Eliteserien · 2026
Eliteserien Matchday 5 predictions
8 fixtures from April 18 to April 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Saturday, April 18 · 16:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, April 18
1X2Eliteserien Matchday 5 runs from April 18 to April 19 with 8 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Bodo/Glimt - Aalesund: Bodo/Glimt to win at 74%. The tightest match is Valerenga - Lillestrom, where no outcome clears 38%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Aalesund, April 18: the model's pick was Bodo/Glimt to win (74%) and it came in.
- Sandefjord 0–0 Rosenborg, April 18: the model's pick was Sandefjord to win (47%) and it missed.
- Viking 3–2 Brann, April 18: the model's pick was Viking to win (51%) and it came in.
- Valerenga 0–2 Lillestrom, April 19: the model's pick was Lillestrom to win (38%) and it came in.
- Kristiansund BK 2–0 Fredrikstad, April 19: the model's pick was Fredrikstad to win (44%) and it missed.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF 0–1 Tromso, April 19: the model's pick was Tromso to win (44%) and it came in.
- Ham-Kam 4–0 KFUM Oslo, April 19: the model's pick was KFUM Oslo to win (41%) and it missed.
- Start 1–1 Molde, April 19: the model's pick was Molde to win (46%) and it missed.
Matchday 5 FAQ
When is Eliteserien Matchday 5 played?
From April 18 to April 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 5?
Bodo/Glimt - Aalesund: Bodo/Glimt to win at 74% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.















