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  1. Home
  2. First League
  3. Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Result • First League·Lokomotiv Sofia·CSKA Sofia

First League
First League
Sep 16, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
15.80
X4.00
21.44
Stadium
Stadion Lokomotiv
high Confidence
WINNER
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

Away
Odds
15.80
X4.00
21.44
Stadium
Stadion Lokomotiv
Win Probabilities
13%
Lokomotiv Sofia
18%
Draw
69%
CSKA Sofia
Home5.8013%
Draw4.0018%
Away1.4469%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

CSKA Sofia are favoured at 69%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this First League fixture between Lokomotiv Sofia and CSKA Sofia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lokomotiv Sofia a 13% win probability, a 18% chance of a draw, and CSKA Sofia a 69% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 63%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 63%

Match Events

  1. 38'
    Goal: James Eto'oCSKA Sofia
    Goal: James Eto'o
  2. 46'
    Substitution: Stefano SensiCSKA Sofia · Out: Ioannis Pittas
    Substitution: Stefano SensiOut: Ioannis Pittas
  3. Substitution: Mark Emilio PapazovOut: caruzo caue
    59'
    Substitution: Mark Emilio PapazovLokomotiv Sofia · Out: caruzo caue
  4. Substitution: Adil TaouiOut: Mohamed Medfai
    59'
    Substitution: Adil TaouiLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Mohamed Medfai
  5. 64'
    Substitution: Joel·ZwartsCSKA Sofia · Out: Santiago Godoy
    Substitution: Joel·ZwartsOut: Santiago Godoy
  6. Yellow Card: Mark Emilio Papazov
    67'
    Yellow Card: Mark Emilio PapazovLokomotiv Sofia
  7. 72'
    Substitution: mohamed brahimiCSKA Sofia · Out: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira
    Substitution: mohamed brahimiOut: Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira
  8. 72'
    Substitution: David Samuel Custódio LimaCSKA Sofia · Out: Barry Cotter
    Substitution: David Samuel Custódio LimaOut: Barry Cotter
  9. Substitution: Krasimir MiloshevOut: Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
    74'
    Substitution: Krasimir MiloshevLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
  10. Substitution: Georgi MinchevOut: Ante Aralica
    74'
    Substitution: Georgi MinchevLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Ante Aralica
  11. Yellow Card: Georgi Minchev
    77'
    Yellow Card: Georgi MinchevLokomotiv Sofia
  12. 82'
    Substitution: Jean-Philippe GbaminCSKA Sofia · Out: Bruno Jordão
    Substitution: Jean-Philippe GbaminOut: Bruno Jordão
  13. 84'
    Goal: Joel·ZwartsCSKA Sofia
    Goal: Joel·Zwarts
  14. Substitution: kristian chachevOut: Dimitar Kostadinov
    90'
    Substitution: kristian chachevLokomotiv Sofia · Out: Dimitar Kostadinov
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Lokomotiv SofiaInjuries · CSKA SofiaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Lokomotiv Sofia

DL
  • DSep 11, 26A · Cherno More Varna2-2
  • LSep 6, 26H · Ludogorets1-2

CSKA Sofia

WDLLL
  • WSep 12, 26H · Arda Kardzhali4-1
  • DSep 5, 26A · Spartak Varna1-1
  • LAug 27, 26H · OFI0-2
  • LAug 20, 26A · OFI3-0
  • LAug 13, 26H · Maccabi Tel Aviv1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia9+1725DWWWW
2CSKA Sofia9+1723WWDWW
3Ludogorets9+923WWDDW
12Cherno More Varna9-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv Sofia9-84LDLDL
14Dunav Ruse9-94LLDLW

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia — Match Analysis

CSKA Sofia are favoured at 69%; our projected score is 1-2.

Lokomotiv Sofia host CSKA Sofia in the First League on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Our model makes CSKA Sofia the favourite at 69%, with the draw at 18% and Lokomotiv Sofia at 13%.

Form and league position

Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13th of 14 with 4 points from 8 games (10 scored, 16 conceded). CSKA Sofia sit 3rd of 14 with 20 points from 8 games (21 scored, 6 conceded), recent form L-L-L-D-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.9, about 3.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 63%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Lokomotiv Sofia at 5.62, the draw at 4.25 and CSKA Sofia at 1.50; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

CSKA Sofia to win (69%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Lokomotiv Sofia: 13% · Draw: 18% · CSKA Sofia: 69%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (9.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 62% · Under 2.5: 38% · BTTS: 63%

Form (latest first): Lokomotiv Sofia: DL · CSKA Sofia: WDLLL

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First League

First League

Bulgaria13 · Upcoming Fixtures
First LeagueBulgaria
Dunav Ruse
Sep 1911:00
Botev Vratsa
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Sep 1913:30
Botev Plovdiv
14.1724%
X4.0025%
21.9651%
First LeagueBulgaria
Arda Kardzhali
Sep 1916:00
Cherno More Varna
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
First LeagueBulgaria
Spartak Varna
Sep 2012:15
Lokomotiv Sofia
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Sep 2014:45
CSKA Sofia
18.3312%
X4.7621%
21.4967%
First LeagueBulgaria
Levski Sofia
Sep 2017:30
Ludogorets
11.9651%
X3.8526%
24.3523%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Vratsa
Oct 1012:00
Spartak Varna
12.5639%
X3.8526%
22.8635%
First LeagueBulgaria
Lokomotiv Sofia
Oct 1014:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
First LeagueBulgaria
Botev Plovdiv
Oct 1017:00
Slavia Sofia
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
First LeagueBulgaria
Septemvri Sofia
Oct 1112:00
Dunav Ruse
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
First LeagueBulgaria
Cherno More Varna
Oct 1114:30
Levski Sofia
120.005%
X8.3312%
21.2083%
First LeagueBulgaria
CSKA 1948
Oct 1117:00
CSKA Sofia
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
First LeagueBulgaria
Ludogorets
Oct 1217:00
Arda Kardzhali
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

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