First League · 2026/27

First League Matchday 11 predictions

7 fixtures from October 10 to October 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, October 11 · 17:00

CSKA 1948#3

2–3

CSKA Sofia#1
1 · 25%X · 28%2 · 47%
CSKA Sofia to win · 47%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Saturday, October 10

  1. 0–1
    Botev Vratsa#10
    Spartak Varna#7
    50%27%23%
  2. 1–1
    Lokomotiv Sofia#12
    Lokomotiv Plovdiv#11
    46%28%26%
  3. 1–0
    Botev Plovdiv#5
    Slavia Sofia#8
    64%20%16%

Sunday, October 11

  1. 2–3
    Septemvri Sofia#14
    Dunav Ruse#9
    44%29%27%
  2. 0–2
    Cherno More Varna#13
    Levski Sofia#2
    13%21%66%
  3. 2–3
    CSKA 1948#3
    CSKA Sofia#1
    25%28%47%

Monday, October 12

  1. 5–0
    Ludogorets#4
    Arda Kardzhali#6
    68%20%12%

First League Matchday 11 runs from October 10 to October 12 with 7 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Ludogorets - Arda Kardzhali: Ludogorets to win at 68%. The tightest match is Septemvri Sofia - Dunav Ruse, where no outcome clears 44%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All First League predictions →First League table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 11 FAQ

When is First League Matchday 11 played?

From October 10 to October 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?

Ludogorets - Arda Kardzhali: Ludogorets to win at 68% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.