Who Will Win 1. Division?
2,000 season simulations · 182 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the 1. Division 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Apollon Limassol wins 1. Division in 39.1% of 2,000 season simulations.
AEK Larnaca — 28.7% title chance.
Karmiotissa goes down in 91.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Apollon Limassol | 7 | 15 | 39.1% | 94% | <0.1% | 53 |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 13 | 28.7% | 88.5% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 3 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 12 | 16.8% | 80.6% | <0.1% | 50 |
| 4 |  AEL | 7 | 15 | 12.6% | 74.5% | <0.1% | 49 |
| 5 |  Pafos | 7 | 12 | 1.3% | 26.3% | <0.1% | 43 |
| 6 |  Apoel Nicosia | 7 | 11 | 0.9% | 17.5% | <0.1% | 42 |
| 7 |  Aris | 7 | 12 | 0.7% | 18.6% | 0.1% | 42 |
| 8 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 7 | 8 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 3.6% | 32 |
| 9 |  Olympiakos | 7 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 19.4% | 27 |
| 10 |  Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 6 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 25.3% | 26 |
| 11 |  Anorthosis | 7 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 34% | 25 |
| 12 |  Nea Salamis | 7 | 5 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 47.6% | 24 |
| 13 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 7 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 78.7% | 20 |
| 14 |  Karmiotissa | 7 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 91.5% | 17 |
Next 1. Division fixtures — with AI predictions
- Karmiotissa – OlympiakosFri, Oct 30AI prediction →
- Krasava Ypsonas – AEK LarnacaSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Apollon Limassol – PafosSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Omonia Nicosia – AELSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Aris – AnorthosisSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Omonia 29is Maiou – Nea SalamisSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Omonia Aradippou – Apoel NicosiaSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- Nea Salamis – Omonia AradippouFri, Nov 6AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining 1. Division fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win 1. Division in 2026/27?
Apollon Limassol wins 1. Division in 39.1% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.