Serie A · 2026/27

Serie A Matchday 3 predictions

10 fixtures from September 4 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, September 5 · 16:00

Inter#1

3–2

Napoli#10
1 · 54%X · 30%2 · 16%
Inter to win · 54%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, September 4

  1. 1–4
    Genoa#16
    Como#5
    18%31%51%

Saturday, September 5

  1. 1–2
    Fiorentina#18
    Torino#8
    40%32%28%
  2. 3–2
    Inter#1
    Napoli#10
    54%30%16%
  3. 2–1
    AS Roma#3
    Atalanta#11
    51%27%22%

Sunday, September 6

  1. 3–2
    Frosinone#6
    Venezia#20
    33%28%39%
  2. 1–1
    Parma#19
    Monza#15
    40%31%29%
  3. 2–2
    Bologna#13
    Sassuolo#14
    47%29%24%
  4. 1–1
    Juventus#7
    AC Milan#4
    45%32%23%

Monday, September 7

  1. 1–0
    Cagliari#9
    Lecce#12
    39%33%28%
  2. 1–2
    Udinese#17
    Lazio#2
    33%30%37%

Serie A Matchday 3 runs from September 4 to September 7 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Inter - Napoli: Inter to win at 54%. The tightest match is Udinese - Lazio, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

Match by match

All Serie A predictions →Serie A table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 3 FAQ

When is Serie A Matchday 3 played?

From September 4 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?

Inter - Napoli: Inter to win at 54% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.