Who Will Win 1. Division?
2,000 season simulations · 182 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the 1. Division 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
AEK Larnaca wins 1. Division in 60.2% of 2,000 season simulations.
Omonia Nicosia — 9.6% title chance.
Krasava Ypsonas goes down in 72.2% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Larnaca | 2 | 6 | 60.2% | 93.5% | 0.1% | 51 |
| 2 |  Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 4 | 9.6% | 57.3% | 0.6% | 43 |
| 3 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 2 | 4 | 8.2% | 55.9% | 0.6% | 43 |
| 4 |  Pafos | 2 | 4 | 7% | 52.5% | 0.6% | 43 |
| 5 |  Apollon Limassol | 2 | 4 | 6.4% | 46% | 0.7% | 42 |
| 6 |  Omonia Aradippou | 2 | 4 | 4.9% | 43.4% | 1.6% | 41 |
| 7 |  Apoel Nicosia | 2 | 3 | 2.9% | 31.5% | 1.6% | 40 |
| 8 |  Olympiakos | 2 | 2 | 0.5% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 34 |
| 9 |  AEL | 2 | 3 | 0.4% | 9% | 10% | 34 |
| 10 |  Nea Salamis | 2 | 1 | 0.1% | 1.5% | 40.9% | 28 |
| 11 |  Karmiotissa | 2 | 1 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 44% | 28 |
| 12 |  Aris | 2 | 1 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 42.9% | 28 |
| 13 |  Anorthosis | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 70.4% | 24 |
| 14 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 2 | 0 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 72.2% | 24 |
Next 1. Division fixtures — with AI predictions
- AEL – Nea SalamisFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- Anorthosis – Apoel NicosiaSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Karmiotissa – Omonia AradippouSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Omonia Nicosia – Apollon LimassolSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- AEK Larnaca – PafosSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Olympiakos – Omonia 29is MaiouSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Krasava Ypsonas – ArisMon, Sep 14AI prediction →
- Omonia 29is Maiou – AEK LarnacaFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining 1. Division fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win 1. Division in 2026/27?
AEK Larnaca wins 1. Division in 60.2% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.