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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Série A
  3. Flamengo vs Sao Paulo

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo

Result • Série A·Flamengo·Sao Paulo

Série A
Série A
Jul 26, 2026
21:30
high Confidence
DRAW
Flamengo

Flamengo

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.47
X4.20
26.75
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
high Confidence
DRAW
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Away
Odds
11.47
X4.20
26.75
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
Win Probabilities
59%
Flamengo
28%
Draw
13%
Sao Paulo
Home1.4759%
Draw4.2028%
Away6.7513%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Flamengo are strong favourites to win, given their superior form, home advantage, and Sao Paulo's poor run of five games without a win. The main risk is Flamengo's multiple suspensions, which could disrupt their rhythm.

Our AI model analyzes this Série A fixture between Flamengo and Sao Paulo using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Flamengo a 59% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Sao Paulo a 13% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Leo PereiraAssist: Jorginho
    57'
    Goal: Leo PereiraFlamengo · Assist: Jorginho
  2. Substitution: G. de ArrascaetaOut: Lorran
    58'
    Substitution: G. de ArrascaetaFlamengo · Out: Lorran
  3. Yellow Card: Alex Sandro
    63'
    Yellow Card: Alex SandroFlamengo
  4. 66'
    Substitution: FerreiraSao Paulo · Out: Artur
    Substitution: FerreiraOut: Artur
  5. 66'
    Substitution: Victor SaSao Paulo · Out: Danielzinho
    Substitution: Victor SaOut: Danielzinho
  6. 69'
    Yellow Card: WendellSao Paulo
    Yellow Card: Wendell
  7. 70'
    Goal: Jonathan CalleriSao Paulo · Assist: Luis Osorio
    Goal: Jonathan CalleriAssist: Luis Osorio
  8. Substitution: EvertonOut: Bruno Henrique
    79'
    Substitution: EvertonFlamengo · Out: Bruno Henrique
  9. Substitution: Evertton AraujoOut: E. Pulgar
    87'
    Substitution: Evertton AraujoFlamengo · Out: E. Pulgar
  10. Substitution: Wallace YanOut: Pedro
    87'
    Substitution: Wallace YanFlamengo · Out: Pedro
  11. 88'
    Yellow Card: Jonathan CalleriSao Paulo
    Yellow Card: Jonathan Calleri
  12. 90'
    Substitution: Andre SilvaSao Paulo · Out: Luciano
    Substitution: Andre SilvaOut: Luciano
  13. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideSamuel Lino
    90+1'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideFlamengo · Samuel Lino
  14. 90+5'
    Substitution: SabinoSao Paulo · Out: Wendell
    Substitution: SabinoOut: Wendell
  15. 90+11'
    Yellow Card: Marcos AntonioSao Paulo
    Yellow Card: Marcos Antonio
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Pedro vs Sao Paulo defense: Flamengo's top scorer Pedro will test a Sao Paulo backline that has been relatively solid but faces a tough test at the Maracanã.
2Samuel Lino vs Wendell (suspended): Lino's creativity on the flank could be even more effective against a Sao Paulo side missing their first-choice left-back.
3G. de Arrascaeta vs Luciano: The battle between the creative midfielders could decide the flow of the game, with Arrascaeta's vision key for Flamengo.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Flamengo

  • Strong home form
  • High-scoring attack (2.6 goals per game)
  • Several suspensions in midfield and defense
  • Inconsistent recent results (WLDWD)

Sao Paulo

  • Decent defensive record (1.0 conceded per game)
  • Some individual quality in attack
  • Poor recent form (LDLLD)
  • Key suspensions including top scorer Calleri

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
59%
API-Football
45%
52%
Flamengo513712

Moderate agreement on home win (52%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Flamengo are clear favourites to win this Série A clash against Sao Paulo, backed by strong form, home advantage, and a significant gap in the standings.

Form Analysis: Flamengo are unbeaten in five matches (WLDWD) and sit 2nd in the table with 34 points, while Sao Paulo are winless in five (LDLLD) and languish in 8th with 25 points. Flamengo average 2.6 goals per game at home, whereas Sao Paulo have scored just 1.0 per game overall in recent outings.

Key Factors: Flamengo's home record is formidable (5W-2D-1L) and they have a superior attack (54% vs 46%) and defense (60% vs 40%) per the statistical comparison. Sao Paulo are also missing key players through suspension, including top scorer Calleri, which weakens their already struggling attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Flamengo, with Sao Paulo's poor form and absentees making an upset highly unlikely.

Statistical ContextFlamengo

Double chance : Flamengo or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FlamengoSao Paulo
58%Strength41%
54%Attacking Potential46%
60%Defensive Potential40%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
38%H2H Strength62%
50%Goals H2H50%
58%Wins the Game41%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FlamengoInjuries · Sao Paulo

Statistical Context

Flamengo

WWWWW
  • WSep 13, 26H · Corinthians2-1
  • WSep 11, 26A · Independiente del Valle0-2
  • WSep 6, 26A · Remo0-1
  • WSep 2, 26H · Mirassol2-0
  • WAug 30, 26H · Botafogo3-0

Sao Paulo

LLWWL
  • LSep 12, 26A · Palmeiras2-0
  • LSep 9, 26A · Boca Juniors1-0
  • WSep 5, 26H · Atletico-MG2-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · RB Bragantino2-1
  • LAug 23, 26A · Chapecoense-sc1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Flamengo27+3157WWWWL
2Palmeiras27+2656WDDWL
10Santos26035WWWDW
11Sao Paulo26+133LWWLD
12Vitoria27-1233DWLLW

Head to Head

2
Flamengo
4
Draws
4
Sao Paulo
  • Jan 29, 26Sao Paulo – Flamengo2-1
  • Nov 6, 25Sao Paulo – Flamengo2-2
  • Jul 12, 25Flamengo – Sao Paulo2-0
  • Jan 19, 25Sao Paulo – Flamengo0-0
  • Aug 4, 24Sao Paulo – Flamengo1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

FlamengoSao Paulo
Played2625
Goals Scored5131
Goals Conceded2128
Avg Scored2.01.2
Avg Conceded0.81.1
Clean Sheets125

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

FlamengoSao Paulo
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—2/10

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo — Match Analysis

Flamengo are strong favourites to win, given their superior form, home advantage, and Sao Paulo's poor run of five games without a win. The main risk is Flamengo's multiple suspensions, which could disrupt their rhythm.

Flamengo are clear favourites to win this Série A clash against Sao Paulo, backed by strong form, home advantage, and a significant gap in the standings.

Form Analysis: Flamengo are unbeaten in five matches (WLDWD) and sit 2nd in the table with 34 points, while Sao Paulo are winless in five (LDLLD) and languish in 8th with 25 points. Flamengo average 2.6 goals per game at home, whereas Sao Paulo have scored just 1.0 per game overall in recent outings.

Key Factors: Flamengo's home record is formidable (5W-2D-1L) and they have a superior attack (54% vs 46%) and defense (60% vs 40%) per the statistical comparison. Sao Paulo are also missing key players through suspension, including top scorer Calleri, which weakens their already struggling attack.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win for Flamengo, with Sao Paulo's poor form and absentees making an upset highly unlikely.

Win Probabilities: Flamengo: 59% · Draw: 28% · Sao Paulo: 13%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Flamengo wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Sao Paulo wins: 4

Form (latest first): Flamengo: WWWWW · Sao Paulo: LLWWL

  • Pedro vs Sao Paulo defense: Flamengo's top scorer Pedro will test a Sao Paulo backline that has been relatively solid but faces a tough test at the Maracanã.
  • Samuel Lino vs Wendell (suspended): Lino's creativity on the flank could be even more effective against a Sao Paulo side missing their first-choice left-back.
  • G. de Arrascaeta vs Luciano: The battle between the creative midfielders could decide the flow of the game, with Arrascaeta's vision key for Flamengo.

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Série A

Série A

Brazil15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Série ABrazil
Botafogo
Sep 1622:30
Gremio
11.8554%
X3.5728%
25.5618%
Série ABrazil
Atletico-MG
Sep 1919:00
Chapecoense-sc
11.5664%
X4.0025%
29.0911%
Série ABrazil
Mirassol
Sep 1920:00
Botafogo
12.4441%
X2.9434%
24.0025%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Sep 1921:30
Santos
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Vasco DA Gama
Sep 1923:30
Coritiba
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Sao Paulo
Sep 2000:00
Internacional
12.0050%
X3.2331%
25.2619%
Série ABrazil
Gremio
Sep 2014:00
Palmeiras
14.5522%
X3.3330%
22.0848%
Série ABrazil
Corinthians
Sep 2019:00
Fluminense
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Sep 2019:00
Cruzeiro
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Série ABrazil
Flamengo
Sep 2021:30
RB Bragantino
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Série ABrazil
Atletico Paranaense
Sep 2022:30
Bahia
12.2744%
X3.4529%
23.7027%
Série ABrazil
Internacional
Oct 722:30
Corinthians
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Série ABrazil
RB Bragantino
Oct 722:30
Mirassol
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
Série ABrazil
Remo
Oct 722:30
Gremio
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Série ABrazil
Vitoria
Oct 723:00
Chapecoense-sc
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%

Betting Tips

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