Carioca · 2026

Carioca Matchday 1 predictions

6 fixtures from January 14 to January 16. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Wednesday, January 14 · 22:00

Fluminense#1

2–1

Madureira#2

Every fixture this round

Wednesday, January 14

  1. 1–0
    Volta Redonda#3
    Boavista SC#3
  2. 2–1
    Fluminense#1
    Madureira#2

Thursday, January 15

  1. 2–1
    Bangu#4
    Flamengo#4
  2. 1–3
    Sampaio Corrêa RJ#6
    Nova Iguaçu#5
  3. 0–2
    Portuguesa RJ#5
    Botafogo#1

Friday, January 16

  1. 4–2
    Vasco DA Gama#2
    CFRJ / Maricá#6

Carioca Matchday 1 runs from January 14 to January 16 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

All Carioca predictions →Carioca table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 1 FAQ

When is Carioca Matchday 1 played?

From January 14 to January 16. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.