Premier Division · 2026
Premier Division Matchday 30 predictions
5 fixtures from September 14 to October 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Monday, October 12 · 19:00
Every fixture this round
Premier Division Matchday 30 runs from September 14 to October 12 with 5 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Shelbourne - Drogheda United: Shelbourne to win at 54%. The tightest match is Shamrock Rovers - Bohemians, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Dundalk 0–4 St Patrick's Athl., September 14: the model's pick was St Patrick's Athl. to win (44%) and it came in.
- Sligo Rovers 1–3 Galway United, September 14: the model's pick was Galway United to win (41%) and it came in.
- Waterford 2–2 Derry City, September 14: the model's pick was Derry City to win (41%) and it missed.
- Shelbourne 1–2 Drogheda United, September 14: the model's pick was Shelbourne to win (54%) and it missed.
- Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians, October 12: the model's pick was Shamrock Rovers to win (40%) and it came in.
Matchday 30 FAQ
When is Premier Division Matchday 30 played?
From September 14 to October 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 30?
Shelbourne - Drogheda United: Shelbourne to win at 54% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.









