Eredivisie · 2026/27
Eredivisie Matchday 3 predictions
9 fixtures from August 22 to September 15. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, August 22 · 14:30
Every fixture this round
Saturday, August 22
1X2Sunday, August 23
1X2Tuesday, September 8
1X2Wednesday, September 9
1X2Tuesday, September 15
1X2Eredivisie Matchday 3 runs from August 22 to September 15 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Ajax - Willem II: Ajax to win at 84%. The tightest match is Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht, where no outcome clears 40%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar, August 22: the model's pick was AZ Alkmaar to win (61%) and it came in.
- Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Utrecht, August 22: the model's pick was Sparta Rotterdam to win (40%) and it missed.
- Heerenveen 0–2 PEC Zwolle, August 22: the model's pick was Heerenveen to win (58%) and it missed.
- GO Ahead Eagles 3–1 ADO Den Haag, August 23: the model's pick was GO Ahead Eagles to win (58%) and it came in.
- PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen, August 23: the model's pick was PSV Eindhoven to win (63%) and it came in.
- Cambuur 2–5 Feyenoord, August 23: the model's pick was Feyenoord to win (72%) and it came in.
- NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior, September 8: the model's pick was NEC Nijmegen to win (49%) and it missed.
- Twente 1–0 Telstar, September 9: the model's pick was Twente to win (75%) and it came in.
- Ajax 5–1 Willem II, September 15: the model's pick was Ajax to win (84%) and it came in.
Matchday 3 FAQ
When is Eredivisie Matchday 3 played?
From August 22 to September 15. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 3?
Ajax - Willem II: Ajax to win at 84% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.

















