Carioca · 2026

Carioca Matchday 5 predictions

6 fixtures from January 11 to February 2. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, February 1 · 23:30

Botafogo#1

0–1

Fluminense#1

Every fixture this round

Sunday, January 11

  1. 1–1
    Flamengo#4
    Portuguesa RJ#5

Friday, January 30

  1. 1–1
    Sampaio Corrêa RJ#6
    Boavista SC#3
  2. 1–2
    Nova Iguaçu#5
    Bangu#4

Sunday, February 1

  1. 0–1
    Botafogo#1
    Fluminense#1

Monday, February 2

  1. 1–2
    CFRJ / Maricá#6
    Volta Redonda#3
  2. 0–0
    Madureira#2
    Vasco DA Gama#2

Carioca Matchday 5 runs from January 11 to February 2 with 6 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

All Carioca predictions →Carioca table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is Carioca Matchday 5 played?

From January 11 to February 2. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.