacker for Sporting CP aiming to add to his goal tally.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Arouca

  • Recent form includes wins and draws
  • Home advantage with a 0.55 rating
  • Poor defensive record with 42 goals against
  • Low league standing at 15th place

Sporting CP

  • Excellent recent form with high goal scoring (50 goals for)
  • Strong defensive record with only 9 goals against
  • N/A based on provided data

Statistical Context

Arouca

WWWWD
  • WAug 16, 26H · Moreirense4-0
  • WAug 8, 26A · Vitória SC0-1
  • WMay 16, 26H · Tondela3-1
  • WMay 11, 26A · GIL Vicente1-3
  • DMay 2, 26H · Santa Clara2-2

Sporting CP

WDWWW
  • WAug 14, 26H · Vitória SC3-2
  • DAug 8, 26A · Estrela2-2
  • WMay 16, 26H · GIL Vicente3-0
  • WMay 11, 26A · Rio Ave1-4
  • WMay 4, 26H · Vitória SC5-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Arouca2+56WW
2FC Porto2+46WW
3Maritimo2+26WW
4Benfica2+74WD
5Nacional2+24WD
6Santa Clara2+14WD
7Sporting CP2+14WD
8GIL Vicente1+13W

Head to Head

7
Arouca
2
Draws
1
Sporting CP
  • Aug 17, 25Sporting CP – Arouca6-0
  • Feb 15, 25Sporting CP – Arouca2-2
  • Sep 13, 24Arouca – Sporting CP0-3
  • Mar 10, 24Arouca – Sporting CP0-3
  • Oct 8, 23Sporting CP – Arouca2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

AroucaSporting CP
Played21
Goals Scored52
Goals Conceded02
Avg Scored2.52.0
Avg Conceded0.02.0
Clean Sheets20

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

AroucaSporting CP
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Arouca vs Sporting CP — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Sporting CP's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Based on the structured data, Sporting CP is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 77% chance for an away win, and the API-Football model also predicts Sporting CP as the winner, indicating strong consensus.

Form Analysis: Arouca's recent form is WLDDW with 19 goals for and 42 against, showing inconsistency and defensive vulnerability. Sporting CP's form is WDWWW with 50 goals for and 9 against, demonstrating dominant attacking and solid defensive performance.

Key Factors: 1. Sporting CP's superior league position (2nd place, 45 points, +41 GD) compared to Arouca (15th place, 17 points, -23 GD) highlights a significant quality gap. 2. Sporting CP's strong recent form with high goal output and low conceding rate. 3. Head-to-head history favors Sporting CP with 7 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Conclusion: The data consistently points to a Sporting CP victory due to their better form, standings advantage, and historical dominance.

Win Probabilities: Arouca: 7% · Draw: 16% · Sporting CP: 77%

Predicted Score: 0-2 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Arouca wins: 7 · Draws: 2 · Sporting CP wins: 1

Form (latest first): Arouca: WWWWD · Sporting CP: WDWWW

  • N. Djouahra vs Sporting CP defense: Arouca's top scorer will test Sporting's solid defensive line.
  • Pote vs Arouca midfield: Sporting's leading scorer and playmaker will look to exploit Arouca's defensive weaknesses.
  • L. Suárez vs Arouca defenders: Another key attacker for Sporting CP aiming to add to his goal tally.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 2214:30
Academico Viseu
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 2217:00
Rio Ave
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 2219:30
Alverca
11.2282%
X7.1414%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Aug 2314:30
Nacional
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 2317:00
Famalicao
12.3842%
X3.1332%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 2319:30
Arouca
11.2381%
X6.6715%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 2419:15
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 2819:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 2914:30
Maritimo
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 2914:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 2917:00
FC Porto
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 3014:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Aug 3017:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Aug 3019:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 3117:45
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%