Who Will Win Eredivisie?
2,000 season simulations · 34 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Eredivisie 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Cambuur wins Eredivisie in 13.3% of 2,000 season simulations.
Fortuna Sittard — 9% title chance.
Twente goes down in 26.5% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 13.3% | 37.8% | 7.8% | 6 |
| 2 |  Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 9% | 31.5% | 10.1% | 6 |
| 3 |  PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 8.6% | 30.6% | 11.2% | 6 |
| 4 |  PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 8% | 29.8% | 10.5% | 6 |
| 5 |  Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 7.6% | 28% | 14.1% | 6 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 7% | 26.9% | 13.7% | 6 |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 6.7% | 24.7% | 14.4% | 5 |
| 8 |  Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 6.4% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 6 |
| 9 |  AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 5.6% | 23.5% | 14.5% | 6 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 5.3% | 23.9% | 14.4% | 5 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 5.1% | 22.9% | 15.8% | 5 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 4.7% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 6 |
| 13 |  Groningen | 0 | 0 | 4.6% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 5 |
| 14 |  ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 3.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 5 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 0 | 0 | 2% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 4 |
| 16 |  Ajax | 0 | 0 | 1.2% | 9.1% | 25.7% | 4 |
| 17 |  Twente | 0 | 0 | 0.9% | 8.6% | 26.5% | 4 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0.8% | 8.8% | 26.5% | 4 |
Next Eredivisie fixtures — with AI predictions
- Cambuur – ExcelsiorFri, Aug 7AI prediction →
- NEC Nijmegen – TelstarSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- GO Ahead Eagles – Willem IISat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- PSV Eindhoven – Fortuna SittardSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- AZ Alkmaar – ADO Den HaagSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Sparta Rotterdam – FeyenoordSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- PEC Zwolle – AjaxSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Groningen – UtrechtSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Eredivisie fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Eredivisie in 2026/27?
Cambuur wins Eredivisie in 13.3% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.