First League · 2026/27

First League Matchday 12 predictions

7 fixtures from October 23 to October 26. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Monday, October 26 · 17:30

CSKA Sofia#2

VS

Ludogorets#3
1 · 41%X · 28%2 · 31%
CSKA Sofia to win · 41% Correct score: StarterFull analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, October 23

  1. 4–0
    CSKA 1948#4
    Botev Plovdiv#5
    50%26%24%

Saturday, October 24

  1. 11:00
    Dunav Ruse#10
    Spartak Varna#7
    39%27%34%
  2. 13:30
    Lokomotiv Sofia#12
    Botev Vratsa#9
    51%25%24%
  3. 15:00
    Cherno More Varna#14
    Septemvri Sofia#13
    53%26%21%
  4. 15:00
    Arda Kardzhali#6
    Levski Sofia#1
    19%24%57%

Monday, October 26

  1. 15:00
    Lokomotiv Plovdiv#11
    Slavia Sofia#8
    41%30%29%
  2. 17:30
    CSKA Sofia#2
    Ludogorets#3
    41%28%31%

First League Matchday 12 runs from October 23 to October 26 with 7 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia: Levski Sofia to win at 57%. The tightest match is Dunav Ruse - Spartak Varna, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All First League predictions →First League table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 12 FAQ

When is First League Matchday 12 played?

From October 23 to October 26. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 12?

Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia: Levski Sofia to win at 57% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.