1. Lig · 2026/27
1. Lig Matchday 11 predictions
10 fixtures from October 17 to October 19. 1X2 probabilities, correct score and implied odds, recalculated as odds and line-ups move.
Kick-off times in UTC
Match of the round
Sunday, October 18 · 13:00
Every fixture this round
Saturday, October 17
1X2Sunday, October 18
1X21. Lig Matchday 11 runs from October 17 to October 19 with 10 fixtures. For each one the Betora model blends recent form, Elo rating, expected goals, absences and market odds into a 1X2 probability and a most likely correct score.
The safest pick of the round is Iğdır FK - Boluspor: Iğdır FK to win at 81%. The tightest match is Esenler Erokspor - Mardin 1969, where no outcome clears 37%, so treat it with care in an accumulator.
Match by match
- Sivasspor 1–1 Sarıyer, October 17: the model's pick was Sivasspor to win (41%) and it missed.
- Bodrum FK 2–1 Bandırmaspor, October 17: the model's pick was Bodrum FK to win (41%) and it came in.
- Iğdır FK 1–0 Boluspor, October 18: the model's pick was Iğdır FK to win (81%) and it came in.
- Kayserispor 2–2 Batman Petrolspor, October 18: the model's pick was Kayserispor to win (52%) and it missed.
- Vanspor FK 0–2 Ümraniyespor, October 18: the model's pick was Vanspor FK to win (40%) and it missed.
- İstanbulspor 0–2 Antalyaspor, October 18: the model's pick was Antalyaspor to win (47%) and it came in.
- Fatih Karagümrük 1–2 Keçiörengücü, October 19: the model's pick was Fatih Karagümrük to win (39%) and it missed.
- Manisa F.K. 3–4 Muğlaspor, October 19: the model's pick was Manisa F.K. to win (40%) and it missed.
- Bursaspor 2–0 Pendikspor, October 19: the model's pick was Bursaspor to win (64%) and it came in.
- Esenler Erokspor 4–2 Mardin 1969, October 19: the model's pick was Esenler Erokspor to win (37%) and it came in.
Matchday 11 FAQ
When is 1. Lig Matchday 11 played?
From October 17 to October 19. Kick-off times on this page are shown in UTC.
What is the safest pick of Matchday 11?
Iğdır FK - Boluspor: Iğdır FK to win at 81% probability according to the Betora model. No prediction is guaranteed: use the probabilities to compare odds.
How are these predictions calculated?
Every match is rated by a model that combines Elo rating, expected goals (xG), form over the last 5 games, injuries and suspensions, and bookmaker odds. The output is a probability for each outcome and the most likely correct score.
Do the predictions change before kick-off?
Yes. Probabilities are recalculated until kick-off whenever odds move or the official line-ups are announced.



















