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Matches
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Pricing
  1. Home
  2. Championship
  3. Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall vs Norwich

Result • Championship·Millwall·Norwich

Championship
Championship
Aug 22, 2026
11:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Millwall

Millwall

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.38
X3.25
22.90
Stadium
The Den
high Confidence
Norwich

Norwich

Away
Odds
12.38
X3.25
22.90
Stadium
The Den
Win Probabilities
40%
Millwall
30%
Draw
30%
Norwich
Home2.3840%
Draw3.2530%
Away2.9030%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Millwall are clear favourites, backed by a perfect start and a strong home record, while Norwich have lost their opener and are missing key players. The main risk is Norwich's attacking potential, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Championship fixture between Millwall and Norwich using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Millwall a 40% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Norwich a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: T. Arconte
    18'
    Goal: T. ArconteMillwall
  2. 25'
    Yellow Card: J. CordobaNorwich
    Yellow Card: J. Cordoba
  3. 37'
    Yellow Card: H. DarlingNorwich
    Yellow Card: H. Darling
  4. Yellow Card: J. Metcalfe
    40'
    Yellow Card: J. MetcalfeMillwall
  5. Goal: T. ArconteAssist: J. Cooper
    58'
    Goal: T. ArconteMillwall · Assist: J. Cooper
  6. 60'
    Substitution: J. StaceyNorwich · Out: K. Fisher
    Substitution: J. StaceyOut: K. Fisher
  7. 60'
    Substitution: P. MattssonNorwich · Out: S. Field
    Substitution: P. MattssonOut: S. Field
  8. 60'
    Substitution: P. A. DialloNorwich · Out: A. Slimane
    Substitution: P. A. DialloOut: A. Slimane
  9. 64'
    Yellow Card: J. CordobaNorwich
    Yellow Card: J. Cordoba
  10. 64'
    Red Card: J. CordobaNorwich
    Red Card: J. Cordoba
  11. 65'
    Substitution: R. McConvilleNorwich · Out: O. Schwartau
    Substitution: R. McConvilleOut: O. Schwartau
  12. Substitution: Z. LovelaceOut: T. Arconte
    71'
    Substitution: Z. LovelaceMillwall · Out: T. Arconte
  13. 73'
    Substitution: A. MusabaNorwich · Out: A. Brooks
    Substitution: A. MusabaOut: A. Brooks
  14. Substitution: D. KellyOut: J. Metcalfe
    77'
    Substitution: D. KellyMillwall · Out: J. Metcalfe
  15. Substitution: L. CundleOut: K. Lisbie
    78'
    Substitution: L. CundleMillwall · Out: K. Lisbie
  16. Substitution: L. DykesOut: J. Coburn
    78'
    Substitution: L. DykesMillwall · Out: J. Coburn
  17. Goal: L. CundleAssist: C. Neghli
    84'
    Goal: L. CundleMillwall · Assist: C. Neghli
  18. Substitution: J. Osei-TutuOut: C. De Norre
    86'
    Substitution: J. Osei-TutuMillwall · Out: C. De Norre
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Josh Coburn vs Harry Darling: Millwall's striker will test Norwich's centre-back with his physical presence and movement, a key duel in determining the outcome.
2Casper De Norre vs Kenny McLean: The midfield battle will be crucial, with De Norre looking to disrupt Norwich's rhythm and McLean aiming to dictate play.
3Jake Cooper vs Mohamed Touré: Cooper's aerial dominance will be tested by Touré's pace, a matchup that could decide set-piece effectiveness.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Millwall

  • Solid defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game
  • Strong home advantage, rated at maximum
  • Several key players missing through injury
  • Limited attacking output, averaging just 1.0 goals per game

Norwich

  • Averaging 1.6 goals scored per game, showing attacking intent
  • Two clean sheets in their last five matches
  • Poor recent form, having lost their last match
  • Conceded an average of 1.0 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Millwall433820

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (43%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Millwall enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a perfect start to the season and a dominant recent record at The Den. Norwich, meanwhile, have lost their opening fixture and sit 16 places below their hosts in the early standings.

Form Analysis: Millwall have won their only league match so far, scoring twice and keeping a clean sheet, and are on a four-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Norwich, by contrast, have lost their sole league outing, conceding twice, and are on a one-game losing streak. The hosts also boast a superior defensive record, having conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per game compared to Norwich's 1.0.

Key Factors: Millwall's home advantage is rated at maximum strength, and they have won three of the last five meetings between the sides. Norwich are missing several key players through injury, including their main striker, which could blunt their attacking threat. Millwall's overall statistical comparison also favours them, with a 61.3% overall rating against Norwich's 38.7%.

Conclusion: The data points to a home victory, but the odds suggest a closer contest than the model implies. Millwall's solid form and home strength give them the edge, but Norwich's attacking potential means a draw is a realistic outcome if the visitors can tighten up defensively.

Statistical ContextMillwall

Double chance : Millwall or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MillwallNorwich
61%Strength38%
67%Attacking Potential33%
100%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
57%Goals H2H43%
61%Wins the Game38%
Head-to-head →Injuries · MillwallInjuries · Norwich

Statistical Context

Millwall

DLLWL
  • DSep 15, 26A · Middlesbrough2-2
  • LSep 12, 26A · Blackburn3-1
  • LSep 8, 26H · Newcastle0-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Bolton4-0
  • LSep 2, 26H · Wrexham0-3

Norwich

LWWLW
  • LSep 12, 26A · Middlesbrough4-3
  • WSep 9, 26H · Birmingham2-1
  • WSep 5, 26A · Sheffield Utd1-3
  • LSep 1, 26A · Stoke City1-0
  • WAug 29, 26H · Burnley4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11Bristol City6-110LWWWD
12Norwich709LWWLW
13Millwall609LWLLW
14Sheffield Utd7-19LWLWD

Head to Head

3
Millwall
2
Draws
5
Norwich
  • Apr 6, 26Millwall – Norwich1-2
  • Aug 9, 25Norwich – Millwall1-2
  • Apr 21, 25Millwall – Norwich3-1
  • Dec 26, 24Norwich – Millwall2-1
  • Dec 29, 23Millwall – Norwich1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

MillwallNorwich
Played56
Goals Scored1010
Goals Conceded89
Avg Scored2.01.7
Avg Conceded1.61.5
Clean Sheets30

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

MillwallNorwich
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored5/107/10
Clean Sheets4/100/10

Millwall vs Norwich — Match Analysis

Millwall are clear favourites, backed by a perfect start and a strong home record, while Norwich have lost their opener and are missing key players. The main risk is Norwich's attacking potential, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Millwall enter this Championship clash as the clear favourites, backed by a perfect start to the season and a dominant recent record at The Den. Norwich, meanwhile, have lost their opening fixture and sit 16 places below their hosts in the early standings.

Form Analysis: Millwall have won their only league match so far, scoring twice and keeping a clean sheet, and are on a four-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Norwich, by contrast, have lost their sole league outing, conceding twice, and are on a one-game losing streak. The hosts also boast a superior defensive record, having conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per game compared to Norwich's 1.0.

Key Factors: Millwall's home advantage is rated at maximum strength, and they have won three of the last five meetings between the sides. Norwich are missing several key players through injury, including their main striker, which could blunt their attacking threat. Millwall's overall statistical comparison also favours them, with a 61.3% overall rating against Norwich's 38.7%.

Conclusion: The data points to a home victory, but the odds suggest a closer contest than the model implies. Millwall's solid form and home strength give them the edge, but Norwich's attacking potential means a draw is a realistic outcome if the visitors can tighten up defensively.

Win Probabilities: Millwall: 40% · Draw: 30% · Norwich: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 42% · Under 2.5: 58% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Millwall wins: 3 · Draws: 2 · Norwich wins: 5

Form (latest first): Millwall: DLLWL · Norwich: LWWLW

  • Josh Coburn vs Harry Darling: Millwall's striker will test Norwich's centre-back with his physical presence and movement, a key duel in determining the outcome.
  • Casper De Norre vs Kenny McLean: The midfield battle will be crucial, with De Norre looking to disrupt Norwich's rhythm and McLean aiming to dictate play.
  • Jake Cooper vs Mohamed Touré: Cooper's aerial dominance will be tested by Touré's pace, a matchup that could decide set-piece effectiveness.

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Championship

Championship

England15 · Upcoming Fixtures
ChampionshipEngland
Bristol City
Sep 1819:00
Watford
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
ChampionshipEngland
Cardiff
Sep 1911:30
Charlton
12.3343%
X3.5728%
23.4529%
ChampionshipEngland
Millwall
Sep 1911:30
West Ham
13.7027%
X3.5728%
22.2245%
ChampionshipEngland
Stoke City
Sep 1911:30
Sheffield Utd
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Burnley
Sep 1914:00
Derby
11.9651%
X3.5728%
24.7621%
ChampionshipEngland
Birmingham
Sep 1914:00
Middlesbrough
13.3330%
X3.4529%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
QPR
Sep 1914:00
Preston
11.7956%
X4.0025%
25.2619%
ChampionshipEngland
Portsmouth
Sep 1914:00
Blackburn
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
ChampionshipEngland
Lincoln
Sep 1914:00
Swansea
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
ChampionshipEngland
Wrexham
Sep 1914:00
Southampton
13.4529%
X3.3330%
22.4441%
ChampionshipEngland
Wolves
Sep 2011:00
West Brom
12.0848%
X3.5728%
24.1724%
ChampionshipEngland
Norwich
Sep 2012:30
Bolton
11.5664%
X4.5522%
27.1414%
ChampionshipEngland
West Ham
Oct 919:00
QPR
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
ChampionshipEngland
West Brom
Oct 1011:30
Birmingham
Early projection
11.4768%
X5.8817%
26.6715%
ChampionshipEngland
Swansea
Oct 1011:30
Norwich
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%

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