Who Will Win 1. Lig?
2,000 season simulations · 380 remaining fixtures
We simulate the rest of the 1. Lig 2026/27 season thousands of times using our AI's match probabilities. Here's every team's chance of the title, a top-4 finish and a bottom-3 finish — updated after every round.
The headline calls
Batman Petrolspor wins 1. Lig in 56.4% of 2,000 season simulations.
Bursaspor — 33.3% title chance.
Boluspor goes down in 99.7% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pl | Pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Proj. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Batman Petrolspor | 6 | 16 | 56.4% | 98.5% | <0.1% | 85 |
| 2 |  Bursaspor | 6 | 15 | 33.3% | 96.7% | <0.1% | 83 |
| 3 |  Kayserispor | 6 | 13 | 6.5% | 76.4% | <0.1% | 75 |
| 4 |  Mardin 1969 | 6 | 12 | 2% | 49% | <0.1% | 71 |
| 5 |  Iğdır FK | 6 | 12 | 1.4% | 38.2% | <0.1% | 70 |
| 6 |  Keçiörengücü | 6 | 11 | 0.5% | 28.2% | <0.1% | 68 |
| 7 |  Sarıyer | 6 | 10 | 0.1% | 4.4% | <0.1% | 60 |
| 8 |  Bandırmaspor | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 6.9% | <0.1% | 61 |
| 9 |  Muğlaspor | 6 | 9 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 57 |
| 10 |  Manisa F.K. | 6 | 8 | <0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 53 |
| 11 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 6 | 8 | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 52 |
| 12 |  Pendikspor | 6 | 8 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.4% | 50 |
| 13 |  Sivasspor | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.8% | 44 |
| 14 |  Antalyaspor | 6 | 6 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 3.4% | 43 |
| 15 |  Vanspor FK | 6 | 5 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 15.4% | 38 |
| 16 |  Bodrum FK | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 23% | 36 |
| 17 |  Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 4 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 25.5% | 36 |
| 18 |  Ümraniyespor | 6 | 3 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 44.1% | 33 |
| 19 |  İstanbulspor | 6 | 2 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 85.4% | 26 |
| 20 |  Boluspor | 6 | 0 | <0.1% | <0.1% | 99.7% | 17 |
Next 1. Lig fixtures — with AI predictions
- Sarıyer – BandırmasporFri, Sep 11AI prediction →
- Boluspor – PendiksporSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Vanspor FK – KeçiörengücüSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Ümraniyespor – AntalyasporSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Bodrum FK – Batman PetrolsporSat, Sep 12AI prediction →
- Sivasspor – MuğlasporSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Iğdır FK – Mardin 1969Sun, Sep 13AI prediction →
- Bursaspor – Esenler EroksporSun, Sep 13AI prediction →
Methodology
Every remaining 1. Lig fixture is simulated 2,000 times with Betora's AI strength model, built from the live table, form and Elo ratings. The probabilities re-run automatically after every round.
Journalists and bloggers: you are welcome to cite or republish these numbers with a link to this page as the source.
Title race FAQ
Who will win 1. Lig in 2026/27?
Batman Petrolspor wins 1. Lig in 56.4% of our AI's season simulations — the current favourite. The probability table above shows every team's chances, updated after every round.
How are the title probabilities calculated?
We simulate every remaining fixture thousands of times using strength ratings built from the live table and form, then count how often each team finishes first, top 4 or bottom 3.
How often are the probabilities updated?
After every round — results change the table, the table changes the ratings, and the simulation re-runs automatically.