Serie A · 2026/27

Serie A Matchday 3 predictions

10 fixtures from September 4 to September 7. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, September 5 · 18:45

AS Roma#1

2–1

Atalanta#8
1 · 51%X · 27%2 · 22%
AS Roma to win · 51%Full analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, September 4

  1. 1–4
    Genoa#19
    Como#4
    18%31%51%

Saturday, September 5

  1. 1–2
    Fiorentina#20
    Torino#13
    40%32%28%
  2. 3–2
    Inter#2
    Napoli#12
    54%30%16%
  3. 2–1
    AS Roma#1
    Atalanta#8
    51%27%22%

Sunday, September 6

  1. 3–2
    Frosinone#7
    Venezia#18
    33%28%39%
  2. 1–1
    Parma#16
    Monza#17
    40%31%29%
  3. 2–2
    Bologna#15
    Sassuolo#10
    47%29%24%
  4. 1–1
    Juventus#6
    AC Milan#5
    45%32%23%

Monday, September 7

  1. 1–0
    Cagliari#9
    Lecce#14
    39%33%28%
  2. 1–2
    Udinese#11
    Lazio#3
    33%30%37%

Serie A Matchday 3 runs from September 4 to September 7 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Inter - Napoli: Inter to win at 54%. The tightest match is Udinese - Lazio, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Serie A predictions →Serie A table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 3 FAQ

When is Serie A Matchday 3 played?

From September 4 to September 7. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?

Inter - Napoli: Inter to win at 54% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.