Eredivisie · 2026/27
Eredivisie Matchday 5 predictions
9 fixtures from September 4 to September 8. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, September 5 · 18:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, September 4
1X2
Saturday, September 5
1X2
Sunday, September 6
1X2
Tuesday, September 8
1X2
Eredivisie Matchday 5 runs from September 4 to September 8 with 9 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Telstar - Cambuur: Telstar to win at 62%. The tightest match is Utrecht - GO Ahead Eagles, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 PEC Zwolle, September 4: the model's pick was Sparta Rotterdam to win (40%) and it missed.
- NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Feyenoord, September 5: the model's pick was Feyenoord to win (40%) and it came in.
- Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven, September 5: the model's pick was PSV Eindhoven to win (40%) and it came in.
- Willem II 0–3 Excelsior, September 5: the model's pick was Excelsior to win (41%) and it came in.
- Groningen 2–2 Twente, September 6: the model's pick was Twente to win (49%) and it missed.
- Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar, September 6: the model's pick was AZ Alkmaar to win (49%) and it came in.
- Telstar 2–2 Cambuur, September 6: the model's pick was Telstar to win (62%) and it missed.
- ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard, September 6: the model's pick was ADO Den Haag to win (42%) and it missed.
- Utrecht 3–3 GO Ahead Eagles, September 8: the model's pick was Utrecht to win (37%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Eredivisie Matchday 5 played?
From September 4 to September 8. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Telstar - Cambuur: Telstar to win at 62% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.