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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Cruzeiro vs Botafogo

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo

Result • Série A·Cruzeiro·Botafogo

Série A
Série A
Jul 26, 2026
19:00
high Confidence
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.73
X3.70
24.50
Stadium
Governador Magalhães Pinto
high Confidence
WINNER
Botafogo

Botafogo

Away
Odds
11.73
X3.70
24.50
Stadium
Governador Magalhães Pinto
Win Probabilities
52%
Cruzeiro
30%
Draw
18%
Botafogo
Home1.7352%
Draw3.7030%
Away4.5018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Cruzeiro are strong favourites to win, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in last 5 meetings) and home advantage. The main risk is their multiple suspensions, which could disrupt team cohesion.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Cruzeiro and Botafogo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cruzeiro a 52% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Botafogo a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. 26'
    Yellow Card: WarlesonBotafogo
    Yellow Card: Warleson
  2. 35'
    Yellow Card: HuguinhoBotafogo
    Yellow Card: Huguinho
  3. Substitution: WandersonOut: L. Sinisterra
    39'
    Substitution: WandersonCruzeiro · Out: L. Sinisterra
  4. 41'
    Goal: G. JustinoBotafogo · Assist: Alex Telles
    Goal: G. JustinoAssist: Alex Telles
  5. Yellow Card: Fagner
    45+3'
    Yellow Card: FagnerCruzeiro
  6. 45+4'
    Yellow Card: N. FerraresiBotafogo
    Yellow Card: N. Ferraresi
  7. Yellow Card: Jonathan Jesus
    56'
    Yellow Card: Jonathan JesusCruzeiro
  8. Substitution: Joao MarceloOut: Fabricio Bruno
    60'
    Substitution: Joao MarceloCruzeiro · Out: Fabricio Bruno
  9. Substitution: K. ArroyoOut: Marquinhos
    60'
    Substitution: K. ArroyoCruzeiro · Out: Marquinhos
  10. 69'
    Substitution: Kauan ToledoBotafogo · Out: Danilo Santos
    Substitution: Kauan ToledoOut: Danilo Santos
  11. Substitution: William FurtadoOut: Fagner
    77'
    Substitution: William FurtadoCruzeiro · Out: Fagner
  12. Substitution: Kaua MoraesOut: G. Rojas
    77'
    Substitution: Kaua MoraesCruzeiro · Out: G. Rojas
  13. 82'
    Substitution: S. RodriguezBotafogo · Out: A. Montoro
    Substitution: S. RodriguezOut: A. Montoro
  14. 82'
    Substitution: K. BarriaBotafogo · Out: Arthur Cabral
    Substitution: K. BarriaOut: Arthur Cabral
  15. 88'
    Yellow Card: Alex TellesBotafogo
    Yellow Card: Alex Telles
  16. 90'
    Substitution: MarcalBotafogo · Out: Alex Telles
    Substitution: MarcalOut: Alex Telles
  17. 90'
    Substitution: L. M. Villalba JaumeBotafogo · Out: Matheus Martins
    Substitution: L. M. Villalba JaumeOut: Matheus Martins
  18. 90+4'
    Yellow Card: K. BarriaBotafogo
    Yellow Card: K. Barria
  19. Yellow Card: K. Arroyo
    90+7'
    Yellow Card: K. ArroyoCruzeiro
  20. Yellow Card: Kaio Jorge
    90+8'
    Yellow Card: Kaio JorgeCruzeiro
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Christian vs Botafogo defence: Cruzeiro's top scorer will test a depleted Botafogo backline.
2Matheus Pereira vs Botafogo midfield: The creative midfielder will look to unlock the away defence.
3Arthur Cabral vs Cruzeiro defence: Botafogo's joint-top scorer must overcome a well-organized home defence.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cruzeiro

  • Strong home record
  • Dominant head-to-head history
  • Several key players suspended
  • Defensive lapses at times

Botafogo

  • Decent away record
  • Capable of scoring on the counter
  • Inconsistent form
  • Key suspensions affecting attack and defense

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Cruzeiro493814

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Cruzeiro are the clear favourites to win this Série A clash against Botafogo, backed by strong home form and a dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Cruzeiro come into this match with a solid recent run of WDWDW, having won their last match. They have scored an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five, while conceding 1.0. Botafogo's form is more inconsistent (DWLDW), with a lower scoring average of 1.4 goals per game and just one clean sheet in their last five.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Cruzeiro, with 4 wins and 5 draws in the last 9 meetings, and Botafogo winning only once. Additionally, Cruzeiro have a strong home record (4W-4D-2L) and will be playing in familiar conditions. Botafogo also have several key players suspended, including top scorer Danilo Santos, which weakens their attacking threat.

Conclusion: With home advantage, superior recent form, and a commanding H2H record, Cruzeiro are well-positioned to secure three points. Botafogo's absences and inconsistent form make an away win unlikely.

Statistical ContextCruzeiro

Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CruzeiroBotafogo
56%Strength43%
53%Attacking Potential47%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
56%Goals H2H44%
56%Wins the Game43%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CruzeiroInjuries · Botafogo

Statistical Context

Cruzeiro

LWLLD
  • LSep 13, 26A · Santos2-1
  • WSep 6, 26H · Atletico Paranaense3-1
  • LSep 2, 26A · Atletico-MG2-1
  • LAug 30, 26A · Vasco DA Gama3-1
  • DAug 26, 26H · Atletico-MG1-1

Botafogo

DDLLW
  • DSep 12, 26H · RB Bragantino1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Palmeiras0-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Flamengo3-0
  • LAug 24, 26H · Atletico Paranaense2-3
  • WAug 21, 26H · Cienciano1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Fluminense27+645LWDWW
6Cruzeiro27042LWLWW
7Atletico-MG26+439WLWDW
13Corinthians27-132LLLLL
14Botafogo26-332DDLLL
15Mirassol27-1129DWLDD

Head to Head

4
Cruzeiro
5
Draws
1
Botafogo
  • Jan 30, 26Botafogo – Cruzeiro4-0
  • Dec 4, 25Cruzeiro – Botafogo2-2
  • Aug 3, 25Botafogo – Cruzeiro0-2
  • Jul 28, 24Botafogo – Cruzeiro0-3
  • Apr 14, 24Cruzeiro – Botafogo3-2

Season Statistics — 2026

CruzeiroBotafogo
Played2625
Goals Scored3837
Goals Conceded3740
Avg Scored1.51.5
Avg Conceded1.41.6
Clean Sheets54

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo — Match Analysis

Cruzeiro are strong favourites to win, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (4 wins in last 5 meetings) and home advantage. The main risk is their multiple suspensions, which could disrupt team cohesion.

Cruzeiro are the clear favourites to win this Série A clash against Botafogo, backed by strong home form and a dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Cruzeiro come into this match with a solid recent run of WDWDW, having won their last match. They have scored an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five, while conceding 1.0. Botafogo's form is more inconsistent (DWLDW), with a lower scoring average of 1.4 goals per game and just one clean sheet in their last five.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Cruzeiro, with 4 wins and 5 draws in the last 9 meetings, and Botafogo winning only once. Additionally, Cruzeiro have a strong home record (4W-4D-2L) and will be playing in familiar conditions. Botafogo also have several key players suspended, including top scorer Danilo Santos, which weakens their attacking threat.

Conclusion: With home advantage, superior recent form, and a commanding H2H record, Cruzeiro are well-positioned to secure three points. Botafogo's absences and inconsistent form make an away win unlikely.

Win Probabilities: Cruzeiro: 52% · Draw: 30% · Botafogo: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Cruzeiro wins: 4 · Draws: 5 · Botafogo wins: 1

Form (latest first): Cruzeiro: LWLLD · Botafogo: DDLLW

  • Christian vs Botafogo defence: Cruzeiro's top scorer will test a depleted Botafogo backline.
  • Matheus Pereira vs Botafogo midfield: The creative midfielder will look to unlock the away defence.
  • Arthur Cabral vs Cruzeiro defence: Botafogo's joint-top scorer must overcome a well-organized home defence.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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