Premier Division · 2026
Premier Division Matchday 33 predictions
5 fixtures from October 2 to October 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Monday, October 19 · 19:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, October 2
1X2
Thursday, October 8
1X2
Friday, October 9
1X2
Premier Division Matchday 33 runs from October 2 to October 19 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers: Shelbourne to win at 81%. The tightest match is Derry City - St Patrick's Athl., where no outcome clears 46%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians, October 2: the model's pick was Bohemians to win (56%) and it came in.
- Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Drogheda United, October 8: the model's pick was Shamrock Rovers to win (78%) and it came in.
- Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers, October 9: the model's pick was Shelbourne to win (81%) and it came in.
- Waterford 3–2 Galway United, October 19: the model's pick was Waterford to win (55%) and it came in.
- Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl., October 19: the model's pick was St Patrick's Athl. to win (46%) and it missed.
Matchday 33 FAQ
When is Premier Division Matchday 33 played?
From October 2 to October 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 33?
Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers: Shelbourne to win at 81% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.