First League · 2026/27
First League Matchday 10 predictions
7 fixtures from September 18 to December 3. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Thursday, December 3 · 16:30
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 18
1X2Saturday, September 19
1X2Sunday, September 20
1X2Thursday, December 3
1X2First League Matchday 10 runs from September 18 to December 3 with 7 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
Match by match
- Slavia Sofia 1–2 CSKA 1948, September 18: the model's pick was CSKA 1948 to win (53%) and it came in.
- Dunav Ruse 2–2 Botev Vratsa, September 19: the model's pick was Botev Vratsa to win (39%) and it missed.
- Septemvri Sofia 0–3 Botev Plovdiv, September 19: the model's pick was Botev Plovdiv to win (50%) and it came in.
- Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Cherno More Varna, September 19: the model's pick was Arda Kardzhali to win (56%) and it missed.
- Spartak Varna 0–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, September 20: the model's pick was Spartak Varna to win (39%) and it missed.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 CSKA Sofia, September 20: the model's pick was CSKA Sofia to win (65%) and it missed.
- Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets, December 3: the model's pick is Levski Sofia to win (51%).
Matchday 10 FAQ
When is First League Matchday 10 played?
From September 18 to December 3. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 10?
Levski Sofia - Ludogorets: Levski Sofia to win at 51% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.













