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  1. Home
  2. Primeira Liga
  3. Famalicao vs Nacional

Famalicao vs Nacional

Result • Primeira Liga·Famalicao·Nacional

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Mar 21, 2026
15:30
medium Confidence
WINNER
Famalicao

Famalicao

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.60
X3.80
25.75
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
medium Confidence
Nacional

Nacional

Away
Odds
11.60
X3.80
25.75
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Win Probabilities
59%
Famalicao
25%
Draw
16%
Nacional
Home1.6059%
Draw3.8025%
Away5.7516%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Famalicao's defensive fortress standing strong against Nacional's struggling attack. Ancient wisdom reveals momentum and home soil as decisive factors in this clash.

Our AI model analyzes this Primeira Liga fixture between Famalicao and Nacional using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Famalicao a 59% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Nacional a 16% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 30%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 30%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A vs C. Ramírez: Famalicao's defense must contain Nacional's top scorer to limit away team's scoring chances.
2N/A vs N/A: Midfield battle in 4-3-3 setups could determine control and possession.
3N/A vs N/A: Defensive organization vs attacking transitions will be critical given form disparities.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Famalicao

  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Good recent form with a 4-game unbeaten streak
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games
  • N/A for win rate in form data

Nacional

  • N/A
  • N/A
  • Poor recent form with a 1-game loss streak and no clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Low scoring average of 0.4 goals per game

Statistical Context

Famalicao

LDWDD
  • LAug 16, 26H · Maritimo1-2
  • DAug 7, 26A · Estoril1-1
  • WMay 16, 26H · Alverca1-0
  • DMay 11, 26A · Estrela0-0
  • DMay 2, 26H · Benfica2-2

Nacional

WDWLL
  • WAug 16, 26H · Estoril2-0
  • DAug 10, 26A · Santa Clara2-2
  • WMay 16, 26H · Vitória SC2-0
  • LMay 11, 26A · Santa Clara2-0
  • LMay 2, 26H · AVS1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Benfica2+74WD
5Nacional2+24WD
6Santa Clara2+14WD
7Sporting CP2+14WD
8GIL Vicente1+13W
9Estrela202DD
10SC Braga101D
11Academico Viseu2-11LD
12Famalicao2-11LD
13Estoril2-21LD

Head to Head

3
Famalicao
1
Draws
3
Nacional
  • Nov 1, 25Nacional – Famalicao0-1
  • Mar 1, 25Nacional – Famalicao2-1
  • Sep 29, 24Famalicao – Nacional0-0
  • May 16, 21Famalicao – Nacional3-0
  • Jan 30, 21Nacional – Famalicao2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FamalicaoNacional
Played11
Goals Scored12
Goals Conceded12
Avg Scored1.02.0
Avg Conceded1.02.0
Clean Sheets00

Famalicao vs Nacional — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Famalicao's defensive fortress standing strong against Nacional's struggling attack. Ancient wisdom reveals momentum and home soil as decisive factors in this clash.

Based on the structured data, Famalicao is predicted to win this match. The market probabilities show a 59% chance for a home win, aligning with the API-Football model's predicted winner of Famalicao, indicating consensus on the favorite.

Form Analysis: Famalicao has strong recent form with a 4-game unbeaten streak (WWDWL), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per game, including 3 clean sheets in the last 5 matches. Nacional has poor form with a 1-game loss streak (LDLLL), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game, and no clean sheets in the last 5 matches.

Key Factors: 1. Form and momentum heavily favor Famalicao, with superior defensive performance and scoring consistency. 2. League standings show Famalicao in 6th place with 42 points and +10 GD, while Nacional is 16th with 22 points and -9 GD, indicating a significant quality gap. 3. Home advantage with a rating of 0.55 provides an additional edge for Famalicao.

Conclusion: The data-driven analysis supports Famalicao as the likely winner due to better form, standings, and home advantage, with no significant injuries to alter this outcome.

Win Probabilities: Famalicao: 59% · Draw: 25% · Nacional: 16%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 30%

H2H: Famalicao wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Nacional wins: 3

Form (latest first): Famalicao: LDWDD · Nacional: WDWLL

  • N/A vs C. Ramírez: Famalicao's defense must contain Nacional's top scorer to limit away team's scoring chances.
  • N/A vs N/A: Midfield battle in 4-3-3 setups could determine control and possession.
  • N/A vs N/A: Defensive organization vs attacking transitions will be critical given form disparities.

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Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Portugal15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Primeira LigaPortugal
Maritimo
Aug 2214:30
Academico Viseu
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Estoril
Aug 2217:00
Rio Ave
12.0449%
X3.3330%
24.7621%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Sporting CP
Aug 2219:30
Alverca
11.2282%
X7.1414%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Vitória SC
Aug 2314:30
Nacional
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Santa Clara
Aug 2317:00
Famalicao
12.3842%
X3.1332%
23.8526%
Primeira LigaPortugal
FC Porto
Aug 2319:30
Arouca
11.2381%
X6.6715%
225.004%
Primeira LigaPortugal
GIL Vicente
Aug 2419:15
Casa Pia
11.9252%
X3.2331%
25.8817%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Rio Ave
Aug 2819:15
Sporting CP
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Arouca
Aug 2914:30
Maritimo
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Alverca
Aug 2914:30
Santa Clara
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Academico Viseu
Aug 2917:00
FC Porto
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Nacional
Aug 3014:30
Estrela
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Casa Pia
Aug 3017:00
Moreirense
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Famalicao
Aug 3019:30
GIL Vicente
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Primeira LigaPortugal
Benfica
Aug 3117:45
Estoril
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.0025%
23.3330%