1. Division · 2026/27

1. Division Matchday 4 predictions

7 fixtures from September 18 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Friday, September 18 · 17:00

Pafos#5

0–2

AEL#3
1 · 74%X · 15%2 · 11%
Pafos to win · 74%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, September 18

  1. 1–2
    Omonia 29is Maiou#8
    AEK Larnaca#1
    15%19%66%
  2. 0–2
    Pafos#5
    AEL#3
    74%15%11%

Saturday, September 19

  1. 2–2
    Apollon Limassol#2
    Apoel Nicosia#7
    49%26%25%
  2. 3–0
    Nea Salamis#12
    Anorthosis#9
    33%28%39%

Sunday, September 20

  1. 4–1
    Omonia Nicosia#4
    Krasava Ypsonas#13
    84%12%4%
  2. 0–0
    Aris#6
    Karmiotissa#14
    74%15%11%
  3. 1–1
    Omonia Aradippou#11
    Olympiakos#10
    42%27%31%

1. Division Matchday 4 runs from September 18 to September 20 with 7 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Omonia Nicosia - Krasava Ypsonas: Omonia Nicosia to win at 84%. The tightest match is Nea Salamis - Anorthosis, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All 1. Division predictions →1. Division table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is 1. Division Matchday 4 played?

From September 18 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Omonia Nicosia - Krasava Ypsonas: Omonia Nicosia to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.