Eliteserien · 2026
Eliteserien Matchday 4 predictions
8 fixtures from April 11 to April 12. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, April 11 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, April 11
1X2Eliteserien Matchday 4 runs from April 11 to April 12 with 8 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Tromso - Kristiansund BK: Tromso to win at 68%. The tightest match is Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 FF, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Lillestrom 3–1 Start, April 11: the model's pick was Lillestrom to win (56%) and it came in.
- Tromso 2–0 Kristiansund BK, April 11: the model's pick was Tromso to win (68%) and it came in.
- Viking 5–0 Bodo/Glimt, April 11: the model's pick was Bodo/Glimt to win (42%) and it missed.
- Rosenborg 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, April 12: the model's pick was Rosenborg to win (37%) and it came in.
- Molde 4–1 Ham-Kam, April 12: the model's pick was Molde to win (59%) and it came in.
- Aalesund 2–2 KFUM Oslo, April 12: the model's pick was Aalesund to win (39%) and it missed.
- Fredrikstad 1–1 Valerenga, April 12: the model's pick was Fredrikstad to win (40%) and it missed.
- Brann 0–1 Sandefjord, April 12: the model's pick was Brann to win (55%) and it missed.
Matchday 4 FAQ
When is Eliteserien Matchday 4 played?
From April 11 to April 12. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 4?
Tromso - Kristiansund BK: Tromso to win at 68% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.















