Who Will Win 1. Lig?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the 1. Lig 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Kayserispor wins 1. Lig in 45.1% of 2,000 season simulations.
Bursaspor — 38.5% title chance.
Boluspor goes down in 100% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kayserispor | 12 | 27 | 45.1% | 98.4% | <0.1% | 80 |
| 2 |  Bursaspor | 11 | 25 | 38.5% | 98.2% | <0.1% | 79 |
| 3 |  Iğdır FK | 12 | 26 | 14.4% | 92.7% | <0.1% | 75 |
| 4 |  Batman Petrolspor | 12 | 23 | 1.3% | 51.5% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 5 |  Keçiörengücü | 11 | 20 | 0.7% | 43.5% | <0.1% | 67 |
| 6 |  Mardin 1969 | 11 | 18 | 0.2% | 9.8% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 7 |  Muğlaspor | 12 | 18 | <0.1% | 2.8% | <0.1% | 57 |
| 8 |  Antalyaspor | 12 | 18 | <0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 56 |
| 9 |  Bodrum FK | 12 | 17 | <0.1% | 1.2% | <0.1% | 55 |
| 10 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 52 |
| 11 |  Sarıyer | 12 | 16 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 51 |
| 12 |  Bandırmaspor | 12 | 14 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.5% | 50 |
| 13 |  Ümraniyespor | 11 | 13 | <0.1% | 0.2% | 1% | 49 |
| 14 |  Sivasspor | 12 | 13 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 4.4% | 45 |
| 15 |  Esenler Erokspor | 12 | 12 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 10.5% | 43 |
| 16 |  Manisa F.K. | 11 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 16.4% | 41 |
| 17 |  Pendikspor | 12 | 11 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 26% | 39 |
| 18 |  Vanspor FK | 12 | 10 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 41.4% | 37 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 12 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.1% | 24 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 11 | 1 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 100% | 17 |
Next 1. Lig fixtures — with AI predictions
- Mardin 1969 – Manisa F.K.Mon, Oct 26AI prediction →
- Esenler Erokspor – KeçiörengücüFri, Oct 30AI prediction →
- Vanspor FK – SarıyerSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Bursaspor – BandırmasporSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Fatih Karagümrük – PendiksporSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Manisa F.K. – Batman PetrolsporSat, Oct 31AI prediction →
- Sivasspor – BolusporSun, Nov 1AI prediction →
- İstanbulspor – Mardin 1969Sun, Nov 1AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining 1. Lig fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win 1. Lig in 2026/27?
Kayserispor wins 1. Lig in 45.1% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.