Who Will Win Eliteserien?
2,000 season simulations · 22 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the Eliteserien 2026 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Viking wins Eliteserien in 63.1% of 2,000 season simulations.
Bodo/Glimt — 36.9% title chance.
Start goes down in 98.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 15 | 37 | 63.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 44 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 38 | 36.9% | 100% | <0.1% | 42 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 16 | 34 | 0.1% | 100% | <0.1% | 38 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 15 | 25 | <0.1% | 68.3% | <0.1% | 31 |
| 5 |  Molde | 15 | 24 | <0.1% | 27.2% | <0.1% | 28 |
| 6 |  Ham-Kam | 15 | 21 | <0.1% | 2.4% | <0.1% | 26 |
| 7 |  Brann | 16 | 22 | <0.1% | 1% | <0.1% | 25 |
| 8 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 15 | 22 | <0.1% | 0.8% | <0.1% | 25 |
| 9 |  Valerenga | 15 | 20 | <0.1% | 0.4% | <0.1% | 24 |
| 10 |  Fredrikstad | 15 | 17 | <0.1% | 0.1% | 3% | 21 |
| 11 |  Rosenborg | 15 | 18 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.8% | 20 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 15 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 12.6% | 19 |
| 13 |  KFUM Oslo | 15 | 15 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15.7% | 19 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 15 | 13 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 82.4% | 15 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 15 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 87% | 15 |
| 16 |  Start | 16 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 98.7% | 13 |
Next Eliteserien fixtures — with AI predictions
- Sandefjord – KFUM OsloFri, Aug 7AI prediction →
- Valerenga – Bodo/GlimtSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Viking – Sarpsborg 08 FFSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Start – FredrikstadSat, Aug 8AI prediction →
- Lillestrom – RosenborgSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Ham-Kam – AalesundSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Kristiansund BK – MoldeSun, Aug 9AI prediction →
- Rosenborg – VikingFri, Aug 14AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining Eliteserien fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win Eliteserien in 2026?
Viking wins Eliteserien in 63.1% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.