Liga 3 · 2026/27
Liga 3 Matchday 11 predictions
10 fixtures from December 4 to December 6. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, December 6 · 15:00
Every fixture this round
Friday, December 4
1X2
Saturday, December 5
1X2
Liga 3 Matchday 11 runs from December 4 to December 6 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is CF Os Belenenses - Louletano: CF Os Belenenses to win at 79%. The tightest match is Oliveirense - União Santarém, where no outcome clears 44%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- AD Marco 09 vs Varzim, December 4: the model's pick is AD Marco 09 to win (63%).
- Fafe vs São João Ver, December 5: the model's pick is Fafe to win (59%).
- Trofense vs Vianense, December 5: the model's pick is Vianense to win (49%).
- Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Caldas, December 5: the model's pick is Caldas to win (47%).
- Paredes vs Pacos Ferreira, December 5: the model's pick is Paredes to win (78%).
- Mafra vs Atlético CP, December 6: the model's pick is Atlético CP to win (46%).
- Leça vs Guimaraes B, December 6: the model's pick is Leça to win (59%).
- CF Os Belenenses vs Louletano, December 6: the model's pick is CF Os Belenenses to win (79%).
- Oliveirense vs União Santarém, December 6: the model's pick is Oliveirense to win (44%).
- SC Covilha vs Vitória de Sernache, December 6: the model's pick is SC Covilha to win (45%).
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is Liga 3 Matchday 11 played?
From December 4 to December 6. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
CF Os Belenenses - Louletano: CF Os Belenenses to win at 79% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.