1. Division · 2026/27

1. Division Matchday 5 predictions

7 fixtures from October 9 to October 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Sunday, October 11 · 16:00

AEL#3

2–1

Omonia 29is Maiou#8
1 · 64%X · 21%2 · 15%
AEL to win · 64%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, October 9

  1. 0–3
    Karmiotissa#14
    Omonia Nicosia#4
    5%12%83%

Saturday, October 10

  1. 1–3
    Krasava Ypsonas#13
    Apollon Limassol#2
    15%19%66%
  2. 2–1
    Apoel Nicosia#7
    Nea Salamis#12
    64%20%16%

Sunday, October 11

  1. 1–3
    Anorthosis#9
    Pafos#5
    17%21%62%
  2. 2–1
    AEL#3
    Omonia 29is Maiou#8
    64%21%15%
  3. 1–2
    Olympiakos#10
    Aris#6
    27%26%47%

Monday, October 12

  1. 1–0
    AEK Larnaca#1
    Omonia Aradippou#11
    73%16%11%

1. Division Matchday 5 runs from October 9 to October 12 with 7 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Karmiotissa - Omonia Nicosia: Omonia Nicosia to win at 83%. The tightest match is Olympiakos - Aris, where no outcome clears 47%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All 1. Division predictions →1. Division table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is 1. Division Matchday 5 played?

From October 9 to October 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?

Karmiotissa - Omonia Nicosia: Omonia Nicosia to win at 83% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.