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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio

Result • Série A·Atletico Paranaense·Gremio

Série A
Série A
May 2, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.70
25.25
Stadium
Arena da Baixada
high Confidence
DRAW
Gremio

Gremio

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.70
25.25
Stadium
Arena da Baixada
Win Probabilities
51%
Atletico Paranaense
28%
Draw
21%
Gremio
Home1.7051%
Draw3.7028%
Away5.2521%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Atletico Paranaense's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Gremio, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Atletico Paranaense and Gremio using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Atletico Paranaense a 51% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Gremio a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 45%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Atletico Paranaense attack vs Gremio defense: The home team's strong attack will test Gremio's excellent defensive record.
2Midfield control: Atletico Paranaense's midfield must dominate to supply their forwards against Gremio's compact shape.
3Set pieces: Both teams have height in the box; set pieces could be decisive.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Atletico Paranaense

  • Strong attack (75% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Inconsistent form (WLWLL)
  • Several doubtful players

Gremio

  • Excellent defense (4 clean sheets in last 5)
  • Strong H2H record (60% strength)
  • Poor attack (25% rating)
  • Low away form

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
51%
API-Football
35%
43%
Atletico Paranaense433226

Moderate agreement on home win (43%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Atletico Paranaense is predicted to win based on strong odds and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Atletico Paranaense has a mixed form (WLWLL) but averages 1.2 goals scored per game, while Gremio has 4 clean sheets in last 5 but also failed to score twice. Gremio's attack is weak (25% attack rating).

Key Factors: Atletico Paranaense's superior attack (75% vs 25%) and home advantage (0.55 rating) are decisive. Gremio's defensive strength (64% defense) is offset by their poor away form and lower league position.

Conclusion: Atletico Paranaense's attacking edge and home support should overcome Gremio's defense, leading to a home win.

Statistical ContextAtletico Paranaense

Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Atletico ParanaenseGremio
55%Strength44%
75%Attacking Potential25%
36%Defensive Potential64%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
40%H2H Strength60%
44%Goals H2H56%
55%Wins the Game44%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Atletico ParanaenseInjuries · Gremio</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Atletico Paranaense

LDWDW
  • LSep 6, 26A · Cruzeiro3-1
  • DAug 30, 26H · Fluminense3-3
  • WAug 24, 26A · Botafogo2-3
  • DAug 15, 26H · RB Bragantino1-1
  • WAug 9, 26A · Santos0-2

Gremio

LWWDL
  • LSep 7, 26A · Vitoria1-0
  • WSep 3, 26H · Internacional3-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Chapecoense-sc3-1
  • DAug 27, 26A · Internacional0-0
  • LAug 23, 26A · RB Bragantino1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Palmeiras26+2453DDWLD
3Atletico Paranaense26+1045LDWDW
4Fluminense26+845WDWWD
14Botafogo25-331DLLLD
15Gremio25-628LWLLW
16Mirassol26-1128WLDDL

Head to Head

5
Atletico Paranaense
0
Draws
5
Gremio
  • Aug 4, 24Atletico Paranaense – Gremio0-2
  • Apr 17, 24Gremio – Atletico Paranaense2-0
  • Oct 18, 23Gremio – Atletico Paranaense1-2
  • May 27, 23Atletico Paranaense – Gremio1-2
  • Sep 26, 21Atletico Paranaense – Gremio4-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Atletico ParanaenseGremio
Played2524
Goals Scored3727
Goals Conceded2532
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.01.3
Clean Sheets85

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Atletico Paranaense's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Gremio, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Atletico Paranaense is predicted to win based on strong odds and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Atletico Paranaense has a mixed form (WLWLL) but averages 1.2 goals scored per game, while Gremio has 4 clean sheets in last 5 but also failed to score twice. Gremio's attack is weak (25% attack rating).

Key Factors: Atletico Paranaense's superior attack (75% vs 25%) and home advantage (0.55 rating) are decisive. Gremio's defensive strength (64% defense) is offset by their poor away form and lower league position.

Conclusion: Atletico Paranaense's attacking edge and home support should overcome Gremio's defense, leading to a home win.

Win Probabilities: Atletico Paranaense: 51% · Draw: 28% · Gremio: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 48% · Under 2.5: 52% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Atletico Paranaense wins: 5 · Draws: 0 · Gremio wins: 5

Form (latest first): Atletico Paranaense: LDWDW · Gremio: LWWDL

  • Atletico Paranaense attack vs Gremio defense: The home team's strong attack will test Gremio's excellent defensive record.
  • Midfield control: Atletico Paranaense's midfield must dominate to supply their forwards against Gremio's compact shape.
  • Set pieces: Both teams have height in the box; set pieces could be decisive.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Coritiba
Sep 1200:00
Atletico Paranaense
13.0333%
X3.2331%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 1219:00
Vasco DA Gama
12.1746%
X3.1332%
24.5522%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1219:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Série ABrazil
Chapecoense-sc
Sep 1220:00
Internacional
13.8526%
X2.9434%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Palmeiras
Sep 1221:30
Sao Paulo
11.6760%
X3.8526%
27.1414%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1223:30
RB Bragantino
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Série ABrazil
Santos
Sep 1300:00
Cruzeiro
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1319:00
Vitoria
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 1320:30
Corinthians
11.5664%
X3.8526%
210.0010%
Série ABrazil
Bahia
Sep 1423:00
Remo
11.5664%
X4.7621%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%

Betting Tips

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