Serie A · 2026/27
Serie A Matchday 1 predictions
10 fixtures from August 22 to August 24. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, August 23 · 16:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, August 22
1X2
Sunday, August 23
1X2
Monday, August 24
1X2
Serie A Matchday 1 runs from August 22 to August 24 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Inter - Monza: Inter to win at 80%. The tightest match is Parma - Cagliari, where no outcome clears 39%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Inter 4–1 Monza, August 22: the model's pick was Inter to win (80%) and it came in.
- Udinese 1–1 Como, August 22: the model's pick was Como to win (51%) and it missed.
- Genoa 0–2 Napoli, August 22: the model's pick was Napoli to win (50%) and it came in.
- Parma 0–1 Cagliari, August 22: the model's pick was Parma to win (39%) and it missed.
- Frosinone 0–1 Juventus, August 23: the model's pick was Juventus to win (64%) and it came in.
- Venezia 0–2 Lecce, August 23: the model's pick was Venezia to win (40%) and it missed.
- Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo, August 23: the model's pick was Atalanta to win (64%) and it came in.
- Torino 1–2 AC Milan, August 23: the model's pick was AC Milan to win (50%) and it came in.
- Bologna 0–1 Lazio, August 24: the model's pick was Bologna to win (40%) and it missed.
- AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina, August 24: the model's pick was AS Roma to win (58%) and it came in.
Matchday 1 FAQ
When is Serie A Matchday 1 played?
From August 22 to August 24. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 1?
Inter - Monza: Inter to win at 80% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.