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  1. Home
  2. La Liga
  3. Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid

Prediction • La Liga·Real Sociedad·Atletico Madrid

La Liga
La Liga
Sep 13, 2026
15:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Anoeta
Early projection · Odds pending
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Away
Stadium
Anoeta
Win Probabilities
45%
Real Sociedad
24%
Draw
31%
Atletico Madrid
Home2.2245%
Draw4.1724%
Away3.2331%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atletico Madrid are the clear favourites given their superior quality and dominant head-to-head record, but Real Sociedad's home advantage and attacking threat make this a narrow edge. The main risk is Atletico's recent defensive lapses, which could allow the hosts to score.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
0.0Real Sociedad
/10
6.0Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
FormLatest first
DLDDL
Win Rate0%
Atletico Madrid
FormLatest first
WLWWL
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico Madrid+6.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Real Sociedad
Home

Real Sociedad

Form
LDDLD
Latest first
11
Pos
46
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 0 matches)

Clean Sheets0
Goal Diff0
  • Solid home advantage rating (0.55)
  • Decent attacking output (1.8 goals per game)
  • No significant injury concerns
A. Odriozola
Knee Injury
Injured
J. Gorrotxategi
Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 9
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
0Wins
4
Draws
Atletico Madrid
5Wins
Atletico Madrid
0%44%56%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Apr182026
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
2-2
Draw
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Mar72026
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
3-2
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Jan42026
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1-1
Draw
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
May102025
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
4-0
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Oct62024
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1-1
Draw
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
May252024
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0-2
Loss
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Oct82023
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
2-1
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Aug32023
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
0-0
Draw
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
May282023
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
2-1
Loss
Real SociedadReal Sociedad

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Real Sociedad

Apr 18, 2026

49% / 31% / 20%

Atletico Madrid 3 - 2 Real Sociedad

Mar 7, 2026

55% / 25% / 20%

Real Sociedad4-3-3vs4-2-3-1Atletico MadridPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Balanced matchup. Control in wide areas vs central creativity.

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid4-2-3-1
Real SociedadReal Sociedad4-3-3
Atletico MadridBenchAtletico Madrid7
Real SociedadBenchReal Sociedad7

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Real Sociedad

2Out

2 key players

Atletico Madrid

5Out

5 key players

Real Sociedad

Team

Real Sociedad

Players Out

2(2 key)
A. Odriozola

A. Odriozola

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

J. Gorrotxategi

J. Gorrotxategi

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Atletico Madrid

Team

Atletico Madrid

Players Out

5(5 key)
A. Sorloth

A. Sorloth

MODERATE
Injury:Muscle Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-6 weeks

C. Romero

C. Romero

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

J. Alvarez

J. Alvarez

MODERATE
Injury:Lacking Match Fitness

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

T. Lemar

T. Lemar

MODERATE
Injury:Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Vargas

O. Vargas

MODERATE
Injury:Coach's decision

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

La Liga

League Statistics

La Liga • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Espanyol
Espanyol
110030+33
2
Alaves
Alaves
110030+33
3
Atletico Madrid
Atletico MadridAway
110020+23
4
Sevilla
Sevilla
110021+13
5
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
10102201
6
Villarreal
Villarreal
10102201
7
Elche
Elche
10101101
8
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
10101101
9
Barcelona
Barcelona
00000000
10
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
00000000
11
Real Betis
Real Betis
00000000
12
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
00000000
13
Valencia
Valencia
00000000
14
Real Sociedad
Real SociedadHome
00000000
15
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
00000000
16
Osasuna
Osasuna
00000000
17
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
100112-10
18
Malaga
Malaga
100102-20
19
Levante
Levante
100103-30
20
Getafe
Getafe
100103-30
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Real Sociedad

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

45%Real Sociedad
24%Draw
31%Atletico Madrid

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Sep 13 · 15:00
StadiumAnoeta
League StatsLa Liga

Statistical Context

Real Sociedad

DLDDL
  • DMay 23, 26A · Espanyol1-1
  • LMay 17, 26H · Valencia3-4
  • DMay 14, 26A · Girona1-1
  • DMay 9, 26H · Real Betis2-2
  • LMay 4, 26A · Sevilla1-0

Atletico Madrid

WLWWL
  • WAug 19, 26H · Malaga2-0
  • LMay 24, 26A · Villarreal5-1
  • WMay 17, 26H · Girona1-0
  • WMay 12, 26A · Osasuna1-2
  • LMay 9, 26H · Celta Vigo0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Alaves1+33W
3Atletico Madrid1+23W
4Sevilla1+13W
13Valencia000—
14Real Sociedad000—
15Athletic Club000—

Head to Head

0
Real Sociedad
4
Draws
5
Atletico Madrid
  • Apr 18, 26Atletico Madrid – Real Sociedad2-2
  • Mar 7, 26Atletico Madrid – Real Sociedad3-2
  • Jan 4, 26Real Sociedad – Atletico Madrid1-1
  • May 10, 25Atletico Madrid – Real Sociedad4-0
  • Oct 6, 24Real Sociedad – Atletico Madrid1-1

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—4/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Real Sociedad

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 1GAitor Fraga
  2. 2DJ. Aramburu
  3. 4DLuken Beitia
  4. 15DK. Kita
  5. 25DJavi López
  6. 31MIbai Aguirre
  7. 12MY. Herrera
  8. 18MCarlos Soler
  9. 7ABarrenetxea
  10. 18AGorka Carrera
  11. 19AAlex Garcia

Coach: Sergio Francisco

Atletico Madrid

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 13GSalvador Esquivel
  2. 4DJavier Boñar
  3. 2DJ. Giménez
  4. 17DD. Hancko
  5. 24DRobin Le Normand
  6. 42MM. Hjulmand
  7. 6MKoke
  8. 11MT. Lemar
  9. 14MCarlos Martín
  10. 4MRodrigo Mendoza
  11. 30AM. Llorente

Coach: D. Simeone

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atletico Madrid are the clear favourites given their superior quality and dominant head-to-head record, but Real Sociedad's home advantage and attacking threat make this a narrow edge. The main risk is Atletico's recent defensive lapses, which could allow the hosts to score.

This La Liga clash at Anoeta sees Real Sociedad, languishing in 17th, host second-placed Atletico Madrid. Despite the home side's poor league position, the underlying numbers suggest a tight contest. …

Win Probabilities: Real Sociedad: 45% · Draw: 24% · Atletico Madrid: 31%

H2H: Real Sociedad wins: 0 · Draws: 4 · Atletico Madrid wins: 5

Form (latest first): Real Sociedad: DLDDL · Atletico Madrid: WLWWL

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La Liga

La Liga

Spain15 · Upcoming Fixtures
La LigaSpain
Real Betis
Aug 2119:00
Real Sociedad
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Athletic Club
Aug 2215:00
Sevilla
11.8953%
X3.3330%
25.8817%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2217:30
Celta Vigo
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Espanyol
Aug 2219:30
Real Madrid
18.3312%
X4.0025%
21.5963%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2315:00
Villarreal
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Getafe
Aug 2317:30
Racing Santander
12.0848%
X3.1332%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Elche
Aug 2319:30
Barcelona
111.119%
X5.0020%
21.4171%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Osasuna
Aug 2417:30
Levante
12.0449%
X3.4529%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Malaga
Aug 2419:30
Deportivo La Coruna
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Valencia
Aug 2519:00
Real Betis
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Real Madrid
Aug 2619:00
Real Sociedad
11.5465%
X4.3523%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Celta Vigo
Aug 2718:30
Osasuna
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Barcelona
Aug 2719:00
Athletic Club
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Racing Santander
Aug 2817:00
Elche
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
La LigaSpain
Alaves
Aug 2819:30
Villarreal
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access