Serie A · 2026/27

Serie A Matchday 4 predictions

10 fixtures from September 11 to September 14. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.

Kick-off times in UTC

Match of the round

Saturday, September 12 · 16:00

Lazio#3

VS

AC Milan#5
1 · 30%X · 30%2 · 40%
AC Milan to win · 40% Correct score: StarterFull analysis →

Every fixture this round

Friday, September 11

  1. 18:45
    Venezia#18
    Fiorentina#20
    33%28%39%

Saturday, September 12

  1. 13:00
    Genoa#19
    Frosinone#7
    40%32%28%
  2. 16:00
    Lazio#3
    AC Milan#5
    30%30%40%
  3. 18:45
    Atalanta#8
    Cagliari#9
    49%28%23%

Sunday, September 13

  1. 13:00
    Lecce#14
    Monza#17
    40%34%26%
  2. 16:00
    Napoli#12
    Bologna#15
    58%27%15%
  3. 18:45
    Sassuolo#10
    Juventus#6
    13%26%61%

Monday, September 14

  1. 16:30
    Torino#13
    AS Roma#1
    13%26%61%
  2. 16:30
    Como#4
    Parma#16
    73%20%7%
  3. 18:45
    Inter#2
    Udinese#11
    71%19%10%

Serie A Matchday 4 runs from September 11 to September 14 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.

The safest pick of the round is Como - Parma: Como to win at 73%. The tightest match is Venezia - Fiorentina, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.

All Serie A predictions →Serie A table →Who will win? Title odds →

Matchday 4 FAQ

When is Serie A Matchday 4 played?

From September 11 to September 14. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.

What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?

Como - Parma: Como to win at 73% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.

How are these predictions calculated?

Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.

Do the predictions change before kick-off?

Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.