Who Will Win Eredivisie?
2,000 season simulations · 306 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Eredivisie 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
PSV Eindhoven wins Eredivisie in 52% of 2,000 season simulations.
AZ Alkmaar — 32.7% title chance.
ADO Den Haag goes down in 91.4% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 16 | 52% | 98.4% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 16 | 32.7% | 97.4% | <0.1% | 78 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 14 | 10.2% | 86.5% | <0.1% | 73 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 6 | 13 | 3.5% | 68.4% | <0.1% | 70 |
| 5 |  Twente | 6 | 13 | 1.7% | 44.7% | <0.1% | 67 |
| 6 |  Excelsior | 6 | 10 | <0.1% | 4.1% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 10 | <0.1% | 0.6% | <0.1% | 52 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 0.1% | <0.1% | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 6 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 46 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 7 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 43 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2% | 39 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 7.5% | 35 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 6 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 11.9% | 34 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 6 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15.6% | 33 |
| 15 |  Cambuur | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 39.5% | 29 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 46.1% | 28 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 6 | 2 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 85.6% | 22 |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag | 6 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 91.4% | 20 |
Next Eredivisie fixtures — with AI predictions
- Groningen – PEC ZwolleFri, Sep 18AI prediction →
- ADO Den Haag – CambuurSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Sparta Rotterdam – HeerenveenSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Ajax – ExcelsiorSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Willem II – Fortuna SittardSat, Sep 19AI prediction →
- Feyenoord – UtrechtSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- AZ Alkmaar – TelstarSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
- Twente – PSV EindhovenSun, Sep 20AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Eredivisie fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Eredivisie in 2026/27?
PSV Eindhoven wins Eredivisie in 52% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.