Serie A · 2026/27

Serie A Matchday 5 predictions

10 fixtures from September 18 to September 20. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, September 19 · 16:00

AS Roma#1

VS

Inter#2
1 · 33%X · 27%2 · 40%
Inter to win · 40% Correct score: StarterFull analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, September 18

  1. 18:45
    Monza#17
    Sassuolo#10
    28%23%49%

Saturday, September 19

  1. 13:00
    Udinese#11
    Cagliari#9
    52%22%26%
  2. 13:00
    Bologna#15
    Torino#13
    54%21%25%
  3. 16:00
    AS Roma#1
    Inter#2
    33%27%40%
  4. 18:45
    Venezia#18
    Lazio#3
    28%22%50%

Sunday, September 20

  1. 10:30
    Fiorentina#20
    Napoli#12
    24%21%55%
  2. 13:00
    Frosinone#7
    Como#4
    35%27%38%
  3. 13:00
    Parma#16
    Genoa#19
    44%25%31%
  4. 16:00
    Juventus#6
    Atalanta#8
    52%22%26%
  5. 18:45
    AC Milan#5
    Lecce#14
    66%18%16%

Serie A Matchday 5 runs from September 18 to September 20 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is AC Milan - Lecce: AC Milan to win at 66%. The tightest match is Frosinone - Como, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Serie A predictions →Serie A table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 5 FAQ

When is Serie A Matchday 5 played?

From September 18 to September 20. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?

AC Milan - Lecce: AC Milan to win at 66% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.